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Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

897 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Prediction Markets Pinpoint Gemini 3.0 Release Window

Prediction Markets Pinpoint Gemini 3.0 Release Window

The post Prediction Markets Pinpoint Gemini 3.0 Release Window appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Market bets predict Gemini 3.0 Flash’s late December release. High confidence with 91% probability by December 31. Insider knowledge suggested by precise prediction patterns. Google’s Gemini 3.0 Flash, anticipated for release between December 16 and December 31, 2025, has traders confidently locking bets within this window on prediction markets. The expected release could intensify interest and investment in AI-related tech, despite Gemini’s non-crypto nature, impacting AI-focused tokens and decentralized AI project sentiments. December Release Expected for Gemini 3.0 at 91% Probability According to recent monitoring, prediction markets are forecasting that Gemini 3.0 Flash is highly likely to see release in late December. Traders have locked the predicted window between December 16 and December 31. This suggests a high degree of confidence in timing, possibly due to insider knowledge. “Insider-informed traders are heavily positioning for Gemini 3.0 Flash to launch between December 16 and December 31, 2025, reflecting high market confidence.” Market behavior shows strong alignment, with traders placing significant bets against earlier release dates. This pattern indicates confidence in Google’s current testing and adjustment phase needing more time. AI and Crypto Markets Align on December Timing Did you know? Prior releases like Gemini 2.5 were also heavily predicted by insider-informed trading, highlighting a tendency for accuracy in these markets. Ethereum (ETH) is currently valued at $3,043.15, according to CoinMarketCap. With a market cap of $367.29 billion, ETH holds an 11.87% market dominance. Recent price movements show a 0.25% increase in the past 24 hours despite a 30.15% decline over three months. Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 18:51 UTC on November 28, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap The Coincu research team notes that Gemini 3.0’s release reinforces trends in AI development affecting tech markets. Expectations include technological integration with AI dApps and DeFi on Layer 1/2 platforms, leading to…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/29

Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

                                                                               Cleanspark, Riot, Cipher and Circle rose higher as the odds of a US rate-cut in December reached its highest level of the month on the prediction market.                     Several crypto-linked stocks climbed on Friday as prediction-market odds of a December rate cut surged to 87% on Polymarket, the highest level this month.Three US-listed Bitcoin miners led the rally, with Cleanspark, Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining all rising in the session and showing double-digit gains over the past five days.Yahoo Finance data showed Circle, the issuer of USDC, jumped nearly 10% in early trading, while Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Coinbase notched more modest increases at the time of writing.Read more

Author: Coinstats

2025/11/29

Weekly Crypto Regulation Roundup: SEC Clears Solana’s Fuse Token and Trump Eyes Crypto-Friendly Fed Chair

Weekly Crypto Regulation Roundup: SEC Clears Solana’s Fuse Token and Trump Eyes Crypto-Friendly Fed Chair

It’s been another consequential week in Washington and beyond, with U.S. regulators sending mixed but meaningful signs across crypto, AI, and financial

Author: CryptoNews

2025/11/29

Market Tightens as XRP Approaches Key Breakout Zone

Market Tightens as XRP Approaches Key Breakout Zone

The post Market Tightens as XRP Approaches Key Breakout Zone appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. XRP’s $2.16 support holds as buyers defend short-term levels amid rising volatility. Futures open interest nears $4B, signaling stronger volatility and leveraged positioning. Exchange outflows persist, showing cautious market sentiment near $2.23 consolidation. XRP continues to stabilize near $2.23 after recovering sharply from the recent $1.82 low. The market is now watching a tightening structure that reflects rising volatility, shifting liquidity, and increasing leveraged exposure. XRP trades inside a narrow band where buyers defend short-term supports while futures activity builds ahead of a possible breakout.  This compression signals a decisive move as traders react to broader risk conditions and fluctuating flows. The latest chart behavior shows price holding short-term strength, yet the overall trend still reflects weakness from earlier losses. Hence, the next major direction will depend on whether buyers can sustain control above key Fibonacci levels. Price Structure and Key Technical Barriers XRP Price Dynamic (Source: TradingView) XRP holds above the $2.16 area, which continues to act as dynamic support. The 9 EMA slopes higher and keeps the short-term trend aligned with buyers. Price also trades above the Bollinger mid-band, showing steady momentum.  Besides, the rebound from the $2.02 region reinforces a strong base. A deeper decline toward $1.82 remains possible if momentum fades. Related: Pi Price Prediction: Market Watches Pullback as Supply Unlock Approaches Resistance sits at $2.28 and $2.29, where XRP struggles to break higher. A move above this range opens space toward $2.36. That level aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci zone and marks a decisive hurdle.  Additionally, the $2.50 region remains the stronger barrier where several rallies stalled earlier this month. A push through $2.51 would shift the broader trend toward $2.69. Rising Open Interest Signals Stronger Volatility Ahead Source: Coinglass XRP futures open interest climbed toward the $4 billion mark on November 28. This increase…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/29

DeepSnitch AI Pumps 65% on 100X Moonshot Rumors as the Launch Approaches

DeepSnitch AI Pumps 65% on 100X Moonshot Rumors as the Launch Approaches

The post DeepSnitch AI Pumps 65% on 100X Moonshot Rumors as the Launch Approaches appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto Presales Robinhood steps into prediction markets by acquiring an FTX-linked company, while DeepSnitch AI sits at 100X launch rumors. Robinhood prepares to step into prediction markets by acquiring MIAXdx, a company with ties to the bankrupt FTX exchange. On the other hand, DeepSnitch AI (DSNT) is set to rival by offering its AI-based market prediction tools to everyday traders for free as they buy its presale token. The token has already surged 65% in presale and now sells at $0.02527, with rumors that it could be a 100X breakout coin in 2026 upon launch. Robinhood enters prediction markets Robinhood Markets and Susquehanna International Group have announced plans to acquire a 90% stake in MIAXdx, formerly called LedgerX. For the record, this is one of the few solvent companies that had ties to the bankrupt FTX exchange. This move is in line with Robinhood’s interest to enter the prediction markets. This will put Robinhood and Susquehanna in direct competition with Kalshi and Polymarket. The move sent Robinhood shares surging 8% on Nasdaq in the hours after the acquisition announcement. Three coins are making strong moves in the market today 1. DeepSnitch AI: The #1 coin prepping for a 100X launch DeepSnitch AI offers AI-based market prediction, but not in the way Robinhood plans to do. In fact, it aims to democratize institutional-grade market intelligence tools for everyday traders. Simply put, now small retail traders will also get to frontrun the market and identify top trends instantly, like whales, with the help of AI agents. These AI agents will run across the market 24/7 to bring the latest sentiment trends, FUD alerts, whale moves, and investment opportunities to the DSNT token holders. Investors have already gone crazy and continue their buying spree of DSNT tokens in the ongoing presale. This has…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/28

Market Watches Pullback as Supply Unlock Approaches

Market Watches Pullback as Supply Unlock Approaches

The post Market Watches Pullback as Supply Unlock Approaches appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. PI holds an upward structure as buyers defend key EMA and Fibonacci support zones. Upcoming unlocks may raise volatility as supply pressure tests short-term demand. Community anticipation grows as hints of a major Pi Network update fuel sentiment. Pi is retracing after reaching the $0.27 zone, and traders are watching how the price reacts as it moves closer to key Fibonacci regions that shaped last week’s rally. The recent rejection near the 0.786 level sparked short-term profit-taking.  However, the broader market structure still leans upward because higher lows continue to form across multiple timeframes. This trend keeps interest elevated as volatility builds around major Pi Network developments and the approaching unlock schedule. Besides, rising community expectations have added another layer of focus on how PI behaves in the coming days. Technical Outlook Suggests Controlled Pullback PI remains above the 9 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the recent breakout. Hence, traders now expect the current pullback to remain controlled as long as PI stays above the $0.2520 zone. This level aligns with SuperTrend support, signaling continued strength if buyers defend it during intraday dips. PI Price Dynamics (Source:TradingView) Additionally, the mid-range Fibonacci levels form an important cluster around $0.2495. This zone marks equilibrium for the current swing. A move toward $0.2382 may still attract strong demand because it overlaps with the previous consolidation area. However, losing $0.2227 would weaken the bullish structure and shift attention to lower ranges. Related: Ethereum Price Prediction: Rising Channel Hints at Ethereum Recovery On the upside, resistance at $0.2608 remains the first level traders are watching. A break above it may trigger stronger momentum toward $0.2769. A clean move above this zone could open a path toward the $0.2974 swing high, which stands as the next major objective for bulls. Unlock Cycle and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/28

Kevin Hassett Tops Trump 2025 Fed Chair Prediction Market as Odds Surge on Rate-Cut Bets

Kevin Hassett Tops Trump 2025 Fed Chair Prediction Market as Odds Surge on Rate-Cut Bets

The post Kevin Hassett Tops Trump 2025 Fed Chair Prediction Market as Odds Surge on Rate-Cut Bets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. According to PolyBeats monitoring on November 28, traders in the Fed Chair prediction market are pricing former White House economist Kevin Hassett as the leading nominee to head the Federal Reserve should the Trump administration nominate a chair in 2025. Hassett’s probability jumped from 14.2% to 35%, a substantial move that sharpens the market’s assessment of monetary policy risk and the trajectory of benchmark rates. Market chatter frames Hassett as the most consistent dovish voice within the President’s economic team, aligning with expectations of significant rate cuts and slower policy normalization. Sources indicate the field has narrowed to a final five, with a year‑end announcement reportedly possible, a development that could further tilt market pricing for the chair candidate. In the long‑horizon forecast, the market for Who will Trump nominate as the Fed Chair? (Deadline: December 31, 2026) shows Hassett leading with about 56% probability, while current Fed Governor Christopher Waller trails at roughly 24% as a potential backup with a hawkish posture. The probability of no new chair emerging remains near zero. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/kevin-hassett-tops-trump-2025-fed-chair-prediction-market-as-odds-surge-on-rate-cut-bets

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/28

Kalshi’s Valuation Skyrockets as Investors Bet on a Prediction-Market Duopoly with Polymarket

Kalshi’s Valuation Skyrockets as Investors Bet on a Prediction-Market Duopoly with Polymarket

Kalshi’s private valuation has more than doubled in just a few weeks as it claws market share away from Polymarket. The post Kalshi’s Valuation Skyrockets as Investors Bet on a Prediction-Market Duopoly with Polymarket appeared first on Crypto News Australia.

Author: Cryptonews AU

2025/11/28

Prediction markets surge to new highs as Neutrl unlocks hidden yield

Prediction markets surge to new highs as Neutrl unlocks hidden yield

The post Prediction markets surge to new highs as Neutrl unlocks hidden yield appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This is a segment from the 0xResearch newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe. Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Prediction markets are exploding with record volumes, billion dollar raises and new players shaking up the landscape. At the same time, Neutrl is opening up one of the strongest and least talked about yield opportunities in crypto, and early numbers are already turning heads. Plenty to be thankful for in the middle of this market chop. Market Update Since my last update on prediction markets, the space has only gotten more competitive. New entrants want a slice of the rapidly growing pie, and the race for dominance now feels like a full-blown fundraising arms race. Kalshi’s valuation jumped to $11 billion after announcing a $1 billion round, following the NYSE’s $2 billion investment in Polymarket at a $9 billion valuation. Polymarket is already in early conversations to raise at a $12 billion to $15 billion valuation, suggesting that the market is heating up faster than expected. On the activity side, weekly volumes have broken past previous all-time highs, hitting $3.68 billion two weeks ago, which is 2.4x above last year’s election peak. A major reason for this surge is a new entrant called Opinion Labs. Backed by investors like YZi Labs, the platform is already doing close to one third of total volumes across prediction markets. However, most of this growth appears to be farming-driven. Opinion Labs is running a points program, and the data quickly shows it. One market alone, titled Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025, has done $1.28 billion in volume, which accounts for 32% of its total notional volume. It is not the type of market one would expect to generate that level of activity organically. Despite the volume surge, Opinion Labs only represents 14% of total open interest,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/27

Robinhood Buys MIAXdx to Own Prediction Market Stack

Robinhood Buys MIAXdx to Own Prediction Market Stack

The post Robinhood Buys MIAXdx to Own Prediction Market Stack appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Deal: Robinhood and Susquehanna are buying 90% of MIAXdx (formerly LedgerX) to control their derivatives infrastructure. The Asset: The acquisition provides a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse, allowing Robinhood to list its own contracts. The Growth: Robinhood users have traded 9 billion prediction contracts, driving the move toward vertical integration. Robinhood Markets is moving to own the infrastructure behind its fastest-growing product line. The brokerage has agreed to acquire a majority stake in the MIAX Derivatives Exchange (MIAXdx), the CFTC-regulated platform formerly known as LedgerX, in a strategic joint venture with market maker Susquehanna International Group (SIG). The deal, expected to close in Q1 2026, is a play for vertical integration. By purchasing MIAXdx from Miami International Holdings (MIAX), Robinhood gains immediate access to a Designated Contract Market (DCM) and a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO. Related: Robinhood Faces EU Regulatory Scrutiny Over New OpenAI and SpaceX Stock Tokens This dual-license structure allows Robinhood to list, execute, and clear its own event contracts and crypto derivatives, removing reliance on third-party venues. Currently, Robinhood offers prediction markets through partners; owning the stack allows for faster product listing and better economics. “Our investment in infrastructure will position us to deliver an even better experience and more innovative products,” said JB Mackenzie, VP of Futures at Robinhood. The “LedgerX” Legacy MIAXdx is the rebranded entity of LedgerX, the derivatives platform previously owned by FTX US before being sold to MIAX during the exchange’s bankruptcy proceedings in 2023. Robinhood’s acquisition effectively brings this battle-tested regulatory asset under its umbrella. Under the terms of the deal, MIAX will retain a 10% minority stake, ensuring continuity as the platform pivots toward retail-focused event contracts. Susquehanna’s Role: The Liquidity Engine  The partnership with Susquehanna is designed to solve the “cold start” problem inherent in new exchanges. As a…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/27

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