PANews reported on March 9th that, according to Jinshi, senior strategist Ed Yardeni raised the probability of a market crash for the remainder of the year fromPANews reported on March 9th that, according to Jinshi, senior strategist Ed Yardeni raised the probability of a market crash for the remainder of the year from

Analysis: The Iran war has triggered a surge in the probability of a US stock market crash, prompting hedge funds to aggressively increase their short positions.

2026/03/09 10:44
2 min read
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PANews 3月9日消息,据金十报道,资深策略师Ed Yardeni将今年剩余时间内崩盘的概率从20%上调至35%,理由是不断升级的伊朗战争冲击全球市场。这些调整反映出市场日益加剧的担忧:中东冲突持续,加上通胀冲击,将挤压家庭支出、侵蚀企业利润率,并使美联储的政策路径复杂化。

同时高盛数据显示,对冲基金正以近五年来罕见的速度增加对美国股市的看空押注。在截至3月6日的一周内,对冲基金将股票交易所交易基金(ETF)的空头头寸增加了8.3%。高盛指出,由于中东紧张局势几乎没有消退的迹象,快钱投资者正加大押注看空美国股市,他们预计,市场还将面临更多痛苦。

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