The crypto market declined in mid-October 2025 after President Donald Trump announced new import tariffs.
Risk sentiment weakened, and major tokens dropped. Despite that pressure, Dogecoin (DOGE) held relatively firm as whales accumulated roughly 1.7 Billion DOGE, valued at about $338 Million at the time of writing.
The accumulation occurred while Bitcoin (BTC) fell toward $109,000 and altcoins slid further.
Analysts said large holders often increase exposure during weak market phases, preparing for possible rebounds once sentiment stabilizes.
Dogecoin Price Analysis: Support and Resistance Zones
The Dogecoin price traded between resistance around $0.20 and demand support near $0.155 at the time of writing.
The $0.20 region had acted as a ceiling in prior sessions, rejecting several breakout attempts. Analysts said a close above that level could confirm renewed momentum.
If DOGE broke above $0.20, momentum could carry toward $0.27, with an upper barrier around $0.30 where sellers had previously emerged.
If selling pressure persisted, a pullback toward $0.175 remained possible, with deeper weakness if buying interest faded.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator measuring whether assets are overbought or oversold, remained neutral around its midpoint at the time of writing.
That suggested an equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Analysts said structure still leaned slightly bearish, yet continuous whale accumulation might cap further losses.
Market depth data showed order book activity thinning at higher levels, suggesting limited resistance if buying volume intensified.
However, liquidity at lower levels implied that any sharp move could trigger rapid declines before buyers stepped back in.
Retail Traders Retreated Amid Growing Market Fear
Retail sentiment deteriorated as fear dominated broader markets. The Fear and Greed Index stood at 32, marking deep caution among traders.
Blockchain data showed that new Dogecoin wallet creation dropped about 17% over three days, indicating waning participation by smaller investors.
Analysts attributed the retreat to price fatigue following consecutive weeks of decline. Many short-term traders exited positions as volatility remained low and returns compressed.
The combination of weak participation and concentrated buying by whales created a divergence that analysts said often precedes trend reversals.
Whales’ steady inflows contrasted with retail hesitation. Historical data from previous market cycles showed similar behavior when large holders increased exposure during market weakness.
In several instances, accumulation phases were followed by stabilization periods before eventual recovery, though timing varied across cycles.
Market observers said the divergence underscored how institutional or high-net-worth investors often use fear-driven conditions to scale into longer-term positions, while retail participants wait for visible confirmation of a trend change.
What Could Shape Dogecoin Price Next
Dogecoin price remained near a pivotal level. Sustained movement above $0.20 could attract short-term buyers and restore confidence, while failure to defend $0.155 might open the door to further declines.
Macro sentiment continued to guide direction. The recent tariff policy shift from the Trump administration weighed on global risk appetite and contributed to token volatility.
Analysts said stabilization in BTC and equity markets could improve conditions for DOGE in the coming sessions.
Technical metrics supported a cautious outlook. The neutral RSI implied potential for both upside and downside moves.
Analysts said clear confirmation of a new trend required consistent buying volume and a daily close above the $0.20 threshold. Until then, DOGE was likely to consolidate between existing boundaries.
At press time, DOGE traded near $0.187, down about 32.8% over the past month but only modestly lower in a week.
Whales’ accumulation signaled quiet confidence, yet sustained recovery depended on broader risk sentiment and capital inflows returning to the altcoin market.
Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/10/18/dogecoin-to-0-20-amid-338m-whale-buys-market-relief/
