XRP vs Stellar in 2026 - Do the Numbers, ETFs, and Adoption Point to a Clear Winner?

XRP traded at $2.01 at the time of writing, rising 8.50% over the past seven days, though it remained down 7.36% over the last month and 16.93% year over year. Stellar’s XLM traded at $0.2193, posting a 2.54% weekly gain while falling 13.90% over the past month and nearly 51% over the past year. 

Source: CoinCodex

These contrasting performance trends frame the debate heading into 2026.

Market Ranking and Valuation Highlight a Wide Gap

Market positioning clearly separates the two assets. XRP ranks fourth among all cryptos, while Stellar holds the seventeenth position. XRP’s market capitalization stands at $121.84 billion, far exceeding Stellar’s $7.1 billion valuation. This gap reflects broader participation, deeper capital pools, and wider market relevance.

Trading activity reinforces this difference. As of writing, XRP recorded a 24-hour trading volume of $6.15 billion, compared with Stellar’s $180.03 million. Higher turnover typically supports tighter spreads and smoother execution, especially during volatile sessions. XRP also commands a market dominance of roughly 4%, compared with Stellar’s far smaller footprint.

Supply Dynamics and Inflation Trends Shape Outlook

Looking at the bigger picture that shapes 2026 clearly, supply metrics reveal important structural differences. XRP had a circulating supply of 60.68 billion tokens from a maximum of 100 billion, with an annual inflation rate of 5.98%, which addded 3.42 billion XRP over the past year. 

Stellar circulates 32.39 billion XLM from a capped supply of 50 billion, while posting a higher annual inflation rate of 6.96%, translating to 2.11 billion new tokens.

These figures suggest different scarcity dynamics. XRP’s larger absolute issuance come with stronger demand and liquidity, while Stellar’s higher inflation rate weigh on long-term price performance. 

How much does supply growth matter when adoption diverges?

Historical Price Cycles and Adoption Metrics

Both assets share similar origins yet deliver different outcomes over time. XRP reached its all-time high of $3.92 in January 2018 and later rebounded to a cycle high of $3.64 after its cycle low. 

Stellar peaked at $0.9301 in the same year but failed to revisit comparable levels, topping out at $0.7965 during its last cycle.

Development Activity, ETFs, and Forecasts Enter the Equation

Both networks focus on cross-border payments and medium-of-exchange use cases. XRP operates on the XRP Ledger, while Stellar relies on its native blockchain. Market attention, however, is increasingly centered on XRP-related institutional developments, including ETF discussions tied to its regulatory clarity in key markets.

Price forecasts reflect this momentum. CoinCodex projects XRP reaching $2.51 by January 2027, with a potential high of $3.16 in mid-2026. Stellar’s forecast pointed to $0.2799 by January 2027, with a projected high of $0.3258. While percentage gains appear similar, absolute value creation favors XRP due to scale and liquidity.

Source: CoinCodex

When measured across valuation, liquidity, adoption, forecasts, and institutional traction, XRP maintains a clear edge over Stellar. The numbers consistently point toward stronger market confidence and broader integration for XRP as 2026 starts.