Analyst Who Sold Bitcoin At $102,000 Predicts Crash To $40,000, But There’s Something Else

The latest Bitcoin (BTC) price crash has brought renewed focus to alarming forecasts, including one from pseudonymous crypto market expert Symbiote. After exiting his BTC positions at $102,000, the analyst is now predicting a potential crash to $40,000. His bearish outlook comes as the leading cryptocurrency continues to weaken, recently falling below $85,000. 

A $40,000 Bitcoin Crash And A Massive Altcoin Season

After making headlines for selling his BTC at $102,000 in December 2024, Symbiote is now projecting a sharp market downturn, with Bitcoin potentially retracing to $40,000. Currently, the cryptocurrency is trading above $82,000, meaning a decline to this bearish level would eliminate more than 50% of its value. 

Symbiote predicts that the next significant buying opportunity could emerge near $40,000, highlighting a disciplined strategy of profit-taking over chasing the market top. He emphasized that selling his BTC at $102,000 may have seemed early to some, considering its price reached an ATH above $126,000 in October this year. However, exiting at that level allowed him to avoid risking a large portion of gains for an extra 20% profit—a mistake that often traps new investors. 

According to the analyst, new traders tend to enter the market with rigid targets, expecting Bitcoin or Ethereum to sell at extreme highs. This strategy often results in losses, as the market rarely follows perfectly predictable patterns. Rather than waiting for the top, Symbiote advises traders to take profits as prices gradually rise, helping them secure gains while reducing exposure to sudden downturns. 

Looking forward, the analyst expects two major trends to define the crypto market in the near term. Firstly, Bitcoin’s potential crash to $40,000, which the analyst initially forecasted in 2024. Secondly, Symbiote predicts the biggest altcoin season could trigger widespread rallies even as Bitcoin faces significant downward pressure. 

BTC Remains Under Pressure As Support Breaks

Bitcoin has broken its previous support level around $85,000 and is now trading more than 34% below its all-time high of over $126,000. Crypto analyst Ted Pillows highlights that over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has pierced major support zones with little consolidation, exposing deeper pockets of liquidity between $81,000 and $88,000.

He has identified $81,000 as the next critical support, warning that Bitcoin must reclaim $88,000 soon to prevent a continuation of its downtrend toward April lows. His chart outlines potential recovery paths from each red support band and shows the downside risk if the price fails to bounce. 

The lowest support band lies between $78,400 and $79,800, suggesting a potential correction area if the price continues to fall. On the bright side, if Bitcoin can recover and breach $98,000, the next upside target is around $101,972.