The post AVAX Technical Analysis Feb 23 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AVAX is testing a critical resistance at $8.58, while bullish signals appeared on theThe post AVAX Technical Analysis Feb 23 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AVAX is testing a critical resistance at $8.58, while bullish signals appeared on the

AVAX Technical Analysis Feb 23

AVAX is testing a critical resistance at $8.58, while bullish signals appeared on the MACD histogram despite the short-term downtrend. As RSI approaches the oversold region at 34, both upside breakout and downside breakout scenarios are supported by strong support and resistance levels.

Current Market Situation

AVAX is trading at $8.58 with a 3.16% drop in the last 24 hours and is stuck in the $8.33-$8.90 range. Volume remains at a moderate level of $246.96 million, while the overall trend continues downward. Looking at technical indicators, RSI at 34.39 is close to the oversold region but does not signal momentum loss. The positive histogram formation on MACD indicates a short-term bullish divergence, while the short-term bearish structure prevails as the price remains below EMA20 ($9.36). The Supertrend indicator gives a bearish signal and positions $10.30 as a strong resistance.

In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, a total of 8 strong levels were identified on 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, 2 supports/2 resistances on 1W. Critical supports $8.3133 (score: 75/100) and $7.5500 (score: 60/100); resistances $8.6033 (score: 70/100) and $8.8733 (score: 64/100). These levels are confirmed by Fibonacci retracements, pivot points, and volume profiles. There is no specific breakout news for AVAX recently, but the general altcoin market is affected by BTC dominance.

Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario

How Does This Scenario Occur?

For the bullish scenario, the $8.6033 resistance must first be clearly broken and confirmed with a close. If this breakout is supported by increased volume and RSI rising above 50, it leads to a test of EMA20 ($9.36). Expansion of the MACD histogram and Supertrend turning bullish strengthen the momentum. If the bull flag pattern completes on the 1D chart, bounces from supports on 3D and 1W are triggered. Triggering factors include BTC rising to $65,825 resistance or altcoin rotation. This scenario is invalidated by a daily close below the $8.3133 support – in that case, bullish momentum resets.

Target Levels

The first target is $8.8733 (score: 64/100), from where EMA20 at $9.36 is surpassed. In the second wave, if the $10.30 Supertrend resistance breaks, the main target $11.2500 (score: 25/100) comes into play – this level aligns with 1W Fibonacci extension and previous high-volume peaks. The risk/reward ratio from current levels is around 1:2.5, but detailed R/R calculations can be found on the AVAX Spot Analysis page. For long-term targets, monitor the $12-14 band on the 1W chart, but this scenario depends on the short-term breakout.

Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario

Risk Factors

The bearish scenario is triggered by a high-volume break of the $8.3133 support (score: 75/100) – confirmed by RSI dropping below 30 and negative divergence on the MACD histogram. Since Supertrend is already bearish, distancing from EMA20 accelerates the decline. Sequential breaks of 1D and 3D supports in MTF lead to $7.5500 (score: 60/100) on 1W. Risk factors include BTC breaking $63,970 support, rising BTC dominance, and low-volume consolidation. This scenario represents a continuation of the general market downtrend and is strengthened by correction of the short-term oversold RSI. Invalidation criterion: Weekly close at $8.6033 resistance – this signals a bullish reversal.

Protection Levels

The first protection is $7.5500; if broken, the main target $5.2897 (score: 22/100) comes into focus – this level is supported by 1W Fibonacci deep retracement and strong volume gap. Detailed stop-loss suggestions for leveraged positions can be reviewed on the AVAX Futures Analysis page. The risk/reward ratio is close to 1:3, but volatility is high. In a long-term decline, the $4-5 band becomes a monitoring point, but this scenario focuses on immediate breakout.

Which Scenario to Watch?

The decision point is in the $8.3133-$8.6033 range: For upside breakout, look for volume >20% increase and RSI>45; for downside breakout, negative MACD and volume spike are critical. Daily/4H candle closes are mandatory for confirmation – early entries carry fakeout risk. Bollinger Bands contraction signals volatility explosion; %K Stochastic crossovers provide additional confirmation. In both scenarios, invalidation levels are clear: Below $8.31 for bulls, above $8.60 close for bears. Traders should use the AVAX Spot Analysis and AVAX Futures Analysis pages for multi-timeframe confirmation.

Bitcoin Correlation

AVAX shows high correlation with BTC (%0.85+), while BTC’s downtrend at $65,492 is pressuring altcoins. If BTC cannot hold $63,970 support, AVAX’s $7.55 break accelerates; conversely, a bounce to $65,825 resistance triggers AVAX upside. BTC Supertrend bearish signal delays altcoin rotation – if BTC drops below $62,400, AVAX $5.29 scenario takes precedence. If BTC dominance rises (currently %55+), AVAX remains under bearish pressure. Key BTC levels: Supports $63,970/$62,400/$60,000; Resistances $65,825/$68,218/$71,069. AVAX traders should prioritize monitoring the BTC chart.

Conclusion and Monitoring Notes

AVAX is at a critical juncture: $8.60 breakout for upside, $8.31 break for downside are the main triggers. Monitoring points: Volume profile, RSI divergences, MTF supports/resistances, and BTC correlation. Traders should test scenarios with their own risk management – volatility is high, early signals may contain fakeouts. Daily closes and news flow (Avalanche ecosystem updates) are additional catalysts. Follow AVAX Spot Analysis and AVAX Futures Analysis for detailed charts. This analysis is for educational purposes to understand market dynamics.

This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.

Strategy Analyst: David Kim

Macro market analysis and portfolio management

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/avax-technical-analysis-february-23-2026-will-it-rise-or-fall

Market Opportunity
Avalanche Logo
Avalanche Price(AVAX)
$8.339
$8.339$8.339
-2.69%
USD
Avalanche (AVAX) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Unprecedented Surge: Gold Price Hits Astounding New Record High

Unprecedented Surge: Gold Price Hits Astounding New Record High

BitcoinWorld Unprecedented Surge: Gold Price Hits Astounding New Record High While the world often buzzes with the latest movements in Bitcoin and altcoins, a traditional asset has quietly but powerfully commanded attention: gold. This week, the gold price has once again made headlines, touching an astounding new record high of $3,704 per ounce. This significant milestone reminds investors, both traditional and those deep in the crypto space, of gold’s enduring appeal as a store of value and a hedge against uncertainty. What’s Driving the Record Gold Price Surge? The recent ascent of the gold price to unprecedented levels is not a random event. Several powerful macroeconomic forces are converging, creating a perfect storm for the precious metal. Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts and global instability often drive investors towards safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history of retaining value during crises, becomes a preferred choice. Inflation Concerns: Persistent inflation in major economies erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies. Consequently, investors seek assets like gold that historically maintain their value against rising prices. Central Bank Policies: Many central banks globally are accumulating gold at a significant pace. This institutional demand provides a strong underlying support for the gold price. Furthermore, expectations around interest rate cuts in the future also make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. These factors collectively paint a picture of a cautious market, where investors are looking for stability amidst a turbulent economic landscape. Understanding Gold’s Appeal in Today’s Market For centuries, gold has held a unique position in the financial world. Its latest record-breaking performance reinforces its status as a critical component of a diversified portfolio. Gold offers a tangible asset that is not subject to the same digital vulnerabilities or regulatory shifts that can impact cryptocurrencies. While digital assets offer exciting growth potential, gold provides a foundational stability that appeals to a broad spectrum of investors. Moreover, the finite supply of gold, much like Bitcoin’s capped supply, contributes to its perceived value. The current market environment, characterized by economic uncertainty and fluctuating currency values, only amplifies gold’s intrinsic benefits. It serves as a reliable hedge when other asset classes, including stocks and sometimes even crypto, face downward pressure. How Does This Record Gold Price Impact Investors? A soaring gold price naturally raises questions for investors. For those who already hold gold, this represents a significant validation of their investment strategy. For others, it might spark renewed interest in this ancient asset. Benefits for Investors: Portfolio Diversification: Gold often moves independently of other asset classes, offering crucial diversification benefits. Wealth Preservation: It acts as a robust store of value, protecting wealth against inflation and economic downturns. Liquidity: Gold markets are highly liquid, allowing for relatively easy buying and selling. Challenges and Considerations: Opportunity Cost: Investing in gold means capital is not allocated to potentially higher-growth assets like equities or certain cryptocurrencies. Volatility: While often seen as stable, gold prices can still experience significant fluctuations, as evidenced by its rapid ascent. Considering the current financial climate, understanding gold’s role can help refine your overall investment approach. Looking Ahead: The Future of the Gold Price What does the future hold for the gold price? While no one can predict market movements with absolute certainty, current trends and expert analyses offer some insights. Continued geopolitical instability and persistent inflationary pressures could sustain demand for gold. Furthermore, if global central banks continue their gold acquisition spree, this could provide a floor for prices. However, a significant easing of inflation or a de-escalation of global conflicts might reduce some of the immediate upward pressure. Investors should remain vigilant, observing global economic indicators and geopolitical developments closely. The ongoing dialogue between traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space also plays a role. As more investors become comfortable with both gold and cryptocurrencies, a nuanced understanding of how these assets complement each other will be crucial for navigating future market cycles. The recent surge in the gold price to a new record high of $3,704 per ounce underscores its enduring significance in the global financial landscape. It serves as a powerful reminder of gold’s role as a safe haven asset, a hedge against inflation, and a vital component for portfolio diversification. While digital assets continue to innovate and capture headlines, gold’s consistent performance during times of uncertainty highlights its timeless value. Whether you are a seasoned investor or new to the market, understanding the drivers behind gold’s ascent is crucial for making informed financial decisions in an ever-evolving world. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What does a record-high gold price signify for the broader economy? A record-high gold price often indicates underlying economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and geopolitical instability. Investors tend to flock to gold as a safe haven when they lose confidence in traditional currencies or other asset classes. Q2: How does gold compare to cryptocurrencies as a safe-haven asset? Both gold and some cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin) are often considered safe havens. Gold has a centuries-long history of retaining value during crises, offering tangibility. Cryptocurrencies, while newer, offer decentralization and can be less susceptible to traditional financial system failures, but they also carry higher volatility and regulatory risks. Q3: Should I invest in gold now that its price is at a record high? Investing at a record high requires careful consideration. While the price might continue to climb due to ongoing market conditions, there’s also a risk of a correction. It’s crucial to assess your personal financial goals, risk tolerance, and consider diversifying your portfolio rather than putting all your capital into a single asset. Q4: What are the main factors that influence the gold price? The gold price is primarily influenced by global economic uncertainty, inflation rates, interest rate policies by central banks, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and geopolitical tensions. Demand from jewelers and industrial uses also play a role, but investment and central bank demand are often the biggest drivers. Q5: Is gold still a good hedge against inflation? Historically, gold has proven to be an effective hedge against inflation. When the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, gold tends to hold its value or even increase, making it an attractive asset for preserving wealth during inflationary periods. To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin’s price action. This post Unprecedented Surge: Gold Price Hits Astounding New Record High first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:30
Ondo Finance's multisignature wallet transferred over 24 million ONDO tokens to Coinbase.

Ondo Finance's multisignature wallet transferred over 24 million ONDO tokens to Coinbase.

PANews reported on February 24 that, according to Ember Monitoring, a multisignature wallet under Ondo Finance transferred approximately 24.475 million ONDO tokens
Share
PANews2026/02/24 08:53
Stablecore Joins Jack Henry: Stablecoins for Banks

Stablecore Joins Jack Henry: Stablecoins for Banks

The post Stablecore Joins Jack Henry: Stablecoins for Banks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The digital asset infrastructure company Stablecore has joined
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2026/02/24 09:02