UNI Price Prediction: Oversold Conditions Target $4.50 Recovery by March 2026
Iris Coleman Feb 24, 2026 12:18
UNI trades at $3.31 with RSI at 37.00 signaling oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $4.50 resistance if $3.17 support holds through Q1 2026.
UNI Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $3.68 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $4.00-$4.50 range
• Bullish breakout level: $4.34 (50-day SMA) • Critical support: $3.17
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap
While specific analyst predictions from recent weeks are limited, available forecasts from early January 2026 provide valuable context for the current Uniswap price action. James Ding projected UNI targets of $6.30-$7.50 driven by token burns and MACD signals, while Rongchai Wang identified a $7.69 target within 4-6 weeks based on momentum building.
However, Peter Zhang's more recent analysis showed bearish momentum at $5.40 with RSI at 41.60, suggesting the market has since corrected significantly from those earlier bullish projections. The current price of $3.31 represents a substantial decline from those January predictions.
On-chain metrics from platforms like CryptoQuant suggest that despite the recent weakness, UNI's oversold conditions may present a tactical opportunity for recovery.
UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current UNI price prediction relies heavily on technical indicators showing oversold conditions. At $3.31, Uniswap trades below all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $6.71 highlighting the extent of the recent decline.
The RSI reading of 37.00 indicates UNI is approaching oversold territory, though not yet at extreme levels. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has potentially stalled, which could signal a bottoming process.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals UNI's position at 0.23, indicating the token is trading closer to the lower band ($3.21) than the upper band ($3.68). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves in trading ranges.
The daily ATR of $0.32 suggests moderate volatility, providing room for meaningful price movements in either direction.
Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The primary Uniswap forecast for recovery targets the upper Bollinger Band at $3.68 as an initial resistance level. A break above this level could lead to testing the 20-day EMA at $3.47, followed by the stronger resistance at $3.57.
The most significant bullish target remains the 50-day SMA at $4.34, which would represent a 31% gain from current levels. Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 50 and MACD turning positive.
A sustained move above $4.34 could open the path toward the previous analyst targets in the $6.00-$7.00 range, though this would require broader market support.
Bearish Scenario
The bear case for this UNI price prediction centers on a breakdown below the critical support at $3.17. This level represents the lower Bollinger Band and strong technical support identified in the current analysis.
A break below $3.17 could trigger additional selling toward psychological support at $3.00, with further downside potential to $2.50 if broader crypto markets remain weak.
Risk factors include continued DeFi sector rotation, regulatory concerns around decentralized exchanges, and potential competition from newer DEX protocols.
Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy
Based on the current technical setup, a defensive entry strategy appears most appropriate for UNI. The immediate support at $3.24 offers a tactical entry point with a tight stop-loss below $3.17.
More conservative investors might wait for confirmation above the pivot point at $3.37 before establishing positions. This approach reduces downside risk while still capturing potential upside to the $3.68-$4.00 range.
Risk management is crucial given UNI's position below major moving averages. Position sizing should account for potential volatility, with stop-losses placed below the $3.17 technical support level.
The reward-to-risk ratio favors buyers at current levels, with potential upside to $4.34 representing nearly 31% gains versus 4% risk to the stop-loss level.
Conclusion
This UNI price prediction suggests oversold conditions may provide a tactical opportunity for recovery toward $4.50 over the coming month. While the broader trend remains bearish with price below all major moving averages, technical indicators suggest a potential bottoming process.
The Uniswap forecast depends heavily on maintaining support above $3.17 and broader crypto market stability. Traders should approach with appropriate risk management and position sizing.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.
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