XRP Whales Now Control 68.5% of Supply, the Most Since 2018, as Price Tests $1.50

XRP Whales Accumulate the Most Supply Since 2018

According to Santiment data, wallets holding at least 10 million XRP now control 45.83 billion tokens, worth about $68.5 billion at current prices. That represents 68.5% of the total XRP supply, the most concentrated whale position since May 2018. The accumulation comes as XRP price teases the $1.50 level, a critical psychological and technical zone that has acted as both support and resistance in previous cycles.

This is not simply retail euphoria. The speed and size of the move suggest coordinated accumulation, possibly by institutions, trading firms, or long-term holders repositioning ahead of a potential regulatory shift. The SEC case resolution and recurring ETF speculation have made XRP one of the most politically charged tokens in crypto, and whale wallets are clearly positioning for something.

Concentration Risk and Market Dynamics

High whale concentration is a double-edged sword. When whales dominate supply, market depth can thin, making prices vulnerable to sharp moves. If a few large wallets decide to distribute, even modest selling pressure can cascade. On the other hand, sustained holding by whales signals conviction and can absorb retail sell-offs. For XRP, the current 68.5% whale supply mark has historically been followed by periods of consolidation, not immediate breakout rallies. The last time concentration was this high, XRP traded in a wide range for months before a major trend emerged.

It is also worth noting that much of this whale supply is likely sitting on exchanges or in cold storage linked to Ripple. That reduces the effective circulating float and can exaggerate price moves on relatively small volumes. Traders watching the $1.50 level should be aware that liquidity above that line may be thinner than order books suggest.

What This Means for XRP Price Around $1.50

XRP has struggled to sustain moves above $1.50 since the last bull run. The current push is different because it arrives alongside a favorable macro backdrop for crypto, with Bitcoin steady above $90,000 and altcoin sentiment improving. However, whale accumulation alone does not guarantee a breakout. The market needs a catalyst, and the most obvious one remains an XRP ETF approval or final closure of the SEC overhang.

If these large holders are accumulating in anticipation of a spot ETF, the supply concentration could actually support a cleaner move higher, because fewer tokens will be available for sale when institutional flows arrive. But if the ETF narrative stalls, whales may begin rotating into other assets, creating a heavy overhang that caps XRP despite the positive on-chain signal.

Broader Altcoin Whale Trends

XRP is not isolated. Recent whale activity data shows broader accumulation across select altcoins, suggesting that large players are rotating or building positions in assets they view as undervalued or event-driven. Santiment also ranked several tokens by whale activity growth this week, and XRP was not alone in seeing a surge. This pattern often emerges during altcoin season when liquidity rotates out of Bitcoin into mid- and large-cap tokens with strong narratives.

The difference with XRP is the sheer scale of the whale-dominated supply. Most top-20 altcoins have much lower whale concentration, typically between 40% and 55%. XRP’s 68.5% figure makes it an outlier and means that a handful of addresses have outsized influence over price action. That is not inherently negative, but it shifts the risk profile for anyone entering a position near the top of a range.

BTCUSA Insight

The record whale holding is a notable on-chain signal, but it is not automatically bullish. The market already knows XRP is heavily concentrated. What matters next is whether these whales begin moving coins to exchanges or keep them dormant. Without an ETF catalyst or definitive regulatory clarity, the concentration could just as easily become a distribution trap as a launchpad. XRP’s real test is not breaking $1.50, but holding above it without a whale exodus. Until then, this data point is better read as a warning flag than a buy signal.

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