Ethereum Risks a Drop to $2,600 if Key Support Breaks

Ethereum is facing renewed downside pressure after failing to break through a key resistance zone. Recent price action reinforces a broader bearish structure that has remained in place since late 2025, increasing the risk of a deeper correction if critical support fails.

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ETH Rejected at Major Resistance

ETH was rejected near the $3,300 level, an area reinforced by multiple technical barriers. This zone aligns with the 50-day simple moving average at $3,154 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near $3,288, making it a high-confluence resistance region. The rejection signals that buyers currently lack the strength to reclaim higher levels and shift market structure in their favor.

Momentum indicators offer limited support for a bullish reversal. The daily Relative Strength Index sits at 56.99, placing ETH in neutral territory without signaling either exhaustion or strong continuation.

At the same time, trading volume declined around 2% during the pullback, suggesting reduced participation rather than aggressive accumulation. This combination points to weakening conviction among buyers near resistance.

Bearish Structure Still Intact

Ethereum continues to form lower highs since its October 2025 peak near $4,700. This descending structure remains unbroken and defines the current medium-term trend.

For bulls to invalidate this setup, a decisive daily close above $3,300 would be required. Until that happens, rallies are likely to be viewed as corrective moves within a broader downtrend.

$3,000 Support Is the Key Level

The $2,900–$3,000 range now stands as critical support. This zone has acted as a buffer against deeper declines and represents a psychological and technical threshold for the market.

A sustained breakdown below $3,000 could trigger cascading liquidations, accelerating downside momentum. In such a scenario, price action could quickly extend toward the $2,600 level, which emerges as the next major downside target.

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ETH Price Outlook

Ethereum’s failure at $3,300 keeps downside risks elevated. With the bearish structure intact and momentum neutral, the market’s focus shifts to the $3,000 support zone. A confirmed break below this level would likely open the door to a sharp move toward $2,600, while bulls must reclaim $3,300 to stabilize the outlook and negate the current risk scenario.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.