Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

890 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Truth Social’s $3B war chest meets DeFi – A new prediction market era?

Truth Social’s $3B war chest meets DeFi – A new prediction market era?

The post Truth Social’s $3B war chest meets DeFi – A new prediction market era? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Why is the Truth Social–Crypto.com partnership significant? Truth Social will become the first social media platform to integrate regulated prediction market trading directly. How can users participate? Users can convert their Truth gems from Truth Social or Truth+ into Cronos. Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent company behind Truth Social, is moving into the prediction markets space with Crypto.com. Trump Media X Crypto.com blends social and trading activity The company announced a partnership with Crypto.com’s U.S.-registered derivatives arm, CDNA, to integrate real-time event wagering tools directly into the social platform. The new feature, named “Truth Predict,” is designed for users and allows users to engage in trading prediction contracts. These contracts are associated with various topics, including political races, which encompass elections and candidates. Additionally, users can create predictions related to macroeconomic indicators, such as inflation and interest rates. The feature also covers commodity benchmarks, allowing users to predict trends in assets like gold and crude oil. Once live, Truth Social is set to become the first social media network to offer built-in prediction market technology through a regulated derivatives exchange. Remarking on the same, Devin Nunes, Chairman and CEO of Trump Media, said,  “We are thrilled to become the world’s first publicly traded social media platform to offer our users access to prediction markets.”  Financial tie-ins and CRO integration This came at a time when the firm is highlighting its strengthened financial position by holding over $3 billion in assets and recording its first quarter of positive operating cash flow since going public. Adding more information, Kris Marszalek, Co-Founder and CEO of Crypto.com, noted,  “Prediction markets are poised to be a multi-deca-billion dollar industry.” The launch will also integrate with Trump Media’s rewards system. This system allows Truth Social and Truth+ users to convert earned “Truth…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Is the Fed About to Unleash a Crypto Liquidity Surge?

Is the Fed About to Unleash a Crypto Liquidity Surge?

The post Is the Fed About to Unleash a Crypto Liquidity Surge? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets are pricing in a 98% chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver a 25 basis point rate cut at its late October meeting. Meanwhile, there is also speculation that the central bank may also soon signal an end to quantitative tightening (QT). Crypto traders are watching closely, drawing comparisons to the 2019 liquidity surge that boosted Bitcoin and sparked hopes for another strong rally in November. Sponsored Sponsored Prediction Markets and Macro Signals Point Dovish The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is highly anticipated in traditional and digital asset markets. Investors are looking for indications of a policy shift. Reducing interest rates and ending QT could boost financial system liquidity, which has historically supported risk assets. Data from Polymarket shows a 98% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25bps at its October 28-29 meeting. Fed Rate Cut Bets. Source: Polymarket Data on the CME FedWatch Tool corroborates this outlook, showing that the Fed’s decision to cut rates today is near certain, at 99.9%. Meanwhile, discussions are intensifying about the possible end of QT, a process by which the Fed reduces its balance sheet by not reinvesting in maturing securities. Research by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland stresses the need for maintaining ample reserves. The market instability of September 2019, when reserves dipped too low, prompted central bank intervention and liquidity injections. At that time, Bitcoin prices roughly tripled over several months. Sponsored Sponsored Crypto Markets Eye a 2019-Style Rally Against these backdrops, many crypto analysts are connecting current events to potential market impacts. “The FOMC meeting is tomorrow. Papa Powell is expected to cut interest rates by 25bps. Rumors are floating that we could see the end of QT tomorrow. On top of that, the US-China trade deal could be finalized soon.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Top 5 Prediction Marketplaces Right Now

Top 5 Prediction Marketplaces Right Now

The post Top 5 Prediction Marketplaces Right Now appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Prediction marketplaces are surging in popularity by transforming speculation and forecasting into a structured, tradable activity. Their roots go back decades with platforms like Iowa Electronic Markets, where researchers used real-money contracts to predict election outcomes. Over time, this evolved into more formalized exchanges like PredictIt and Kashi, which operate under U.S. regulatory oversight.  What …

Author: CoinPedia
Kalshi Challenges New York Over Sports Prediction Market Regulations

Kalshi Challenges New York Over Sports Prediction Market Regulations

The post Kalshi Challenges New York Over Sports Prediction Market Regulations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Caroline Bishop Oct 28, 2025 16:06 Kalshi files a lawsuit against New York, arguing federal authority over derivatives preempts state gambling laws, challenging the shutdown of its sports prediction markets. Kalshi, a federally regulated derivatives exchange, has initiated legal proceedings against New York in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York. The lawsuit seeks to halt the state’s enforcement actions aimed at shutting down Kalshi’s sports prediction markets, according to CryptoNews. The conflict arose after the New York State Gaming Commission sent Kalshi a cease-and-desist letter on October 24, 2025, alleging that the exchange’s sports-related contracts breached state gambling laws. The commission demanded an immediate cessation of operations within the state, threatening civil penalties and criminal action. Federal Authority Clashes With State Gambling Oversight Kalshi’s defense is grounded in its designation as a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-approved contract market, a status granted in 2020 after meeting rigorous regulatory standards. The exchange argues that the Commodity Exchange Act, under which it operates, was designed by Congress to preempt state regulation and avoid a fragmented legal landscape across the United States. The New York regulators, however, contend that Kalshi’s contracts amount to sports wagering, requiring a state sports gaming license. They assert that the platform’s current operations constitute illegal gambling under state law. Prediction Market’s Existential Threat The outcome of this lawsuit could significantly impact the operation of prediction markets across state lines, as it questions the extent of federal preemption over state laws. The case also echoes similar legal actions in other states, such as New Jersey and Nevada, where entities like Robinhood are challenging state refusals to recognize federal rulings favoring Kalshi. Kalshi warns that enforcing state-by-state restrictions could disrupt its operations and lead to substantial…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
President Trump’s Truth Social Partners With Crypto.com to Disrupt Prediction Markets — What To Expect

President Trump’s Truth Social Partners With Crypto.com to Disrupt Prediction Markets — What To Expect

Trump Media and Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social, announced a new partnership with Crypto.com that will bring prediction markets to the social media platform, positioning it as the first publicly traded social media company to integrate such technology. The collaboration, made through Crypto.com’s U.S. affiliate, Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), will allow Truth Social users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events ranging from elections and economic data to sports and commodities. The new feature, called Truth Predict, will embed CDNA’s event contracts directly within the Truth Social app. Users will be able to access real-time prediction markets covering topics such as inflation rates, political races, and sports results. Is Trump’s Truth Social About to Redefine Prediction Markets? According to the announcement, prices will update live, allowing users to react instantly to breaking developments. “We are thrilled to become the world’s first publicly traded social media platform to offer users access to prediction markets,” said Devin Nunes, CEO of Trump Media. He described the initiative as an effort to “democratize information and empower everyday Americans,” adding that Truth Predict would combine user engagement with market sentiment to create what the company calls “actionable foresight.” The event contracts will be offered through CDNA, a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse, providing a federally compliant structure for users in the United States. The arrangement gives Truth Social access to a regulated prediction market framework at a time when demand for such platforms is surging. Crypto.com co-founder and CEO Kris Marszalek said the partnership aligns with the company’s goal of expanding regulated financial products within digital ecosystems. “Prediction markets are poised to become a multi-deca-billion dollar industry,” Marszalek said. “We’re thrilled to combine with Truth Social to support the world’s first prediction markets available from a social media platform.” Crypto.com Expands U.S. Footprint With Futures, Bank Charter, and Truth Social Partnership The partnership comes as both firms deepen their involvement in the U.S. financial system. In September, Crypto.com secured approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to offer margined derivatives through its CDNA subsidiary. The firm’s U.S. arm, Crypto.com | FCM, also became a registered Futures Commission Merchant, allowing it to provide leveraged derivatives for both retail and institutional clients. Last week, Crypto.com filed an application with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to obtain a National Trust Bank Charter. The move could make it one of the few crypto firms with federal recognition, expanding its custody and staking services across multiple blockchains, including its native Cronos network. The company also recently announced an integration with Morpho, the second-largest DeFi lending protocol, to introduce stablecoin lending and wrapped asset deposits on Cronos. Under the Truth Social integration, users who hold “Truth gems,” a reward earned through engagement on the platform, will be able to convert them into Cronos’ native token (CRO) and use them to buy Truth Predict contracts. This follows the companies’ earlier decision to establish Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc., a joint venture intended to manage a digital asset treasury focused on CRO. Beta testing for Truth Predict will begin soon, with a full launch planned for U.S. users later this year. Trump Media said it intends to expand internationally once regulatory approvals are secured. Prediction Markets See $1B Weekly Boom as Institutional Investment Accelerates The announcement arrives during a period of renewed momentum in the global prediction market industry. Trading volumes across major platforms have surged, with weekly totals reaching nearly $1 billion in mid-October, according to Dune Analytics data.Source: Dune Polymarket and Kalshi remain the dominant players, with Polymarket accounting for roughly 79% of total weekly volume, handling over $780 million in trades, and having more than 220,000 active users during the week ending October 20. Institutional investment has also accelerated. Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, recently invested $2 billion into Polymarket, valuing it at $9 billion. Meanwhile, Kalshi’s $300 million Series D funding round pushed its valuation to $5 billion, supported by major venture capital firms including Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz. The race to capture this growing market is now drawing established players from both crypto and traditional finance. DraftKings, the U.S. sports betting giant, recently entered the space by acquiring the CFTC-regulated platform Railbird and naming Polymarket as its clearinghouse partner. Other emerging competitors like Limitless Exchange have also seen rapid growth, surpassing $500 million in total trading volume after raising $10 million in seed funding this month

Author: CryptoNews
Trump Media Launches Polymarket Rival, Eyes $9B Prediction Market with Crypto.com

Trump Media Launches Polymarket Rival, Eyes $9B Prediction Market with Crypto.com

The post Trump Media Launches Polymarket Rival, Eyes $9B Prediction Market with Crypto.com appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Trump Media & Technology Group has announced a partnership with Crypto.com to launch Truth Predict. The move places the company in direct competition with major players like Polymarket and gives it a stake in the $9 billion prediction markets. Trump Media Reveals New Polymarket Rival: Truth Predict According to Bloomberg, Trump Media will allow users to place prediction contracts on topics ranging from elections and economic indicators to sports outcomes and commodity prices. The new feature, Truth Predict, is expected to begin testing in the coming weeks before an official U.S. launch and subsequent global rollout. “For too long, global elites have controlled these markets. With Truth Predict, we’re democratizing information and empowering everyday Americans to harness the wisdom of the crowd,” said Devin Nunes, CEO of Trump Media and former U.S. Congressman. The announcement comes as activity across existing platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi has hit record highs. Data from Dune Analytics shows that weekly notional trading on these markets recently surpassed levels seen during the 2020 election cycle. The surge has also attracted attention from Wall Street players such as CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange. The firms are also exploring entry into the event betting market. Truth Predict will rely on Crypto.com Derivatives North America to facilitate prediction wagers. This reinforces the collaboration between Crypto.com and the firm. The two firms previously reached an agreement to create a crypto treasury vehicle and co-develop exchange-traded funds (ETFs) under the Truth.Fi brand. Truth Social Takes Aim at Polymarket’s Dominance This new platform could rival Polymarket’s stake in the predictions market. The platform is reportedly raising funds at a valuation approaching $15 billion. The firm also announced plans to issue a native POLY token and to conduct a retroactive airdrop for loyal users. While Polymarket runs its platform on blockchain rails,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
CRO Jumps After Trump’s Truth Social Announces Prediction Market Partnership with Crypto.Com

CRO Jumps After Trump’s Truth Social Announces Prediction Market Partnership with Crypto.Com

The post CRO Jumps After Trump’s Truth Social Announces Prediction Market Partnership with Crypto.Com appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Truth Predict will let users trade on elections, sports, and other events. Crypto.com’s Cronos (CRO) token jumped 6% to $0.15 on Tuesday after social media firm Truth Social, which is linked to U.S. President Donald Trump, announced it will soon allow users to make predictions and trade contracts on real-world events through a new partnership with the centralized exchange. The new prediction market feature, called Truth Predict, will allow users to trade on the chances of events like election results, interest rate changes, or sports winners, according to a press release from Crypto.com. CRO 24-hour price chart. Source: CoinGecko Users will also be able to earn “Truth gems” on the platform that they can convert into CRO and use to make bets on future events. Trading will be powered by Crypto.com’s derivatives exchange, which is registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The move would make Truth Social the first social media platform to offer access to regulated prediction markets, the release said. It also reflects a broader trend of tech and media companies using blockchain technology to attract and engage users. Share prices of Truth Social’s parent company, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT), which is majority-owned by President Trump, also rose 2% to $16.32 on the news. Meanwhile, President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, also rallied on the news, and is now up over 14% on the day, following yesterday’s surge. As The Defiant reported in August, Crypto.com and Trump Media previously entered into a strategic partnership, which at the time included plans to launch a CRO-based rewards program. “We are thrilled to become the world’s first publicly traded social media platform to offer our users access to prediction markets,” said Devin Nunes, Chairman and CEO of Trump Media, in today’s release, adding: “Truth Predict will allow…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Trump Media unveils prediction market Truth Predict

Trump Media unveils prediction market Truth Predict

The post Trump Media unveils prediction market Truth Predict appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Trump Media & Technology Group announced that it will launch Truth Predict, a prediction-market product built into its Truth Social platform. The prediction market will launch through an integration with Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse. Truth Predict will allow users to trade event contracts tied to real-world outcomes, including U.S. elections, interest-rate decisions and sports results. The platform’s real-time price updates will reflect shifting market sentiment as events unfold.  A beta version will debut “in the near future” before a national rollout, with global expansion to follow once additional regulatory requirements are met. Under the arrangement, Truth Social and its sister platforms Truth+ and Truth.Fi will integrate with CDNA’s infrastructure, enabling users to convert in-platform rewards called “Truth gems” into Cronos (CRO) tokens for use in prediction contracts.  The system builds on Trump Media’s existing partnership with Crypto.com to establish Trump Media Group CRO Strategy, Inc., a digital asset treasury vehicle formed through a proposed SPAC merger. Trump Media CEO Devin Nunes said the integration aims to “democratize information” and “turn free speech into actionable foresight.” Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek called prediction markets a “multi-deca-billion dollar opportunity” and said the collaboration aligns social engagement with transparent market sentiment. This is a developing story. This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by editor Michael McSweeney before publication. Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters: Source: https://blockworks.co/news/trump-media-truth-predict

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Myriad Expands Prediction Markets to BNB Chain with Automated Features and Asian Localization

Myriad Expands Prediction Markets to BNB Chain with Automated Features and Asian Localization

The post Myriad Expands Prediction Markets to BNB Chain with Automated Features and Asian Localization appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Myriad, a leading prediction market protocol, has launched on BNB Chain, introducing Automated Markets for rapid 5-minute trading and full ecosystem integration. This expansion targets millions of new users in Asia with Mandarin localization and native bridging, enhancing accessibility and speed in crypto predictions. Myriad’s BNB Chain integration brings prediction markets to the BNB ecosystem, supporting EVM wallets and automated resolutions. Automated Markets enable continuous 5-minute price action with instant auto-resolution for simpler user participation. The launch includes upcoming Mandarin-language support and localized experiences, expanding Myriad’s reach in Asian markets with over 200 million potential users. Discover Myriad’s BNB Chain launch: Faster prediction markets, Asian localization, and automated trading arrive. Explore how this boosts crypto accessibility today. What is Myriad’s Launch on BNB Chain? Myriad’s launch on BNB Chain marks a significant expansion for the prediction market protocol, integrating it into the BNB ecosystem to serve millions of users, particularly in Asia. This move follows deployments on Abstract and Linea, enabling EVM wallet sign-ins, native bridging, and new Automated Markets for quick, auto-resolving predictions. It underscores Myriad’s commitment to…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Truth Social Bets Big: Partners With Crypto.com to Bring Prediction Markets to Social Media

Truth Social Bets Big: Partners With Crypto.com to Bring Prediction Markets to Social Media

The post Truth Social Bets Big: Partners With Crypto.com to Bring Prediction Markets to Social Media appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Truth Social isn’t just for opinions anymore — it’s about to let users put their money where their mouth is. Crypto.com Joins Forces With Truth Social to Launch Social Prediction Markets Trump Media and Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social, Truth+, and Truth.Fi, announced an exclusive deal with Crypto.com’s Derivatives North America (CDNA), […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/truth-social-bets-big-partners-with-crypto-com-to-bring-prediction-markets-to-social-media/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews