Bitcoin price breakout above $60K lacks fresh buying fuel: analyst

Bitcoin price has slipped back below $60,000 after another failed breakout attempt, as weak stablecoin inflows have reinforced concerns over a lack of fresh buying demand.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $59,300 on June 30 after briefly reclaiming the psychological $60,000 level before slipping back below it, extending a series of failed breakout attempts since falling under the mark on June 25.

Market sentiment remained fragile as traders weighed shrinking liquidity, record spot ETF outflows, and a challenging macro backdrop. According to CryptoQuant analyst Sunny Mom, the latest on-chain data suggests the market lacks the fresh capital typically needed to support a sustained breakout.

“New money has stopped coming in,” Sunny Mom wrote, adding that “any bounce that does appear is more likely a short-term technical reaction than the beginning of a trend reversal.”

The analyst based that view on the 30-day stablecoin market capitalization growth rate. USDC issuance has turned negative, while Ethereum-based USDT growth has also weakened. 

Stablecoins often serve as the primary source of buying power for crypto markets, making slower issuance a sign that fewer investors are converting cash into digital assets.

Institutional selling and macro headwinds continue to cap Bitcoin

Fresh institutional data has reinforced the liquidity concerns. U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded nearly $1.79 billion in net outflows during the final full week of June, the largest weekly withdrawal this year. Because fund managers must sell Bitcoin to meet investor redemptions, those outflows have removed one of the market’s strongest sources of spot demand.

As reported earlier by crypto.news, Strategy recently unveiled its Digital Credit Capital Framework, authorizing up to $1.25 billion in potential Bitcoin sales to meet interest and dividend obligations. The announcement arrived alongside quarter-end portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors, adding another source of supply after months in which the company had consistently accumulated Bitcoin.

Economic conditions have further reduced appetite for risk assets. A stronger-than-expected U.S. Core PCE inflation reading weakened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, while higher Treasury yields encouraged investors to rotate toward fixed-income assets.

At the same time, Brent crude slipped toward $73 per barrel as attention shifted to renewed U.S.-Iran negotiations in Doha after an interim agreement reduced the immediate risk of disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Still, geopolitical uncertainty has remained part of the market backdrop.

Technical structure keeps downside risks in focus

Bitcoin’s 1-day USDT chart continues to favor sellers after price failed to reclaim the descending trendline drawn from the May highs. The cryptocurrency is trading just above the key support zone around $58,169, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline. A decisive move below that level could expose the mid-$50,000 region.

Momentum indicators have yet to confirm a durable reversal. The daily RSI has slipped to around 32, placing Bitcoin close to oversold territory, while the MACD remains below the zero line despite flattening after the recent selloff. Those readings suggest selling pressure has slowed but buyers have not yet regained control.

Derivatives positioning also points to heightened volatility around current prices. CoinGlass liquidation data shows one of the largest downside liquidity clusters between $58,800 and $59,000, while another concentration of leveraged positions sits near $61,000 to $61,500. Either zone could attract price if momentum accelerates.

According to analyst Ted Pillows, Bitcoin’s immediate outlook depends on whether support between $58,000 and $59,000 can hold.

A successful defense of that area could trigger a relief rally toward the low-$60,000 range and potentially $61,500, where liquidation pressure increases.

However, if Bitcoin fails to hold support, it would strengthen the bearish case, particularly if stablecoin issuance remains weak, ETF redemptions continue, and macro conditions keep institutional capital away from risk assets.