TRX Price Prediction: Testing Key $0.29 Resistance – Targets $0.31 by March 2026

Ted Hisokawa
Feb 28, 2026 07:44

TRON (TRX) trades at $0.28 after -1.37% decline, approaching critical $0.29 resistance. Technical analysis suggests potential rally to $0.31 if breakout occurs.

TRON (TRX) is consolidating near a crucial resistance zone at $0.29, presenting both opportunity and risk for traders. With neutral momentum indicators and compressed volatility, the next directional move could be significant for this established blockchain platform.

TRX Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.29-$0.30
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.28-$0.31 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.29
• Critical support: $0.28

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About TRON

While specific analyst predictions from major KOLs are limited in recent days, available technical commentary provides some insight. Manish Chhetri noted in early January: “Tron (TRX) price trades above $0.29 on Wednesday, nearing a key resistance zone. A decisive close above this zone signals a rally ahead.”

This analysis aligns with current market conditions, where TRX is testing similar resistance levels. According to on-chain data from major platforms, TRON’s network activity remains stable, though price action suggests consolidation rather than aggressive accumulation.

TRX Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical picture for TRON reveals a market in equilibrium, with several key indicators providing mixed signals:

RSI Analysis: At 44.93, TRX’s RSI sits firmly in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral reading suggests the market lacks strong directional conviction, creating potential for movement in either direction based on external catalysts.

Moving Average Configuration: The moving average structure shows compression across timeframes. The 7-day SMA ($0.28) aligns with the 20-day SMA ($0.28), while the 50-day SMA sits slightly higher at $0.29. Most notably, the 200-day SMA at $0.31 represents a significant overhead resistance level that could cap upside moves.

MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram reading of 0.0000 indicates completely flat momentum, with the MACD line (-0.0009) barely below its signal line (-0.0009). This suggests a potential inflection point where momentum could shift dramatically in either direction.

Bollinger Band Position: With a %B reading of 0.3614, TRX trades closer to the lower band than the upper band, suggesting room for upward movement within the current volatility range. The bands are compressed between $0.28-$0.29, indicating low volatility that often precedes significant moves.

TRON Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

If TRX successfully breaks above the $0.29 resistance level with strong volume, the next logical targets emerge from the moving average structure. The 200-day SMA at $0.31 represents the primary upside objective, offering approximately 11% upside potential from current levels.

Technical confirmation would require a decisive daily close above $0.29, preferably accompanied by above-average trading volume. The Stochastic oscillator readings (%K: 21.54, %D: 17.23) suggest oversold conditions, supporting potential upward reversal momentum.

A breakout scenario could target the $0.31-$0.32 range within 2-4 weeks, representing a realistic TRON forecast based on historical resistance-to-resistance moves.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to break $0.29 resistance could lead to a retest of the lower Bollinger Band at $0.28. Given the compressed nature of current support levels, a breakdown scenario might not offer significant downside until the next major support zone.

The primary risk factor remains the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, which could override TRON-specific technicals. A general market correction could push TRX below its current support cluster, potentially targeting levels not clearly defined in the current technical structure.

Should You Buy TRX? Entry Strategy

For traders considering TRX positions, the current setup offers a defined risk-reward scenario. Conservative entry approaches might include:

Breakout Strategy: Wait for a confirmed close above $0.29 with volume before entering long positions. This approach reduces false breakout risk but may sacrifice some upside potential.

Support Bounce: Enter near $0.28 support with tight stop-losses below this level. This strategy offers better risk-reward ratios but requires precise timing.

Stop-Loss Considerations: Given the compressed volatility (ATR: $0.00), stop-losses should be placed with minimal buffer room. For long positions entered near $0.28, stops below $0.275 could provide appropriate risk management.

Position Sizing: The neutral momentum environment suggests moderate position sizing until clearer directional signals emerge.

Conclusion

This TRX price prediction indicates TRON stands at a critical juncture near $0.29 resistance. The technical setup suggests a 60% probability of testing higher levels toward $0.31 within the next month, provided broader market conditions remain supportive.

The compressed volatility and neutral momentum indicators create a coiled spring effect that could produce significant moves once direction is established. Traders should monitor the $0.29 level closely as the key catalyst for the next major move in TRON’s price trajectory.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and carry significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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