Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP in the green: has the recovery truly begun?

Yesterday, Monday, March 30, 2026, the day started well for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. 

After a challenging week that ended on Friday with widespread declines in the stock market, the start of the new week is showing a positive trend. 

Nevertheless, it is necessary to broaden the analysis a bit to better understand the actual trend of the recent period. 

The Bitcoin Price Trend

Last Thursday, the price of BTC began to decline. 

In less than 48 hours, it dropped from $71,500 to $65,500, with two declines occurring on Thursday itself and another on Friday.

However, during the weekend it then stabilized above $66,000, and today it started the new week with a return above $67,000.

However, the current level is close to the local minimum peak reached on Sunday, March 22, so it cannot be said that an upward trend has started today. 

In fact, if we take the local peak of $76,000 reached on March 17 as a reference point, the trend might still appear bearish. 

However, it should not be forgotten that, in reality, the true trend underway is nothing more than a lateralization that has persisted since February 6, during which the price of BTC has done nothing but oscillate between $63,000 and $74,000 with rare exceptions above and below this threshold. 

To be honest, starting from March 2, the minimum threshold seems to have risen to around $66,000, with rare exceptions below this level, and since the maximum threshold has remained the same, perhaps we can breathe a small sigh of relief. 

However, it is absolutely not possible to rule out further declines. 

Ethereum and XRP

In some respects, similar situations also apply to ETH and XRP.

The price of Ethereum has been moving sideways within a range between $1,800 and $2,200 since February 6th, although Friday’s drop stopped just below $2,000, and today’s minor rebound has already pushed it back above this threshold. 

For XRP, the situation is similar, albeit slightly different. 

In fact, after the local minimum peak on February 6, which hit approximately $1.2, it initially rebounded to almost $1.5, but then, starting shortly after mid-March, it seems to have entered a descending lateralization. 

For example, Friday’s low peak was around $1.32, but today it hit another at $1.30. 

However, the differences seem truly minimal, so much so that it can be easily summarized by stating that BTC, ETH, and XRP are following a similar trend. 

ETFs

It is noteworthy that at the end of last week, there were significant outflows from crypto ETFs.

For example, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total outflow of nearly 400 million dollars between Thursday and Friday, while cumulative outflows on Ethereum exceeded 140 million. 

On the other hand, XRP has not experienced any significant inflows or outflows, although the explanation is not particularly positive. 

Indeed, after a notably significant start in December 2025, with inflows exceeding $200 million in a single day, interest in XRP spot ETFs already seems to have waned starting from December. 

Suffice it to say that since February, almost every day has ended with minimal inflows or outflows, never exceeding 20 million dollars per day. Furthermore, starting from March, these figures have further decreased, never surpassing even 5 million in inflows and 6 million in outflows. 

It now seems increasingly clear that only spot Bitcoin ETFs are capable of recording significant inflows or outflows among crypto assets, with Ethereum holding up, but at decidedly lower levels, and altcoins, from this perspective, not garnering much interest from the market. 

The Forecasts

At the moment, as usual, there are numerous different forecasts circulating, but there are some trends worth highlighting. 

In fact, regarding the short term, there are several cautiously optimistic hypotheses circulating, if only because after what happened last week, it seems that the situation is stabilizing somewhat. 

The most important perspective is obviously related to the war in the Middle East, and from this point of view, the short-term situation does not seem to show signs of escalating. 

The narrative shifts when looking at the medium term, as the risk is increasingly emerging that the situation may become unsustainable in the long run. 

There are several indicators suggesting that currently the economy and finance of the world’s strongest country, the USA, are healthy, but the same indicators also point to potential serious risks in the medium to long term if the situation does not improve. 

After all, it’s no coincidence that the price of gold has remained very high. 

In the long term, however, there is much more uncertainty, especially because in November there will be midterm elections in the USA that could revolutionize their political landscape. Trump will remain in office, but if he faces a Congress with a Democratic majority, he will have to scale back significantly. 

The crypto market will presumably continue to follow the general trend, therefore all this will not only impact traditional assets.