XRP Faces “Max Pain” Zone: Is a Final Drop to $0.65 Coming First?

• XRP bounces from $1.16 but remains below $1.56, showing short-term bullish momentum.
• MACD crossover confirms rising buying pressure, signaling potential relief rally or trend shift.
• Untouched lows at $0.77–$1.08 suggest a possible sweep toward $0.75–$0.65 first.

XRP traders are bracing for more turbulence ahead. Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO warns that a final drop toward $0.65 could hit before any major reversal begins. 

The analyst points to specific exchange liquidity levels that remain untouched. According to the analysis, market makers often engineer pain rather than simply predict price movements.

EGRAG CRYPTO shared detailed analysis on social media platform X. The post highlights several exchange lows already swept by recent price action. However, three critical levels remain intact across major trading venues.

Exchange Liquidity Levels Under Watch

The analyst tracks exchange lows that typically attract liquidity sweeps. XRP has already taken out multiple lows on various platforms. These include Poloniex at $2.26 and $2.17, Gemini at $2.10, Coinbase at $1.77, and Bitstamp at $1.58.

Three major levels still need clearing according to the framework. KuCoin shows an untouched low at $1.08 on the XRP/USDT pair. 

Bitfinex holds a key level at $1.00 on XRP/USD. The most aggressive potential sweep sits at $0.77 on Binance Perpetual contracts.

EGRAG CRYPTO emphasizes that these sweeps often complete before major reversals. The analyst notes that Binance printed the most aggressive wick observed on their charts. This suggests strong downward pressure testing lower support zones.

Mean Reversion Patterns Point Lower

Historical Super Guppy indicator patterns add weight to the bearish scenario. EGRAG CRYPTO examined previous cycles for mean-reversion drops. 

Cycle one showed approximately 50 percent retracement from highs. Cycle two delivered around 40 percent correction.

The average between cycles lands at 45 percent retracement. Applying this framework to current price action projects a final sweep into the $0.75 to $0.65 zone. This range aligns with macro green uptrend support levels. 

The target zone also represents where full liquidity completion could occur.

The analyst stresses this represents structure rather than emotional reaction. A move to these levels would keep the mega ascending triangle pattern valid. This technical formation remains a key bullish framework for longer-term price action.

Current Technical Setup Shows Mixed Signals

XRP currently trades at $1.47, showing a 4.25 percent daily gain. The asset recently bounced from lows near $1.16 after a prolonged decline. Price peaked above $2.40 in late January before the sharp reversal began.

Technical indicators paint a cautious picture. The MACD shows a bullish crossover with the signal line moving higher. However, both lines remain in negative territory suggesting momentum remains fragile. 

Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the late January crash indicating heightened volatility.

Price sits below the middle Bollinger Band at $1.56 which now acts as resistance. The lower band rests at $1.16 marking recent support. A sustained break above $1.56 would be needed to confirm any trend reversal. Until then, the broader bearish structure remains intact.

Two Paths Forward for XRP Price

EGRAG CRYPTO outlines two potential scenarios from current levels. The bull path involves a quick sweep of lower levels followed by violent reclaim. The analyst notes that fastest reversals typically happen when market sentiment breaks completely.

The alternative pain path suggests a slower bleed toward the $0.75 to $0.65 target. After tagging this final zone, a reversal could then materialize. Both scenarios maintain the view that lower prices may arrive before sustained upside begins.

The analyst adds a personal note about their trading approach. EGRAG CRYPTO states their long-term holdings remain untouched through the volatility. 

They are actively trading the macro range while dollar-cost averaging for long-term positions. The analyst also waits for the right moment to deploy remaining cash reserves.

The message to traders carries a blunt warning. EGRAG CRYPTO states that those unable to handle $0.75 to $0.65 are not built for the eventual upside. This framing suggests potential volatility remains before any major bull run materializes.

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