Donald Trump’s Truth Social Just Turned Into a Prediction Market

Donald Trump Media’s platform is entering the billion-dollar prediction industry with a new feature called Truth Predict, letting users bet on real-world outcomes — from elections to sports to Fed decisions. The move positions Truth Social not just as a social network but as a hybrid of free speech, finance, and crowd intelligence, arriving at a time when prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are breaking records with over $1.44 billion in monthly volume.

It’s a calculated pivot — one that merges Donald Trump Media’s massive user base with Crypto.com’s infrastructure and CDNA’s compliance layer, aiming to turn engagement and opinion into actual market power.

What Is Truth Predict?

Truth Social, the social media platform from Trump Media & Technology Group (ticker DJT), is stepping into the world of prediction markets. Through a new partnership with Crypto.com, users will soon trade event-based prediction contracts directly within the app using a product called Truth Predict.

The feature will let users make predictions on everything from elections and interest rate moves to sports and commodity prices. These contracts will be handled via CDNA, ensuring the process stays federally compliant.

Devin Nunes, CEO of Trump Media, said this move marks the world’s first publicly traded social platform to offer prediction markets. “We’re democratizing information and empowering everyday Americans,” he said, adding that Truth Media ended the last quarter with $3 billion in assets and positive cash flow.

Why This Matters

Prediction markets are booming. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi hit a combined $1.44 billion in trading volume last month alone. Kalshi is now valued near $12 billion, while ICE plans to invest $2 billion in Polymarket. Even the NHL has signed multi-year licensing deals with both.

Crypto.com’s Bet on the Future

Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek called prediction markets a “multi-deca-billion dollar industry.” He said Truth Predict aligns with what users expect from social media — engagement, truth-seeking, and now, real-time market sentiment.

When Will It Launch?

Truth Predict will enter beta testing soon, followed by a full U.S. launch and eventual global rollout. Truth Social and Truth+ users can also use their earned Truth gems — platform rewards — to buy prediction contracts by converting them into Cronos (CRO) tokens. Trump Media already holds nearly 700 million CRO tokens as part of its Crypto.com partnership.

The Bottom Line

What started as a social media platform for free speech is now turning into a trading arena for political and market foresight. If Truth Predict takes off, it could merge two powerful forces — social sentiment and financial speculation — under one very loud roof.