Bitcoin traders eye Fed cuts path on inflation data

No confirmed record Randal Quarles said cuts if inflation disappoints

There is no confirmed record that former federal reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Randal Quarles recently said “more rate cuts to come if inflation disappoints.” Available reports emphasize caution rather than that phrasing.

The expression itself is atypical for Federal Reserve guidance. Officials generally condition any easing on continued disinflation and a data‑dependent assessment of inflation, growth, and employment, not on inflation “disappointing.”

Quarles previously served as a permanent FOMC member in his supervisory role, which informs a risk‑management mindset around policy changes. Recent coverage of his public remarks has stressed prudence amid data uncertainty.

Why it matters for Federal Reserve rate-cut guidance

Absent a verifiable quotation, market interpretation should default to formal FOMC communications and well‑sourced reporting on officials’ stated preconditions for easing. As reported by Barron’s, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has urged patience, warning that moving too quickly could threaten credibility if inflation stays elevated.

Editorial note: prior remarks from Quarles underscore this caution. “The lack of reliable inflation data ‘further underscored’ a cautious approach; my ‘bias’ is to proceed slowly,” said Randal Quarles, former Fed Vice Chair for Supervision, as reported by Weex.

The path of policy remains data‑dependent. Watch the next CPI and PCE (especially core measures), FOMC statements and minutes, and scheduled speeches for any shift in the balance of risks around inflation and growth.

At the time of this writing, Bitcoin (BTC) is around $68,075, with very high 12.17% volatility, a 14‑day RSI near 37.74, bearish sentiment, and 11 green days in the past 30 sessions.

Waller’s conditional easing tied to continued disinflation

As reported by Yahoo, Governor Christopher Waller has said additional rate cuts are likely only if inflation continues declining toward the 2% objective. That view anchors easing to sustained disinflation, not a deterioration in price trends.

Caution from other officials about premature cuts

As reported by MarketWatch, recent dissenters argued inflation remains too high and favored delaying cuts. Others, including Raphael Bostic, have similarly warned that acting too soon risks undermining progress on prices.

FAQ about Randal Quarles

What is the Fed’s latest guidance on rate cuts in relation to inflation trends?

Guidance remains data‑dependent; policymakers indicate cuts are contingent on continued disinflation toward 2% alongside stable labor‑market conditions.

How do views from Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic differ on the outlook for rate cuts?

Waller ties potential easing to further inflation declines; Bostic emphasizes patience, warning premature cuts could damage inflation credibility.