Matrixport: Whether sharp declines occur more frequently within 30 days is an indicator for judging a bear market.

PANews reported on February 16th that Matrixport released a daily analysis stating that a common observation for determining whether Bitcoin has entered a bear market is whether significant drops within 30 days occur more frequently. In a bull market, drops exceeding 20% ​​within 30 days are relatively rare; however, in a bear market, such drops are more likely to occur repeatedly. Meanwhile, market momentum weakened as early as mid-2025: the 30-day rate of change (ROC) shows a continuously declining upward peak, with buying pressure also decreasing accordingly.

Experienced crypto investors understand that bear markets are a natural and recurring part of the cycle, often setting the stage for the next recovery and upward movement. However, bear markets typically don't descend in a straight line; even within a larger downtrend, there are often substantial rallies. Therefore, investors should remain disciplined and continuously seek out more cost-effective short-term opportunities as market conditions change.