The Republican Party's electoral prospects in the midterms have dimmed as President Donald Trump's polling has slid into oblivion. But those prospects were arguablyThe Republican Party's electoral prospects in the midterms have dimmed as President Donald Trump's polling has slid into oblivion. But those prospects were arguably
'Striking' new stats said to reveal Republican enthusiasm catastrophe: 'Doesn't look good'
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The Republican Party's electoral prospects in the midterms have dimmed as President Donald Trump's polling has slid into oblivion. But those prospects were arguably long to begin with, Aaron Blake wrote in an analysis for CNN published on Thursday.
"Republicans would have turnout challenges in the 2026 midterm elections regardless of how President Donald Trump was doing. After all, his base has proven they largely only come out in droves when his name is on the ballot," wrote Blake — indeed, even in 2022, when Republicans were favored in polls, they ended up underperforming in part for that reason. "So what happens when we add in Trump’s historic unpopularity and a series of moves that have alienated even many of his own supporters?"
The emerging picture, wrote Blake, "doesn’t look good for the GOP."
Furthermore, he said, little details keep jumping out of polls that present further red flags for Trump's party.
"A Washington Post-ABC News poll this week, for instance, showed 73% of Democrats said the upcoming election is more important than past midterms. But just 52% of Republicans said the same. That’s well shy of the 72% of GOP voters who said the same in September 2022, as well as the 63% who said the same in October 2018, just ahead of the last midterm when Trump was in office," he said. "Similarly, the most recent CNN poll from late March showed just 48% of Republicans agreed that their vote would be cast to 'send a message that you support Donald Trump.' That was far less than the 76% of Democrats who said their vote would be cast to send a message of opposition to Trump."
Indeed, he said, "It’s also a smidge below the 51% of Democrats who said their 2022 midterm vote was meant to show support for then-President Joe Biden in October of that year. That’s particularly striking because Biden has never commanded anything close to the level of loyalty and devotion in the Democratic Party that Trump has in the GOP. And yet, their numbers are similar."
Ultimately, Blake concluded, "plenty will happen in the six months between now and when voters render their judgments. But right now, the GOP’s non-presidential-election turnout problem is looking even more problematic than usual."
One of Donald Trump's Cabinet members is considering a plan to upset the natural order of the administration by challenging JD Vance for the 2028 Republican nomination, according to those analyzing a recent campaign-style video that was released.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has repeatedly said that he would give Vance the top spot, insinuating he would potentially serve as Vance's VP, but a video posted by the State Department head who has multiple jobs in the administration has experts and insiders doubting that.
On Wednesday, Rubio released a video that features his own voice describing his "hope for America."
"My hope for America is what it's always been. I think it's a hope we all share. We want it to continue to be the place where anyone from anywhere can work and achieve anything, where you're not limited by the circumstances of your birth, by the color of your skin, by your ethnicity," he states. "But frankly it's a place where you're able to overcome challenges and achieve your full potential. I think that should be the goal of every country."
That triggered a wave of speculation.
Conservative editor Peter Laffin declared of Rubio, "He's running."
Popular political influencer Mike Nelson wrote, "Imagine being JD Vance watching this and thinking people will pick you in the primary."
Popular influencer Kama chimed in, "Rubio whenever Vance starts talking about running for president in 2028."
Another Trump-aligned influencer, Cynical Publius, wrote, "Sure feels like a campaign ad to me."
Right-wing personality Richard Hanania said, "This is the difference between Rubio and Vance."
"Vance is so angry and so poisoned by New Right talking points and memes he’s incapable of putting forth any message this is even remotely optimistic," Hanania added. "The idea that America is open to all to achieve things he would find offensive."
Popular conservative Drew Pavlou said simply, "You are witnessing a future President."
Not all in MAGA saw it as a positive. Right-winger Auron MacIntyre said, "Amnesty Marco hasn’t changed a bit. He’s doubled down on open borders rhetoric because that’s what he really believes."
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Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA), one of President Joe Biden's fiercest Republican critics over inflation and gas prices, is refusing to account for his stunning reversal now that a Republican president's unpopular war in Iran is putting an even bigger squeeze on American consumers.
When pressed by MS NOW's Jack Fitzpatrick, the normally press-friendly Louisiana Republican walked away.
During his interview with MS NOW, Kennedy attempted to sidestep questions about his dramatic change of heart while simultaneously insisting his hands are tied.
Gas prices have surged by more than $1.50 per gallon since Trump launched attacks against Iran nearly 10 weeks ago. On Friday, prices hit an average of $4.54 per gallon according to AAA — a 47% increase from the $2.98 national average just before the conflict began and limited oil stocks indicate little chance of a swift turnaround," Fitzpatrick is reporting while adding Republicans are urging "patience."
"There are trade-offs," Kennedy attempted in his interview. "I think the American people understand it. They've been through conflicts in the Middle East before. They know these prices will come down once the conflict is over."
This measured acceptance stands in sharp contrast to Kennedy's relentless criticism of Biden administration gas prices resulting from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Even before that war started, Kennedy was hammering Biden with variations of the same joke: "I don't like to brag about all the expensive places I've been, but earlier today I went to the gas station," Fitzpatrick noted.
When asked what Congress could actually do about the soaring prices, Kennedy's answer was blunt: "There's nothing we can do."
"The price of gas and natural gas and gasoline and diesel fuel and oil is a product of the conflict in Iran, you know that," he told MS NOW.
When pressed about whether limited options should constrain his patience with Trump's Iran war — and how he squares his current stance with his past criticisms of Biden — Kennedy grew hostile.
"You need to try adulting real hard," he snapped.
When asked directly how he reconciles his patience now with his impatience under Biden, Kennedy refused to engage. "I don't have to square anything with you," he said, with the MS NOW reporter adding the lawmaker patted him on the back as he ended the interview and walked away.
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Ashley St. Clair, a 27-year-old former brand ambassador for Charlie Kirk's Turning Point USA, has turned into one of the fiercest critics of the movement she helped build.
St. Clair, who amassed more than a million followers on X, published an anti-transgender children's book, appeared on Fox News and took selfies at Mar-a-Lago, now alleges that many of President Donald Trump's top online cheerleaders are "mercenaries of the attention economy" coordinating with administration officials for paid promotional deals, reported the Washington Post.
"There is no free thinking here," she said in a recent TikTok video. "They are waiting to get marching orders and a direct deposit."
In near-daily TikTok monologues to over 77,000 followers, St. Clair claims to expose secrets of her former allies and the "hidden machinery" that created social media stars, alleging that top MAGA personalities portrayed as grassroots activists received coordinated talking points from administration officials and congressional Republicans through group chats with names like "Fight, Fight, Fight."
St. Clair revealed in February 2025 that she had secretly had a child with Elon Musk, the owner of X, and after their relationship ended and custody disputes emerged, she withdrew from public life for several months, describing it as a period of doubt and self-reflection when she realized she "didn't understand what [she] was talking about."
She emerged in January expressing "immense guilt" over spreading anti-transgender views and contributing to a movement built on "fear and false patriotism," where she said "everything is staged, everything is for a dollar, everything is about making money."
St. Clair has shared screenshots of direct messages offering her thousands of dollars per post to boost conservative candidates, and documented campaigns from influencer-marketing platforms instructing creators to coordinate messaging around political issues.
She provided evidence of Trump campaign official James Blair requesting her help amplifying posts attacking the Biden administration, with communications suggesting coordination between political operatives and social media personalities.
“Can E help gas this fire?” Blair wrote her in October 2024, likely referring to Musk, who later responded and promoted at least two of his posts attacking Democrats before the presidential election.
Critics, including fellow influencer Rogan O'Handley, have dismissed her as a disgruntled attention-seeker, but Renée DiResta, a Georgetown University researcher who studies political influencers, said St. Clair is "saying out loud what people who track the space have observed on the outside to be highly likely," confirming suspicions about the lucrative nature of right-wing influencer networks.
St. Clair said she is speaking out despite risks to her career because she fears the "viral-outrage infrastructure" will outlive Trump's presidency, fostering continued secretive cooperation between political operatives and influencers that could damage American politics.
She is currently raising two children, completing her undergraduate degree and preparing for law school.
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