Worldcoin eyes further upside as open interest climbs above $449m

Key takeaways

• WLD is down by more than 3% in the last 24 hours and could dip lower in the near term. 
• Derivatives metrics remain supportive, with WLD’s Open Interest rising steadily alongside a mildly growing number of long positions.

Worldcoin (WLD) has declined by more than 3% on Tuesday, trading below $0.50 while holding above a cluster of key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). 

Strengthening derivatives activity and favorable technical indicators suggest the token may have room to extend its recent recovery in the near term.

Rising open interest signals growing market confidence

Data from CoinGlass shows that Worldcoin futures Open Interest (OI) has climbed to $406.86 million, up from $377.25 million recorded on Sunday. 

The metric has been trending higher since mid-May, indicating fresh capital is flowing into the market.

An increase in OI is typically viewed as a sign of growing trader participation and can reinforce ongoing price trends. In WLD’s case, the surge suggests investors are increasingly positioning for additional upside.

Adding to the bullish narrative, CoinGlass data shows the WLD long-to-short ratio has recovered to 1.01. 

A reading above 1 indicates that long positions slightly outnumber shorts, reflecting a market bias toward higher prices. Continued improvement in this ratio could further strengthen bullish sentiment.

Despite the positive derivatives backdrop, some cautionary signals are emerging. According to CryptoQuant’s market summary data, both spot and futures markets are experiencing elevated retail participation and increasingly heated trading conditions. 

The data also points to sell-side dominance, suggesting profit-taking activity could limit the pace of any further gains.

These factors may create short-term headwinds even as broader sentiment remains constructive.

Worldcoin price forecast: Bulls defend key support levels

Worldcoin was trading near $0.509 at the time of writing, maintaining a bullish technical structure above a dense cluster of EMAs.

The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near $0.504 has emerged as immediate support, sitting just below the current market price. 

Meanwhile, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs remain beneath the market, providing a strong support zone stretching from the upper-$0.30 range to the mid-$0.40 area.

Momentum indicators continue to favor buyers. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands near 53, indicating strong bullish momentum while remaining below overbought levels.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains in positive territory, signaling that upward momentum is still intact.

If the downtrend continues, immediate support lies at $0.459 (200-day EMA). A daily candle close above this level could expose WLD to lower levels at the mid-$0.30 area near the 100-day and 50-day EMAs

However, if the rally resumes, initial resistance lies at $0.567, with the next target at $0.676 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).

Worldcoin’s improving derivatives metrics, rising Open Interest, and bullish technical setup continue to support a positive near-term outlook. 

While elevated retail participation and selling pressure warrant caution, maintaining support above the $0.50 region could pave the way for a move toward the $0.567 and $0.676 resistance levels in the sessions ahead.

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