Token Unlock Wave Approaches: ARB, SUI, SOL and Others Face Fresh Supply Pressure

A new wave of token unlocks is approaching the market, with several mid- and large-cap projects preparing to release additional supply into circulation.

While not all unlocks carry the same structural weight, the concentration of events across multiple ecosystems could influence short-term volatility and liquidity conditions.

Based on the latest dashboard data, projects including Arbitrum (ARB), SUI, Solana (SOL), Jupiter (JUP), GRASS, ENA, ZRO, KATO, and YZY are scheduled for notable unlocks in the coming days.

Largest Unlocks by Value

Among the most significant upcoming releases:

• YZY: ~$304 million (≈17.24% of supply)
• GRASS: ~$151 million (≈11.51%)
• KATO: ~$90 million (≈3.08%)
• ARB (Arbitrum): ~$50.5 million (≈1.82%)
• ZRO: ~$46.2 million (≈3.27%)
• JUP: ~$40.7 million (≈0.73%)
• SOL (Solana): ~$34 million (≈0.43%)
• ENA: ~$30 million (≈2.37%)
• SUI: ~$24.2 million (≈1.31%)

YZY and GRASS stand out due to the size of their unlocks relative to circulating supply. Double-digit percentage releases tend to attract trader attention, particularly in thinner liquidity environments.

Supply Context Matters

It’s important to consider how much of each token has already been released.

• ENA has already distributed over 50% of its supply.
• JUP and GRASS are approaching the mid-40% range.
• ARB sits near 51% released.
• SUI remains below 40% released.
• SOL shows just over 24% released so far.

Projects with lower released percentages may still face longer-term emission overhangs, while those already past the halfway mark may see more gradual dilution effects.

Market Impact: Rotation or Pressure?

Token unlocks do not automatically translate into selling pressure. The actual impact depends on:

• Who receives the tokens (team, investors, ecosystem funds)
• Vesting terms and lockups
• Market sentiment at the time of release
• Liquidity depth on major exchanges

However, when multiple unlocks cluster within the same window, traders often position defensively. That can temporarily suppress upside momentum, especially for tokens already trading near local resistance levels.

For larger-cap assets like SOL and ARB, the unlock percentages are relatively small compared to total market cap, suggesting limited structural disruption unless broader risk appetite weakens.

For mid-cap names such as GRASS or YZY, the proportional increase in circulating supply is more material and could create short-term volatility.

Structural Takeaway

This unlock cycle appears broad rather than concentrated in a single ecosystem. That reduces systemic risk but increases the likelihood of localized price reactions.

If liquidity conditions remain stable and demand absorbs new supply, the events may pass with limited disruption. If risk appetite contracts, however, unlocks can amplify downside moves as fresh tokens meet thin order books.

The coming days will show whether the market treats these releases as routine emissions, or as catalysts for renewed volatility.

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