The criticism comes as Strive Asset Management completed the first-ever acquisition of one bitcoin treasury company by another. Strive acquired Semler Scientific in an all-stock deal, creating a combined entity with over 10,900 BTC in its treasury.
The mNAV metric compares a company’s market capitalization to the value of its crypto holdings. Companies holding more crypto than their market value are considered to trade at a discount. Those valued higher than their crypto holdings trade at a premium.
The first major issue involves how mNAV handles operating businesses. Most bitcoin treasury companies conduct operations beyond simply buying and holding crypto assets. MicroStrategy, for example, generates revenue through software sales alongside its bitcoin holdings.
The mNAV calculation fails to account for these additional business operations and assets. This creates an incomplete picture of a company’s true value for investors making buy and sell decisions.
The metric also ignores other valuable assets that companies may own outside of their crypto treasuries. This oversight can lead to inaccurate valuations and poor investment choices.
The second problem involves how mNAV treats convertible debt. The metric uses “assumed shares outstanding” in its calculations, which often includes convertible debt that hasn’t been converted to equity.
Convertible debt holders typically demand cash rather than shares when exchanging their debt positions. This creates a more burdensome liability for companies than simply issuing new shares to investors.
This structure incentivizes bitcoin treasury companies to maximize their equity volatility. The dynamic creates additional risks that the mNAV metric fails to capture properly.
Currently, publicly traded bitcoin treasury firms hold over 1 million BTC collectively. Many of these companies are trading below their mNAV values, which could signal more acquisition activity ahead.
The Strive-Semler merger demonstrates how companies are consolidating in this space. The deal increases net asset value per share for the combined entity, which investors view as a form of yield generation.
Medical device company Semler Scientific had been trading at a discount to its crypto holdings since August. This discount occurred despite increased competition in the bitcoin treasury space.
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