XRP Breaks Key Levels — Will Price Fall to $1.28 Next?

• Analysts warn XRP could drop toward the $1.28 level. 
• The altcoin dropped below key technical support and the 7-day rolling VWAP.
• The $1.34-$1.28 zone is seen as a major support area, Ripple CEO remains bullish long-term.

XRP is trading in a very uncertain structure and analysts are calling for a major coming crash towards $1.28, a significant pullback from the $1.39 price tag at the time of writing. 

The cryptocurrency has already broken support zones and failed to show strength above major resistance. Now, it is attempting a comeback after a 2% surge in the past 24 hours as volume is also up almost 20% as per CoinMarketCap data. 

A Pullback Incoming?

According to crypto analyst Cilinix Crypto, XRP lost its recent trading range and broke below its short-term balance during the Asian trading session, which has shown consistent bearish pressure this week, claiming that a drop to $1.28 could be next.

They added that XRP slipped under the 7-day rolling volume-weighted average price, a level often viewed as a key indicator of short-term strength. 

Cilinix Crypto identified downside price gaps between $1.34 and $1.28. These gaps often act as targets because markets tend to revisit areas with low liquidity. The current move suggests the market is trying to fill that range.

Also, XRP continues to trade below $1.50, a key resistance level that would be required to confirm trend strength. Until this level is reclaimed, the analyst sees limited evidence of a sustained uptrend.

Related : XRP Price Outlook: How Much Will 1,000 XRP Be Worth By the End of Q1 2026?

Support Zone Between $1.34 and $1.28 in Focus

The main short-term support area sits between $1.34 and $1.28. Cilinix Crypto expects high volatility inside this zone due to thin liquidity.

If the market stabilizes in this range, XRP could find temporary support and attempt a recovery. However, the level may not hold if broader financial markets weaken.

A deeper decline becomes possible if negative macro events trigger risk-off sentiment. The analyst warned that severe market shocks or geopolitical escalation could push XRP toward $1.15 or lower levels.

Upcoming economic data releases, including US unemployment figures and non-farm payroll reports, may increase volatility across crypto markets. Rising unemployment could further boost recession fears and pressure risk assets.

Long-Term Outlook Remains Positive for Ripple

Ripple leadership maintains a bullish long-term view of the XRP ecosystem. CEO Brad Garlinghouse said a crypto company could eventually reach a $1 trillion valuation and believes Ripple could achieve that scale. 

Garlinghouse said XRP remains central to Ripple’s strategy and called the token the company’s “reason for existence.” The firm plans to focus on integration of its services this year rather than large acquisitions.

Related : XRP Price Prediction: Goldman Sachs Discloses $153M Exposure As XRP Tests $1.35 Support