Shares of cannabis companies saw a significant surge on December 12, 2025, following reports that former President Donald Trump intends to ease federal restrictions on marijuana. This move could potentially pave the way for a major shift in the cannabis industry. The news raised investor optimism, especially as it may open doors for easier access to funding and reduced oversight of marijuana-related businesses.
Trump’s Plan to Reclassify Marijuana
According to a report by The Washington Post, Trump is expected to direct U.S. agencies to reclassify marijuana as a Schedule III drug. Currently, cannabis is classified as a Schedule I substance under federal law, meaning it is considered to have no accepted medical use and a high potential for abuse. Reclassifying it to Schedule III would place marijuana in the same category as some prescription painkillers, such as hydrocodone, which would reduce regulatory hurdles.
The move could significantly alter the landscape for cannabis companies, making it easier for them to operate and expand. “We believe this would open the door for pharmaceutical companies to seek approval for more cannabis products, which could then be dispensed the same as other prescription drugs,” said Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at TD Cowen, in a note.
Market Reactions to the News
In response to the news, U.S.-listed cannabis companies saw substantial gains. Shares of Tilray Brands increased by 28%, while other companies such as SNDL Inc and Canopy Growth also saw their stock prices rise by 13.5% to 32.5% in premarket trading. These gains reflect growing investor confidence that the federal government may soon take a more lenient approach to marijuana regulations.
Cannabis companies have long faced challenges due to federal restrictions, particularly in securing financing. Banks and institutional investors have largely avoided the sector, fearing legal and regulatory risks. As a result, many cannabis producers have relied on high-interest loans or alternative sources of funding. Trump’s proposal, if enacted, could lead to more favorable conditions for cannabis businesses, as reduced restrictions may encourage traditional financial institutions to engage with the sector.
Potential Impact on Cannabis Industry Growth
The cannabis industry has been expanding rapidly since Uruguay legalized recreational cannabis in 2013, followed by Canada’s full legalization in 2018. Other countries such as Malta, South Africa, and Mexico have also taken steps toward legalization. Within the United States, cannabis is legal for medicinal use in 38 states and recreational use in 24 states.
Analysts believe that the global cannabis market has significant growth potential. A projection from Grandview Research estimates the sector could be worth $73.6 billion by the end of 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.1%. Some projections suggest even higher growth, with the global cannabis market reaching $97.35 billion by 2026.
However, the U.S. market remains fragmented due to varying state laws and federal restrictions. Despite this, Trump’s plan to ease federal restrictions could provide a more stable environment for growth, reducing barriers to entry for new businesses and making it easier for existing companies to scale.
Challenges for Cannabis Producers
While easing restrictions could benefit cannabis companies, challenges remain. One of the biggest hurdles is securing funding. Many cannabis producers struggle with limited access to capital due to the ongoing federal restrictions. Additionally, cannabis businesses are often subject to higher taxes and financial scrutiny compared to other industries, which has led some companies to remain cautious in their expansion plans.
Trump’s push to reclassify cannabis could help address these issues by making it easier for cannabis companies to secure loans and attract investors. The potential reclassification may also result in lower taxes for cannabis businesses, which would further improve the financial outlook for the industry.
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