XRP Price Prediction: Inflows, Rising Open Interest, and ETF Momentum Put $2.75 in Focus

Recent XRP news has brought renewed attention to the asset as capital continues to rotate into XRP despite broader crypto market volatility. The token trades near $1.94 at the time of writing, down on the week but still drawing notable institutional interest, with on-chain and fund flow data pointing to sustained accumulation rather than panic selling.

A combination of ETF inflows, growing recognition of the XRP Ledger in traditional finance, and rising derivatives activity has reframed XRP as a relative strength play during a turbulent market phase.

XRP defies market weakness wtih $69.5M weekly inflows

While Bitcoin and Ethereum struggled amid heightened volatility, XRP stood out by posting $69.5 million in weekly inflows, according to CoinShares data. The inflows arrived as total crypto investment products saw mixed flows, reinforcing the idea that capital is selectively rotating rather than exiting the market entirely.

XRP’s ability to attract capital during a drawdown suggests conviction from investors positioning for medium-term developments, including ETF expansion and institutional adoption. XRP-related products now rank among the stronger performers on a relative basis, even as short-term price action remains choppy.

XRP Ledger gains institutional validation from World Economic Forum

Beyond price action, XRP Ledger continues to gain visibility within traditional finance. A World Economic Forum report highlighted XRPL’s role in powering a $1 billion private equity tokenization initiative, positioning the network as core infrastructure for real-world asset issuance.

The report also emphasized Ripple’s enterprise custody solutions, delivered in partnership with BitGo and Metaco, underscoring the importance of compliant storage as financial institutions move toward tokenized markets. This acknowledgment marks a shift from speculative narratives toward infrastructure-level relevance.

As tokenization adoption expands, XRPL’s low fees, fast settlement, and regulatory-friendly design place it among the leading candidates for institutional-grade financial applications.

Derivatives data signals cautious accumulation

On the derivatives side, XRP open interest has climbed above its 30-day average, with total open interest around $566 million compared to a rolling average near $529 million. At the same time, volatility has surged to its highest level since November.

Despite the spike, open interest Z-scores remain moderate, indicating measured positioning rather than leveraged speculation. Historically, this structure often precedes directional moves, as traders build exposure cautiously while waiting for confirmation.

XRP briefly dipped below the $2 level during this phase, prompting reassessment among both short-term traders and longer-term holders. Rather than triggering mass liquidation, the move appears to have encouraged strategic accumulation.

XRP open interest and volatility metrics. Source: CryptoQuant

ETF narrative continues to shape XRP sentiment

Institutional commentary continues to reinforce the ETF-driven narrative. Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick has outlined scenarios in which XRP adoption accelerates following regulatory clarity and broader ETF access, projecting a price target of $12.50 by 2028. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has separately highlighted strong early demand for XRP-linked exchange-traded products.

According to Garlinghouse, XRP ETFs raised more than $700 million shortly after launch, reflecting pent-up demand following years of legal uncertainty in the United States. With crypto ETFs still representing only a small fraction of global ETF assets, proponents argue that structural inflows remain in the early stages.

Even critics acknowledge that XRP’s growing presence in regulated financial products differentiates it from purely speculative assets during periods of market stress.

Coincheckup points to higher levels over six months

XRP 6-month price prediction. Source: CoinCheckup

From a model-based perspective, Coincheckup’s six-month XRP price prediction points to a gradual improvement rather than an explosive breakout. The forecast suggests XRP could trade modestly higher into mid-2026, with average price projections clustering around the $2.00–$2.40 range and upside scenarios extending toward $2.75 if momentum strengthens later in the period.

The model assumes steady conditions, including sustained institutional interest, improving regulatory clarity, and continued usage growth on the XRP Ledger. Notably, the sharper upside appears weighted toward late Q2 and early Q3, implying that patience rather than immediate acceleration is central to the scenario.

That said, Coincheckup’s projections remain highly sensitive to market structure and sentiment shifts. As with most quantitative models, the forecast relies on historical trend continuation and does not account for sudden liquidity shocks or regulatory surprises. As a result, it should be viewed as a probabilistic framework, not a deterministic price path, especially given XRP’s history of sharp volatility around key levels.