XRP price stabilizes above the 200 MA as reversal conditions develop

XRP price has reclaimed the 200-day moving average and is holding it as support, signaling early reversal strength with market structure now shifting toward bullish continuation targets.

The XRP (XRP) price is entering a critical phase after delivering an impulsive rally that has shifted market structure and pushed price back above the 200-day moving average. This move is significant because the 200 MA is widely viewed as a long-term trend divider that often determines whether an asset is in a recovery phase or a broader corrective cycle.

XRP price key technical points

• XRP reclaimed the 200-day moving average, shifting long-term bias bullish
• Price is now backtesting the 200 MA as support, confirming reversal conditions
• Holding support opens upside toward $2.64, where a higher high would confirm a trend shift

XRP’s recent move higher stands out because it was impulsive rather than corrective. Impulsive rallies often reflect genuine market demand, especially when they break key levels that previously served as resistance. In this case, the breakout above the 200 MA marks a structural shift in XRP’s price behavior.

Previously, XRP struggled to sustain upside movement as bearish structure limited continuation. The market repeatedly produced lower highs, with the 200-day moving average serving as a dominant barrier to recovery attempts. Each failed push reinforced bearish control and kept the price trapped within a corrective framework.

However, the latest rally changed that dynamic. XRP broke above the 200 MA and established acceptance above it, signaling that buyers have returned with greater conviction. This is one of the earliest signs that a macro reversal may be forming.

200-Day moving average flip: Resistance to support

The most important element of the current setup is the support flip underway at the 200 MA. In trending markets, this level often acts as a line in the sand. When price reclaims it and holds it as support, the probability of continuation increases. When price fails to hold it, the market often returns to weakness and rotational downside.

XRP is now in the process of confirming this flip. Price has pulled back toward the moving average and is attempting to maintain support on a closing basis. This type of retest is healthy and expected after a breakout, as the market often returns to test demand before continuing higher.

If XRP continues to stabilize above this level, it will strengthen the reversal thesis and indicate that the market is forming a higher low from which a continuation is more likely.

Upside target at $2.64 and higher-high confirmation

If the 200 MA retest holds, the next major upside objective becomes the $2.64 region, which aligns with a key swing high. A move toward this level would represent a continuation of bullish momentum, but more importantly, it would confirm the next major structural requirement for reversal: a higher high.

In market structure terms, reversal confirmation requires both a higher low and a higher high. The impulsive breakout above the 200 MA represents the first stage of this transition. The retest-and-hold above support establishes a higher low. The push through $2.64 would then confirm the higher high and validate a full market structure shift.

Once price breaks through prior swing highs, the probability of continued upside expansion increases significantly, as sellers lose control of structure and buyers gain momentum through reclaimed levels.

What to expect in the coming price action

In the near term, XRP’s bullish outlook depends on holding above the 200-day moving average on a closing basis. As long as price maintains support and continues to defend the retest region, the probability of continuation toward $2.64 remains elevated.

A successful break above $2.64 would confirm a higher high and complete the market structure shift, opening the door to broader upside continuation toward higher resistance levels. Conversely, a sustained breakdown back below the 200 MA would weaken the reversal structure and suggest that buyers have lost control.