The post Lindsey graham backs diplomacy over military action in Iran conflict appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Lindsey Graham now supports diplomatic effortsThe post Lindsey graham backs diplomacy over military action in Iran conflict appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Lindsey Graham now supports diplomatic efforts

Lindsey graham backs diplomacy over military action in Iran conflict

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Lindsey Graham now supports diplomatic efforts to resolve the US-Iran conflict. This has dropped the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday and 26% last week.

Graham’s shift from military action to diplomacy is significant, but market reaction is cautious due to skepticism about the source’s credibility. The April 7 ceasefire market fell 2%, and April 15 odds dropped to 18% from 20% yesterday. The April 30 market rose slightly to 38% YES, indicating traders see potential for diplomacy later.

Trading volume across these markets is $1,365,780, with the April 15 market showing the most liquidity at $594,502/day. The largest move was a 4-point rise in the April 30 market, likely due to traders betting on longer-term diplomatic success.

Graham’s support for diplomacy could shift the focus from military action to negotiation, potentially increasing ceasefire chances. However, skepticism persists without concrete diplomatic progress. A YES share at 8¢ for April 7 offers a 12.5x return if a ceasefire occurs — a bet on quick diplomatic progress.

Traders should monitor announcements of talks or changes in rhetoric from figures like Trump, Rubio, or CENTCOM. A confirmed negotiation date or intermediary involvement from Oman or Qatar would be crucial.

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Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/lindsey-graham-backs-diplomacy-over-military-action-in-iran-conflict/

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