Whew! Barely Beat BTC Avalanche!!

Now Adjust To What Is Next, With Dispatch And Clarity, Even Beyond AI

Congrats to those who followed the most recent very timely BTC sell signal provided in my prior post on Friday, 29 May 2026 on the open at 73,512.56. The market then began crashing only two days later on Sunday 31 May.

During the intervening time from then until now, the flow of information and the resulting market action have provided additional data and insight.

This post will indicate the actions to be taken, and then to be soon followed in my next post with some brief analyses of the underlying reasons.

So now is the time to re-adjust allocations to reflect key evolving realities, as follows:

1. The probabilities are that the final bottom is either very near or already now established at $59,073.01;
2. However, a greater than usual number of very significant events are still looming overhead, still weighing very heavily and may well be the cause of additional decline to new lower lows (including: 1. the SpaceX AI IPO with other major AI IPO’s expected to soon follow, 2. the first meeting of the USA Fed held by new Chairman Kevin Warsh, 3. the final attempts to pass the USA Clarity Act before then end of this last legislative session prior to all focus going to the November mid-term elections, 4. Strait of Hormuz re-opening for energy shipping (or further escalation of war), 5. USA mid-term elections in the first week of November);
3. Having said that, the probabilities are now increasingly showing that any such lower lows will not be much lower than we are at now at the time of this writing at $61,100;
4. In the currently most likely scenario, in the event of a new lower low, the final bottom will be in the area of $50,000, which is the place which we have long identified as an area of major support which may well prove to be strong enough to stop the decline and support a new bull market (and where we have GTC limit orders waiting to be filled if and when prices arrive there). If then market declines enough to arrive there, it would very likely be seen clearly in hindsight, as a truly epic buying opportunity, especially when looking back from the time in the not too distant future when it has risen 10x to $500,000;
5. The main point being that my prior 50%–50% split of remaining cash between the two areas of support at $50,000, and lower at $25,000, should now be readjusted to reflect the higher probability that the decline will never actually reach down to the $25,000 level;
6. So I am now allocating the remaining available cash, per the following: 66% near the $50,000 level, and 33% near the $25,000 level;
7. Then 50% to 80% of the 33% allocated to buy orders near the $25,000 support, will be allocated to my next buy signal upon its eventual arrival. With the exact allocation number between 50% and 80% to be determined by the date and strength of the next buy when it arrives.

ACTION that I am taking now without delay, is to raise the allocation of my remaining available cash at the $50,000 support level, from the prior 50%, up to the new allocation of 66%.

Because all roads will lead, over the fullness of time, to BTC leading all other major asset classes up out of any anticipated and/or actual economic malaise from any and all causes that come our way. And that is because BTC remains to be the only one asset in human history which has a maximum total supply which is strictly limited by code which is maintained by the largest and most decentralized network in human history (rather than by authorities which may be trusted today, but which may become untrustworthy by whims of human weaknesses at any time).

Therefore, once again, the best reasoning remains the same. HODL the majority of your BTC for the much longer term and do not allow short term panics to trick you into selling. We are only working with our available excess cash reserves, to attempt to add to our base position HODLings in more strategic ways when such opportunities appear to arise.

So after liquidating that portion of our holdings that were added based upon the most recent buy signal back on 4 March 2026, we will patiently await the next buy signal, AND continue to maintain our buy orders at the lower levels of support reiterated (and now newly readjusted as to percentage of remaining available cash), as follows:

Place/maintain Good Till Canceled (GTC) orders to add to BTC holdings near the levels of anticipated major support (either one of which may prove to be strong enough to stop and reverse the decline), as follows:

66% of remaining cash near the $50,000 level;

33% of remaining cash near the $25,000 level.

All of the same thinking applies to the BTC spot ETF’s, but only as adjusted to their equivalent prices.

Again, the most well-reasoned economic decision that we can hope to make during anticipated difficulties, continues, through thick and thin, to be this:

HODL (Hold On For Dear Life) to the majority of your BTC.

Best wishes!!!

Disclaimers: The views in this article are the author’s personal views. This commentary is provided for general informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities referred to. Individual circumstances and current events are critical to sound investment planning; anyone wishing to act on this article should consult with their advisor. The information provided in this article has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is believed to be accurate at the time of publishing, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, crypto currencies and money market funds involves the risk of loss. Their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated in the future.

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Whew! Barely Beat BTC Avalanche!! was originally published in Coinmonks on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.