UK politics attempts to copy £5B Trump crypto script, without his levers or power

At a London conference this week, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage cast himself as “your champion” for digital assets and sketched a platform that includes a flat 10% capital gains tax on crypto, creation of a roughly £5 billion state Bitcoin reserve anchored in seized coins, a halt to the Bank of England’s digital pound project, and optional tax payments in crypto.

The pitch mirrors three policies associated with Donald Trump’s crypto campaign, including opposition to a central bank digital currency, overt alignment with miners and industry, and White House signaling around digital asset strategy that framed leadership in financial technology as a federal priority.

However, the channel is clear in the United States, where policy rhetoric has repeatedly shown up in spot Bitcoin ETF flows that feed demand at scale.

The UK policy machine runs on a different clock.

The Bank of England and HM Treasury remain in the design and exploration phase for a potential digital pound, with no decision to proceed, according to the Bank’s latest progress update last week, the Bank of England says.

Near-term attention is on a regulated stablecoin perimeter and custody rules moving through consultation, per the Financial Conduct Authority’s CP25/14.

In parallel, the UK is preparing to permit tokenized investment funds, which provides a bank and asset-manager-friendly on-ramp independent of campaign messages.

Power, process, and timing limit the translation of Reform UK’s platform into policy.

Following the 2024 general election, Reform holds just five seats out of 650, while Labour governs with a large majority.

UK tax rates require a Finance Bill. The government sets the reserves framework with the Bank acting as agent, and primary legislation and secondary instruments pass both the Commons and Lords.

The next general election is not due until August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act.

In this Parliament, a minor party cannot direct BoE or HMT policy, and Private Members’ Bills rarely become law. Even sympathetic elements of Farage’s program would need ownership by the government of the day.

The numbers behind the headline proposals frame what is at stake if any pieces migrate into mainstream policy.

UK Bitcoin numbers

A £5 billion bitcoin allocation translates to about $6.64 billion at a GBPUSD rate near 1.328 and implies the purchase or retention of roughly 59,000 to 60,000 BTC at prices around $112,000, equal to about 0.30% of the current circulating supply.

The United Kingdom already sits on a pipeline of seized coins, with law enforcement reporting 61,000 BTC connected to a 2016 hack.

That reservoir makes a “reserve via retention” plausible on paper, yet proceeds-of-crime rules default to liquidation and compensation, which means the executive would need explicit legal authority to hold seized assets as reserves.

On the tax side, crypto is within the capital gains regime. A flat 10% would lower the effective rate for higher-rate taxpayers and change behavior around UK on-ramping, loss harvesting, and holding periods, but it still requires government sponsorship in a Finance Bill.

For market participants tracking the policy channel rather than the podium, the plumbing that shapes flows is already in motion.

Stablecoin issuance and custody rules, coupled with a pathway for tokenized funds, build institutional rails that can widen GBP liquidity and lower operational friction for market-neutral and basis strategies.

The UK’s channel differs from the US ETF route, yet the effect can be cumulative as regulated infrastructure expands. This is why campaign messages matter only insofar as they are adopted by governing parties or intersect with processes the FCA and BoE already run.

The cross-Atlantic comparison helps explain Farage’s rhetorical choices.

Trump’s stance on blocking a Federal Reserve digital currency, public courtship of miners, and federal messaging around digital asset leadership gave the industry a clear narrative.

The transmission mechanism then ran through spot ETF creations and redemptions, captured in weekly flow data.

The UK does not yet possess a domestic ETF channel for spot Bitcoin on a similar scale, which makes the near-term drivers of UK activity more about regulated custody, bank connectivity, and tokenized fund wrappers than about sovereign demand.

A sovereign Bitcoin allocation in the range cited by Farage would be visible in the global ledger of state-linked holdings.

The United States government controls a large pool of seized BTC, tracked by on-chain analysts, while El Salvador holds several thousand coins on its balance sheet. The retained 61,245 BTC places the UK among the top holders by addressable size.

The signal is clear, although the monetary policy implications are bounded by the scale of overall UK reserves and the Bank’s inflation mandate, we must focus on the law, process, and institutional objectives.

If Reform UK were to win the next UK general election with a majority, it would be an unprecedented electoral swing in modern British political history.

The party only won 5 seats at the 2024 general election, so jumping from 5 to a parliamentary majority (at least 326 out of 650 seats) would surpass all previous seat increases achieved by a single party in one election.

The most significant previous increases were:

• Labour’s 2024 surge: +211 seats (from 2019 to 2024).​
• The highest number of seats changing hands at a UK general election was 303 in 2024; prior high-water marks were 289 (1931) and 279 (1945).

The market backdrop provides the canvas for interpreting the politics.

Bitcoin price trades around $111,948 at the time of writing, with an intraday high near $115,948 and a low near $110,099.

A policy impulse that withholds approximately 60,000 BTC from circulation or purchases a similar amount over time would change the tenor of flows around the margin.

Execution path matters, as does the legal basis for retaining seized assets rather than auctioning them. These are decisions for the executive and the Bank within existing frameworks, not for a minor party outside government.

Here is a compact snapshot for readers watching the numbers tied to Farage’s proposals:

From here, the forward path is defined by three signposts.

First, BoE and HMT timelines on the digital pound and payments modernization will show whether design work shifts scope or cadence, the Bank of England says.

Second, the FCA’s stablecoin and custody rulemaking will determine how quickly GBP rails evolve, with final rules and eventual supervision moving crypto activity into a more standardized perimeter, per the FCA.

Third, any decision by major parties to adopt elements of Farage’s framing would show up in manifestos and draft Finance Bill language long before it appears in sovereign reserves data.

For now, the combination of Labour’s majority, standard legislative process, and existing regulatory workstreams means UK crypto policy continues on the FCA and BoE track, not on Reform UK’s platform.