Ondo Finance (ONDO) is among the leading tokens in the tokenization sector. This makes ONDO crypto one to watch as markets show signs of recovery amid potential for a ceasefire in the ongoing geopolitical war.
The altcoin’s price action has remained in free fall since September 2025. However, ONDO’s price appears to be forming a bottom, which has been building since the start of February 2026. Analysts are projecting 4x returns for ONDO crypto, but this prediction remains under intense sell pressure from the project’s wallet.
The weekly outlook for ONDO prices shows a clear downtrend, with strong sellers at around $1.20. The downtrend came right after ONDO crypto had achieved major exchange listings, meaning most centralized exchange (CEX) traders missed on the run to $2.20.
The altcoin made a triple touch of this zone before entering a downtrend that has persisted for the past 7 months. Currently, ONDO crypto is consolidating around the $0.2500 zone, where it has been moving sideways for more than two months. The altcoin is bouncing between $0.24 and $0.30, defining its price range during this accumulation phase.
ONDO price action chart | Source: Block Insight/X
Analysts project a breakout to the upside could result in gains of up to 3.77x or 4x. ONDO has already broken the descending resistance trendline on the weekly chart, and the accumulation could be a retest. However, the altcoin stays in a sideways market until it trades and holds above $0.30.
Supporting this bullish outlook is the growth of real-world assets (RWA) in Ondo crypto alongside its Total Value Locked (TVL).
According to Token Terminal, ONDO Finance was the fastest-growing RWA issuer of the month, with 36% growth. Maple Finance (SYRUP) and Centrifuge (CFG) followed the firm with 25.4% and 24.7%, respectively. Securitize and Sky followed with 14% and 4.4%, respectively, closing the list for the top five.
RWA market leaders by issuer | Source: Token Terminal
Circle only gained 1.5%, while Tether lost 0.1% but remained at the top of this list when scaled by total cap locked. Ondo Finance ranked seventh in total capital held for tokenizing RWAs.
Additionally, the TVL reached another peak of $3.536 billion, a massive spike towards the end of March. Similarly, the TVL of ONDO had grown by 36% over this period, mainly contributed by a surge in the tokenization sector.
Such metrics suggested that ONDO could achieve 4x returns in an ideal situation. However, the markets were not ideal. Uncertainty always prevailed.
On that note, the wallet was selling when most traders were expecting a price increase. This wallet had received the tokens from the project’s wallets, hinting that the team could be offloading, which creates sell pressure.
As per Arkham, the wallet had deposited a total of 8.5 million ONDO, worth $2.245 million, over the past month to Bybit, OKX, and Coinbase. The latest sale of 3 million ONDO in the past 24 hours was carried out across three transactions: 1.6 million, 300K, and 1.1 million tokens.
ONDO whale activity data | Source: Arkham
Despite the project’s selling, buying remained significant, as ONDO was undervalued and the tokenization narrative was trending. Chain activity reflected this growth even though the altcoin’s price was lagging. The data suggested that a clear confirmation in price action was needed to ascertain an upward movement.
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