Ethereum price retests breakout zone — can rally follow as staked ETH hits an all-time high of 30%?

Ethereum price hovering below a key breakout zone as a record share of its supply is locked in staking, tightening available liquidity.

Ethereum was trading at $3,162 at press time, down 1.3% over the past 24 hours. Over the last week, the price has moved between $3,119 and $3,379. ETH is up about 3.6% over the past month after climbing back above $3,000, though it remains well below its August record high of $4,946.

Trading activity has slowed. Ethereum’s (ETH) 24-hour volume fell roughly 19% to $20 billion, showing fewer traders are active at current levels.

Futures data from CoinGlass points to a similar trend. Derivatives volume dropped more than 22%, while open interest fell 2% to $40.26 billion. This suggests traders are cutting back on leverage rather than positioning for a sharp move.

Staking reaches a new high

While price action has cooled, Ethereum’s staking activity continues to grow. Data shared by Solid Intel on Jan. 20 shows that close to 30% of all ETH in circulation is now staked.

In total, around 36.2 million ETH, worth close to $120 billion at recent prices, is locked into the network. Staking returns have edged lower, now sitting between 2.8% and 4%, as more ETH enters the system.

Even so, the steady inflow suggests many holders are focused on long-term participation rather than short-term price moves.

Queue data supports that view. More than 2.6 million ETH is waiting to be staked, while very little is queued to exit. This imbalance signals strong confidence and little interest in unlocking funds.

Major firms are taking part as well. Companies such as BitMine continuing to expand their staking holdings suggest that institutional investors see staking as a core strategy. While some analysts have raised concerns about centralization, the overall outlook on staking remains positive.

Ethereum price technical analysis

Ethereum is trading just under the $3,350–$3,400 zone, an area that has repeatedly capped recent gains. Price movement has narrowed, pointing to consolidation rather than a clear trend.

The Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating reduced volatility. While this doesn’t show the direction of the next move, squeezes like this often come before a stronger breakout. ETH is also hovering near the midpoint of the bands, which typically reflects a sideways phase.

ETH is still above its 50-day moving average, which has served as a floor on several occasions in recent drops. The overall structure has remained intact because each pullback has attracted buyers, frequently at increasingly higher levels. 

While momentum hasn’t drastically decreased, it has eased in comparison to previous stages. The daily RSI is now slightly above 50 and has moved closer to neutral, indicating some buyer hesitancy without much seller pressure.

Volume is still low, and there hasn’t been much follow-through on recent attempts to push higher. A clean daily close above $3,400 would cause momentum to change and pave the way for the $3,650–$3,800 range. 

However, a pullback towards $3,050 to $3,100, where buying interest has previously emerged, could result from repeated failure at resistance. Overall, Ethereum is now in a holding pattern.