Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market, has partnered with Nasdaq, the second-largest exchange in the world by market cap. The new collaboration will enable the prediction market to closely track the performance and milestones of popular private companies, leading to a more precise resolution of events contracts related to them.
According to the parties’ press release, the new partnership offers individuals exposure to the most prominent private companies for the first time. It also provides accurate signals for institutional investors on the status of the private entities.
Polymarket and Nasdaq ironed out the deal under an exclusive agreement. As part of the link-up, Nasdaq Private Market (NPM), a liquidity and investment infrastructure provider for private markets, will operate the resolution layer for events contracts involving private company markets.
According to the parties in the deal, private companies are now historically generating more value. It revealed that 1,600 unicorns operating globally now have a combined value of over $5 trillion. However, their access has been largely limited to large institutions and high-net-worth investors. For Shayne Coplan, Founder and CEO of Polymarket, bringing them to the decentralized prediction market platform will enable average retail investors to cash in on activities shaping up their ecosystems.
“Prediction markets are one of the most powerful tools we have for democratizing access to financial information and opportunity,” said Coplan. “For the first time, anyone can engage with the outcomes driving value at the world’s most consequential private companies.”
Meanwhile, Tom Callahan, CEO of NPM, echoed the same position. Additionally, he highlighted that a high level of integrity matters when resolving markets. Hence, it should maintain utmost accuracy when resolving events contracts.
“Nasdaq Private Market has established itself as a trusted source of liquidity and investment infrastructure across the private market ecosystem,” stated Callahan. “When retail participants enter any market, high-integrity data matters.”
Nasdaq’s private market division has already executed roughly $80 billion in secondary liquidity for over 200,000 individual eligible employee shareholders and investors across more than 1,000 company-sponsored liquidity programs. NPM is an independent company backed by Nasdaq and other institutional partners.
Bernstein, a private wealth management firm, expects prediction market volume to reach $1 trillion by 2030. The company noted that volumes have surged in the first months of 2026, and it could quadruple by the end of the year.
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