The post Gold nears record highs as dovish Fed outlook underpins demand appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gold (XAU/USD) extends its advance on Friday as expectationsThe post Gold nears record highs as dovish Fed outlook underpins demand appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gold (XAU/USD) extends its advance on Friday as expectations

Gold nears record highs as dovish Fed outlook underpins demand

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Gold (XAU/USD) extends its advance on Friday as expectations build for further monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) after this week’s interest rate cut. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,337, just shy of its all-time high near $4,381, marked on October 20.

The latest leg higher helped Bullion break out of a two-week consolidation range, as markets continue to reassess the Fed’s policy path into 2026. The shift in sentiment follows Wednesday’s decision to lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps), marking the third rate cut this year.

While the Fed stopped short of offering clear forward guidance, Chair Jerome Powell signalled that near-term rate hikes are unlikely, reiterating the familiar data-dependent stance while highlighting risks on both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate.

The less hawkish outlook than markets had anticipated prompted traders to price in two rate cuts next year, even as the latest dot plot points to just one.

Elsewhere, persistent geopolitical tensions continue to provide steady underlying support for Gold, with XAU/USD on track to post solid weekly gains.

Market movers: Fed outlook, institutional demand and geopolitics drive sentiment

  • Gold is back near record highs, up over 60% year-to-date and on track for its best annual performance since 1979. The rally has been driven by strong central bank demand, robust ETF inflows, dovish Fed outlook, and persistent geopolitical tensions. Major banks expect the trend to extend into 2026, with Goldman Sachs saying on Wednesday it sees significant upside to its end-2026 Gold price forecast of $4,900 per ounce, while Bank of America expects prices to push toward $5,000 an ounce.
  • Structural demand pick-up for Bullion from Indian pension funds, as regulatory reform now allows the National Pension System (NPS) and other pension schemes to allocate a portion of assets to SEBI-regulated Gold and Silver ETFs. This marks the first time Indian pension funds can gain direct exposure to precious metals.
  • The Greenback remains under pressure, making Gold cheaper for overseas buyers as markets lean dovish on the Fed. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, trades near 98.47 after slipping to an eight-week low on Thursday, and is on course for a third weekly decline.
  • The Fed’s rate decision was not unanimous, passing on a 9-3 vote. Governor Stephen Miran once again advocated a larger 50-bps cut, while Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid preferred to leave rates unchanged. Markets now look to remarks from Goolsbee, Schmid, and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack later on Friday.
  • Geopolitical tensions remain elevated amid slow progress in US-led Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Europe. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised serious concerns over a US proposal to designate the contested Donbas region as a “free economic zone.” US President Donald Trump has voiced frustration with the pace of negotiations, hinting he could skip peace talks in Europe this weekend.

Technical analysis: XAU/USD eyes record highs after breakout

XAU/USD has finally managed to break out of its recent consolidation phase after repeated pullbacks were capped near the $4,250 area, with price action resuming the broader uptrend and trading comfortably above key moving averages on the daily chart.

On the upside, $4,350 emerges as the next near-term resistance, ahead of a potential retest of the all-time high near $4,381. A sustained break above this zone would likely open the door for fresh record highs, provided bullish momentum continues to strengthen.

On the downside, $4,250 now acts as strong initial support. A deeper pullback could find buyers near the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4,168.

Momentum indicators support the constructive outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding above 70, pointing to strong upside momentum, though it also warns of near-term overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line extends above the Signal line and stands over the zero mark, while the histogram expands positively, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-nears-record-highs-as-dovish-fed-outlook-underpins-demand-202512121155

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Former BlackRock Executive Joseph Chalom: How will Ethereum reshape the global financial system?

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The current global financial system is highly fragmented: assets such as stocks and bonds are limited to trading in specific locations, lack interoperability, and each transaction usually requires transfer through fiat currency. (I) From BlackRock to Blockchain: Joseph’s Financial Journey Chris Perkins: Could you tell us about your background? Joseph Chalom: I've only been CEO of SharpLink for five weeks, but my story goes far beyond that. Before coming here, I spent a full twenty years at BlackRock. For the first decade or so, I was deeply involved in the expansion of BlackRock's Aladdin fintech platform. This experience taught me how to drive business growth and identify pain points within the business ecosystem. My last five years at BlackRock have been particularly memorable: I led a vibrant and elite team to explore the new field of digital assets. I was born into an immigrant family and grew up in Washington, D.C. 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The biggest risk today is no longer regulation, but how we behave and the types of risks we are willing to take in pursuit of returns. (IV) Talent and Risk: The Core Secret to Building an Excellent Team Chris Perkins: How do you find and attract multi-talented individuals who are proficient in both DeFi and traditional finance (e.g., Wall Street)? How do you address security risks like hacker attacks and smart contract vulnerabilities? Joseph Chalom: Talent is actually relatively easy to find. I previously led the digital assets team at BlackRock. We started with a single core member and gradually built a lean team of five strategists and seven engineers. Leveraging BlackRock's brand and reputation, we raised over $100 billion in a year and a half. This demonstrates that a small, focused team, focused on a few key areas, can achieve significant results. 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This portfolio requires systematic management, encompassing a variety of methods, from the most basic and secure custodial staking to liquidity staking, re-staking, revolving strategies, and even over-the-counter lending. Each approach introduces potential risk and leverage. Risk itself can bring rewards. However, if you don't understand the risks you are taking, you shouldn't enter this field. You must clearly identify smart contract risk, protocol risk, counterparty risk, term risk, and even the convexity characteristics of the transaction, and use this to establish an effective risk-reward boundary . Our goal is to build an ideal investment portfolio, not to pursue high daily returns , but to consistently win the game. This means creating genuine value for investors. Those who blindly pursue returns or lack a clear understanding of their own operations may actually create resistance for the entire industry. Chris Perkins: Is risk management key to long-term success? 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Joseph Chalom: We can learn from Michael Saylor's strategy, but the fund management approach for ETH is completely different because it has higher yield potential . I view competitors as worthy of support. We have great respect for teams like BM&R. Many participants from traditional institutions recognize this as a long-term opportunity. There are two main ways to participate: directly holding ETH or generating income through ecosystem applications. We welcome this competition; the more participants, the more prosperous the industry. Ultimately, this space may be dominated by a small number of institutions actively accumulating ETH. We differentiate ourselves primarily through three key areas: First, we are the most trusted team among institutions . Despite our small size, we bring together top experts to manage assets with professionalism and rigor. Second, our partnership with ConsenSys . Their expertise provides us with a unique strategic advantage. Third, operating the business . In addition to accumulating and increasing the value of assets, we also operate a company focused on affiliate marketing in the gaming industry to ensure compliance with SEC and Nasdaq regulatory requirements. In the future, earning ETH through operational operations will create a powerful growth flywheel . Staking income, compounding debt interest, and ETH-denominated income will collectively accelerate the expansion of fund reserves. This approach may not be suitable for all ETH fund managers. (VI) Strategic Layout: Mergers and Acquisitions and Global Expansion Plans Chris Perkins: What is your overall view and direction on future M&A strategy? Joseph Chalom: If the amount of ETH debt grows significantly and some of this debt is illiquid, this could present opportunities. Currently, listed companies in this sector primarily raise capital through daily market programs. If the stock is liquid, this channel can be effectively utilized. However, some companies struggling to raise capital may trade at a discount to net assets or seek mergers, which could be an innovative way to acquire more ETH. As the industry matures, yields could gradually increase from 0.5%-1% of ETH supply to 1.5%-2.5%. It might be wise to issue sister bonds with similar structures in different regions, such as Asia or Europe, with identical issuance conditions and shared core operating costs and infrastructure, thereby reaching a wider range of investors. We expect to engage in such creative mergers and acquisitions in the future, but the specific timing is still uncertain. I believe that the industry will first undergo an initial phase of differentiation before entering a period of consolidation . Technological development and business evolution often follow this pattern. Similar consolidation and M&A trends are likely to occur in the stablecoin sector, which will be worth watching. Chris Perkins: Why is transparency so important ? What is the main motivation for disclosing operational details on a daily basis? Joseph Chalom: Most companies don't issue shares frequently, typically only once every few years. SEC regulations require companies to disclose the number of shares outstanding only in their quarterly reports. In our industry, fundraising may occur daily, weekly, or at other frequencies. Therefore, to fully reflect operational status, a series of key metrics must be publicly disclosed . These include: the amount of ETH held, total funds raised, weekly ETH increase, whether ETH is actually held or only held in derivatives, collateralization ratio, and returns. We publish press releases and AK documents every Tuesday morning to update investors on this data. Although some indicators may not be favorable in the short term, transparent operations will enhance investor trust and retention in the long term. Investors have the right to clearly understand the products they are purchasing, and concealing information will make it difficult to gain a foothold. (VII) SharpLink's growth plan for the next 12 to 18 months Chris Perkins: What are your plans or visions for the company's development in the next one to one and a half years? Joseph Chalom: Our first priority is to build a world-class team, but this won't happen overnight. We've continued to recruit key talent and have assembled a lean team of fewer than 20 people, each of whom excels in their field and works collaboratively to drive growth. Second, continue to raise funds in a manner that does not dilute shareholder equity , and flexibly adjust fundraising efforts according to market rhythms. The long-term goal is to continuously increase the concentration of ETH per share. Third, actively accumulate ETH. If you firmly believe in the potential of Ethereum, you should seize the opportunity to increase your holdings efficiently at the lowest cost - even for funds that only allocate 5% to ETH. Fourth, we must deeply integrate into the ecosystem . As an Ethereum company or treasury, we would be remiss if we didn't leverage our ETH holdings to create value for the ecosystem. We can leverage billions of ETH to support protocol development through lending, providing liquidity, and other means, advancing the protocol in a way that benefits the ecosystem. Finally, I hope that in a year and a half, we can establish one or two companies that support the closed loop of transactions in the Ethereum ecosystem and generate ETH-denominated revenue, thus forming a virtuous circle. (8) Core investment insights: Key areas for future attention Chris Perkins: What additional advice or information would you like to add to potential investors who are considering including SBET in their investment plans? 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