Ark Invest Predicts Bitcoin Market Cap to Hit $16 Trillion by 2030

Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest forecasts a major expansion in the crypto sector over the next decade, projecting Bitcoin to reach a market capitalization of approximately $16 trillion. The broader crypto market is expected to grow to nearly $28 trillion by 2030, signaling significant institutional adoption and maturation of digital assets as a new asset class.

According to the “Big Ideas 2026” report by Ark, BTC is viewed as the foremost digital monetary asset. The firm believes that the adoption of public blockchain technology will ensure long-term growth, while the overall market will benefit from the acceleration of financial activity on decentralized networks such as tokenized assets and decentralized applications.

As Wu Blockchain highlights the development of BTC as the “leader of a new institutional asset class.” Ark points out that the adoption of public blockchains on a mass scale will fuel the growth of the industry. Bitcoin could comprise almost $16 trillion of the total cryptocurrency market, solidifying its position as a major monetary asset.

Bitcoin Adoption and Institutional Growth

According to the report, bitcoin’s potential to achieve roughly $761,900 per coin, based on the fixed supply of 21 million BTC. Institutional investment in bitcoin is on the rise, with U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs and publicly listed companies currently owning around 12% of the total supply of bitcoin. The balance in ETFs rose by 19.7% in 2025, while that of corporations rose by 73%.

Ark points out that the dominance of bitcoin in the market will continue, due to its use as a digital store of value, also known as “digital gold.” The increasing involvement of institutional investors, the adoption of BTC by corporate treasuries, and the integration of BTC into exchange-traded funds will be supplemented by the decrease in price volatility, further establishing BTC as a core financial asset in the developing crypto landscape.

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Smart Contract Platforms Drive Market Growth

In addition to BTC, Ark believes that the smart contract platforms will play a major role in the overall market capitalization. The layer 1 networks are expected to dominate the market, leading to increased competition as the platforms grow and develop. 

According to Ark’s forecasts, the market capitalization of BTC could expand from roughly $2 trillion to $16 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 63%. The overall cryptocurrency market is also expected to experience similar growth, touching $28 trillion due to the adoption of blockchain technology and innovation.

Ark has consistently held a bullish outlook on BTC and cryptocurrencies, previously setting ambitious long-term price projections. In April last year, the firm presented 2030 BTC price scenarios: bear at around $300,000, base at $710,000, and bull at $1.5 million. By November, it reduced its bull-case estimate by $300,000, citing stablecoins’ growing influence, supplanting some of Bitcoin’s anticipated role.

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