AVAX at a Decision Point as GainMuse Flags Major Demand Test

AVAX is no longer drifting lower, it is pressing directly into a historically defended demand floor that could define the next multi-week move.

AVAX Testing Structural Support

According to GainMuse’s breakdown on AVAXUSDT, price has completed a prolonged decline inside a long-term descending channel and is now testing the lower boundary of that structure.

On the chart, AVAX has dropped into the major support line near the $8.30–$8.50 region, where the broader channel support and historical reaction area intersect. The projected path suggests a potential relief bounce toward descending resistance if this base holds.

The key technical elements highlighted include:

• Long-term descending channel still intact
• Recent compression beneath resistance before breakdown
• Current reaction from structural support line
• Target path toward mid-channel resistance on stabilization

At the time of the 1-hour TradingView snapshot, AVAX is trading at $8.52, following a sharp selloff from levels above $11 earlier in the move.

The broader implication is straightforward: as long as price defends the recent swing low near $8.30, buyers have a structural argument for a recovery attempt. A decisive break below that level, however, would invalidate the immediate demand thesis and open room toward the next lower channel extension.

Current Price Structure and Volume Context

On the lower timeframe chart, AVAX shows a sharp impulse down toward the $8.30 zone followed by a reactive bounce back toward the $9.20–$9.40 area before rolling over again.

Volume expanded aggressively during the initial breakdown into the $8.30 region, suggesting forced selling or liquidation pressure. However, the follow-through lower has been limited so far, and volatility is compressing around $8.50.

Key levels visible on the chart:

• Immediate support: $8.30–$8.40
• Current price: $8.52
• Short-term resistance: $9.20–$9.40
• Channel resistance above: near $10.50–$11.00

If AVAX reclaims $9.40 with sustained volume, the structure could shift toward a corrective move targeting the descending resistance line. Failure to reclaim that level keeps the trend structurally bearish.

What Matters Now

The focus is not on predicting a bottom but on observing structure.

If AVAX:

• Holds above $8.30
• Prints higher lows on intraday structure
• And begins reclaiming $9.20–$9.40

Then the probability of a channel bounce increases.

However, acceptance below $8.30 would shift attention toward a deeper continuation phase inside the macro downtrend.

For now, Avalanche is not breaking out, it is reacting. And reactions at major structural floors are where larger moves often begin, in either direction.

The next confirmation will come from how price behaves around this demand zone, not from the bounce itself.

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