Toncoin (TON) Price Forecast: 28% Surge Despite Bearish Signals

Toncoin (TON) is treading a fine line. It is fragile, but it has not lost its strength. The price of the token is $1.68 and it has decreased almost 4% in the past day. It has underperformed in comparison to the overall cryptocurrency market and has lost some value against Bitcoin.

At first glance, the situation seems to be very bad. However, different scenarios for the coin’s future price show a more intricate picture.

As per the latest predictions, TON may hit a price target of $2.20 by the date of January 20, 2026. That would correspond to a 28.46% increase in price within a span of only five days. Such a price target is indeed quite audacious for a market filled with ups and downs. Nevertheless, figures are frequently more impactful than sentiments.

Also Read: Toncoin (TON) Set to Soar: Price Target $3.21 in 2026!

Toncoin Price Action Shows Conflict

Toncoin (TON), over the course of the past month, has made a remarkable come back of 9.65%. It is a considerable move indeed. However, the medium-term trend is still negative, since there was a 20.73% drop over the past three months.

When one looks at the entire year it becomes apparent that there has been a lot of damage already done. TON is down more than 69% over the last year. It was selling at $5.43 one year ago. $5.43 price point now seems to be very far away.

The drop from the record peak of $8.27 in June 2024 is still a significant factor to consider. At present, the peak of the current cycle is $2.36, and the bottom of the cycle is $1.25. The level of price fluctuation is low, as it is only 9.16% for the month. Nonetheless, 20 days of price increase during the last 30 days indicate accumulation in silence rather than panic selling.

Toncoin Technical Signals Send Mixed Messages

Market mood regarding TON has turned negative. There are twenty-two indicators pointing toward the negative side and just eight implying the positive side. The difference is significant and cannot be overlooked. However, the situation is still different. The Fear & Greed Index is at 61 which is in the “Greed” area. People who invest are still positive, maybe even too positive.

The RSI is at 55.13 and indicates neutrality. The status of Toncoin is such that it is not an overbought or an oversold asset. However, the price movement is still intact, above the simple moving averages of both the 50-days and 200-days. This can be seen as a positive sign, even though the prevailing mood is bearish.

The support is placed at the levels of $1.72, $1.68, and $1.65. On the other hand, the resistance lies at $1.79, $1.82, and $1.86. These levels of support and resistance will be determining the short-term fortune.

Now let’s cut to the chase. The prediction is not in favour of the bulls, but the situation is unclear. In case of a turn in momentum, TON could catch up really quickly. In the cryptocurrency world, quietness sometimes precedes the eruption.

Also Read: Toncoin (TON) Price Forecast: Will Toncoin Break $30 After Long-Term Correction?