XRP price prediction: Is Ripple token at risk as Trump, Greenland standoff worsens

Over the past week, the XRP price, along with much of the crypto market, saw fresh declines as traders pulled back from risk. After holding above $2.00 earlier this month, XRP dropped almost 5.3%, dipping to $1.91 on January 19 before recovering slightly to about $2 at the time of publication.

The recent bounce has helped steady sentiment for now, but larger macro risks, especially around the new Trump tariffs, remain over the market.

Why XRP and crypto feel the heat

The break below the psychologically important $2.00 mark has weighed heavily on XRP sentiment. This move aligned with growing concerns about U.S.–EU trade tensions, following President Donald Trump’s pledge to impose 10% tariffs on multiple European nations from February 1.

His comments around Greenland have only added another layer of global uncertainty.

Trump tied his ambitions to annex Greenland to his unsuccessful bid for a Nobel Peace Prize in a strange note to Norway’s prime minister, according to CNN and other media reports.

Trump said he no longer feels bound “to think purely of Peace.”

Ripple (XRP) and other cryptos tend to react quickly when the broader economy hits turbulence. Investors see crypto as high-risk, so a dramatic global event typically pushes them toward safer assets (i.e., cash or bonds). This puts downward pressure on prices. 

XRP falling below $2 was also affected by delays in U.S. crypto regulations, which has made institutional investors more cautious. 

Because the crypto market is so interconnected, moments of uncertainty often create nervousness across multiple tokens, making dips feel broader than just one coin. 

Technical outlook: Key levels to watch

Technically speaking, XRP remains on shaky ground. The $2.05 zone is now a crucial pivot, and without a sustained move back above it, rallies are likely to be sold.

A healthier XRP outlook would require a clean push above $2.05, followed by acceptance above $2.10.

This scenario would look far more convincing if supported by rising volume and increasing open interest, pointing to stronger participation across markets.

Only a move back into the $2.10–$2.20 range would meaningfully reduce downside pressure. 

Downside risks remain elevated

As long as XRP fails to reclaim higher levels, sellers continue to dominate the price action. Remaining below $2.05 leaves the door open for a pullback toward the $1.90 support zone.

If that level breaks, the next downside target sits near $1.85, where buyers could attempt to stabilize the price.

Meanwhile, escalating macro tariff concerns may amplify market swings. Risk assets often underperform during trade-related uncertainty, and crypto is no exception. That puts added focus on the coming weeks as a crucial period for XRP’s direction.

XRP price prediction based on current levels

Short-term trends point to a cautiously bearish-to-neutral XRP price prediction. Key support sits at $1.90, with $2.05 serving as near-term resistance.

A move above resistance could trigger a slow recovery, whereas repeated rejection raises the odds of further downside.

Over the longer term, the XRP forecast hinges on both broader macro conditions and XRP’s capacity to regain important technical levels. Tariff-related concerns could keep sentiment subdued, but improvements in trade relations or regulatory signals might help steady prices.