Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies, has removed a 10% Bitcoin allocation from his model portfolio. The move comes amid growing concerns that advances in quantum computing could undermine Bitcoin’s security. Wood had previously been a strong institutional supporter, adding Bitcoin in December 2020 and increasing exposure to 10% by 2021.
Now, Wood cites the potential for quantum computers to reverse-engineer BTC’s cryptography. Such a development could allow attackers to access private keys, which authorize transfers. This would threaten BTC’s reliability as a store of value. Wood sees this risk as significant enough to shift his portfolio back to traditional hedges.
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The security for BTC’s tokens and transaction validation relies on cryptography. Existing computers can’t break this security system. However, quantum computers work differently. These computers could potentially break the security system much more quickly. This could pose a threat to both the existing coins and the mining mechanism.
The Bitcoin community has been debating the timing of this threat. There are predictions that the arrival of quantum computing could be earlier than expected. This could happen within the next few years. Others feel that the BTC network could adjust. This situation has led institutional investors to take a wait-and-see approach. Wood finds the debate about the threat itself very enlightening.
However, Nic Carter of Castle Island Ventures has criticized the BTC developers for being “in denial” about the implications of quantum computing. There are others, and some popular Bitcoin supporters, such as Adam Back of Blockstream, who do not agree with the implications of quantum computing. According to Wood, the implications of the debate are very significant. He thinks that the implications of quantum computing are “only long-term positive for gold.
As a measure of this change, Wood is rebalancing his portfolio by allocating the old BTC weighting to gold-related instruments. He now allocates 5% of his portfolio to physical gold and another 5% to gold mining stocks. Although cryptocurrencies are attractive to many people, traditional safe-haven instruments such as gold remain relevant during periods of uncertainty.
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