AVAX Eyes Recovery to $9 Target as Right-Angled Ascending Wedge Breakout Signals Potential Turnaround

Crypto analyst Ali observed an interesting chart pattern regarding the price behavior of Avalanche (AVAX) on December 2, 2025. It appears that AVAX was trading around $14.68 at the time of this study, slightly above the bottom of a Long-Term Demand Zone. The current location of AVAX indicates that it may be preparing for a big price action move in the near future.

Technical Pattern Signals Potential Breakout

Technical analysts refer to a right-angled ascending broadening wedge pattern as a gauge for a forecast of bigger price action to come. BeLaunch also feels that AVAX has created a Wolfe Wave pattern, providing an opportunity for AVAX investors to profit over the coming days, before experiencing a follow-through with a stronger price move. In addition to the increasing pressure and tightened price action, the creation of these patterns together indicates that Avalanche may be nearing or approaching an important moment in its future.

The current price for Avalanche is $12.96, and the 24-hour trading volume is $363,356,837, which shows the continued interest in the asset despite recent bearish pressure. However, from the surface level, on-chain activity has been astronomical over the past 24 hours with DEX trading volumes exceeding $1.8 billion. This rise signals more liquidity moving into the network along with increasing user activity. The surge in DEX volume is especially notable because it comes as AVAX holds steady at a historically strong accumulation zone.

Ecosystem Developments and Market Sentiment

Although the price movement of Avalanche is short-term, the ecosystem has evolved, through evolvements and partnerships. 19, 2025, the Granite upgrade added inter-chain messaging, biometric authentication, and dynamic blocks that adapt to network load. FIFA and BlackRock can construct customized blockchains using “Enterprise Subnet Expansion” in Q-1 2026.

The cryptocurrency community is at odds with AVAX’s short-term direction. The current technical analysis shows a strong oversold set up with RSI 26.67 which indicates that it is in depths of oversold territory that had historically indicated major bottoms for the token. This is an extreme reading, and indicates that selling pressure has been exhausted, and could be setting the stage for a relief rally.

The price predictions based on the current sentiments and the progress on the chain depict us that maybe Avalanche can go up 12-18% which would reach the price of $15.50-$16.40. December which will see the price of the token hitting $17.50 – $18.80 in the event of bullish momentum. For context on similar analyses of technical patterns in blockchain, readers can look at other similar projects as each travels through the cycles in the market via strategic partnerships. A good example of this is CDARI partnership with Audiera in the Web3 gaming space.

Network Activity and Risk Factors

Avalanche’s price speculation aside, its true value comes from its many real-world applications and the numerous projects being developed in many sectors, including AI, Gaming, Social Applications, DeFi and Infrastructure. This shows how versatile and attractive the platform is for entrepreneurs. As traditional banks explore the advantages of blockchain, Avalanche is well-positioned to benefit thanks to its tokenization initiatives and strong cross-chain communication capabilities.

Key risk factors include continued altcoins macro headwinds, possible Bitcoin weakness that is usually leverage on AVAX, and failure to hold the lower support level on the Bollinger Bands, with a sustained move below $12.00 invalidating the oversold bounce thesis.

Conclusion

Avalanche is currently at a technical crossroads, and chart patterns indicate that it could make a huge move, as the token challenges long-established support levels. The confluence of oversold technical conditions increased on-chain activity and continued ecosystem development sets up an interesting scenario for AVAX heading into 2026. However, adequate risk management is still critical considering current volatility in the markets.