Dogecoin Price Prediction: Will DOGE Breakdown or Rebound to $0.11?

Key Insights:

• Dogecoin trades below the Ichimoku cloud, with a $0.10 reclaim needed to neutralise short-term bearish pressure.
• A rising trendline around $0.09 serves as the final point of defence, since a failure risks acceleration towards the $0.085 zone.
• DOGE against BTC weekly wedge tests resistance; a breakout could spark a relative strength recovery.

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading in a crucial structural zone after a prolonged downward trend in the recent sessions. Price action is squeezed under resistance as it tests the ascending support. Analysts marked $0.10 as a near-term recovery resistance level, with a pivot point immediately above. Dogecoin price is currently at a break-even point between a continuation and a relief rebound.

Dogecoin Price Faces Bearish Ichimoku Resistance

Analyst Trader Tardigrade noted that bearish momentum continues on the daily Ichimoku structure. The Dogecoin price is below the Kumo cloud, confirming the prevailing downward trend. The Tenkan-sen continues to act as a dynamic resistance, repeatedly repelling temporary recovery efforts. Every shift to this level has created a new selling thrust.

Further, the chart shows a prior collapse due to consolidation, which led to a steep -22% decline. The Chikou span follows the historical price structure and supports the bearish confirmation indicators. Also, the forward cloud projection has a downward slope with significant thickness. This structure points to a strong overhead supply and low upside follow-through.

In addition, recovery requires multiple structural shifts to invalidate bearish momentum. Price must reclaim the Tenkan-sen and flip the Kijun-sen upward. A decisive close above the cloud boundary would be required to confirm a trend reversal. Until such structural reclaim occurs, the Dogecoin price remains capped by dynamic resistance pressure.

Rising Support Compression Signals Decision Zone

In the meantime, Tardigrade presented another structural chart that highlighted the support behaviour. Price is now squeezed against an upward diagonal trend line, which has held repeatedly. Downside momentum indicates a visible deceleration towards this structural base. Directional volatility expansion is usually preceded by such compression.

In case of an ascending trendline retention, a technical rebound to the $0.10 level is structurally possible. This zone coincides with a minor horizontal resistance, as shown on the chart. The analyst’s forecast shows a brief recovery from the support level at $0.8. Reaction strength at this level will determine the structural validity of the measure.

Nonetheless, confirmation is necessary from a strong daily close above the $0.11 resistance supported by volume growth. Any sudden dip below the ascending base would invalidate the support system. This move may trigger the downside in line with the bearish structure. The Dogecoin price sits at a technical inflexion point defined by support integrity.

DOGE Price Against BTC Structure

According to analyst Surf, Dogecoin’s macro structure relative to Bitcoin provides a broader context. The weekly DOGE vs BTC chart shows a falling channel characterised by lower highs. Recently, the price approached the upper ceiling of this falling structure. Relative strength compression indicates that a structural pivot moment may occur.

Additionally, the RSI indicator reflects price movement and has its own downward resistance trendline. This squeeze between price and momentum indicates a potential breakout trigger. In the past, other compression phases preceded strong recoveries. Confirmation requires a break above descending resistance and sustained momentum.

However, a rejection at this level would strengthen the multi-month underperformance against Bitcoin.  Further weakness may keep DOGE price on a path toward previous-cycle lows within the channel structure. Moreover, the weekly chart supports the current resistance test. In this macro model, capital rotation in the wider crypto market is reflected in Dogecoin price.

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