Bitcoin Price: Unocoin CEO Sees $65K Crash If Fed Stays Hawkish

Key Insights:

• Bitcoin price risks fall to the $65,000 level, Unocoin CEO Sathvik Vishwanath cautioned.
• The downturn could come in response to the FOMC meeting on March 18 if the Fed maintains a hawkish stance.
• According to the latest update, market participants expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged in today’s meeting.

The crypto market is entering a decisive phase ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting. Sathvik Vishwanath, Unocoin’s co-founder and CEO, notes that a hawkish move would potentially force Bitcoin (BTC) price downwards. In such an event, BTC price could fall to $65,000, he cautioned.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Unocoin CEO Says Fed Policy Is Key

In an exclusive statement acquired by The Coin Republic, Vishwanath noted that the Fed is unlikely to raise or lower rates, but forward guidance on monetary policy will play a major role. “The U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision… is almost certain to result in no change, with market expectations placing the probability of a hold at around 99%,” he said.

His comments align with data on the CME Fedwatch tool, which shows a 98.9% probability of a Fed rate pause. Although a pause is expected, the most crucial variable remains the policymakers’ tone. Vishwanath cautioned, “If policymakers adopt a hawkish stance, indicating that interest rates will remain elevated for an extended period, it could weigh on riskier assets.”

He foresees a downward trajectory for Bitcoin price in such circumstances. “In such a scenario, Bitcoin may face downward pressure, potentially slipping toward the $65,000 range as investors shift toward safer investments,” Vishwanath added. In addition, he noted that a tightening of liquidity could pose a significant blow to the crypto market.

Meanwhile, Martin Folb commented that a change of leadership in May, with Kevin Warsh replacing Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, could speed up the rate cut process. However, macroeconomic risks remain a key factor in the Fed’s monetary policy decisions.

Jeremy Schwartz, a senior economist at Nomura, said, “The conflict with Iran is boosting global energy prices. That’s going to lead to some headline inflation, but potentially also some pass-through into some core inflation components.” He further opined that the labor market “doesn’t seem to be deteriorating,” which suggests that the Fed is not in a hurry to take action.

Is a Positive Outcome on Cards?

Nonetheless, the positive prospect is not completely out of the question, Vishwanath remarked. “On the other hand, if the Fed signals a more accommodative outlook, hinting at possible rate cuts later in 2026, this could provide a boost to crypto markets,” he said.

Under such conditions, he noted that Bitcoin price could see stronger upside momentum. “Increased liquidity and improved investor sentiment may drive Bitcoin higher, with prices possibly exceeding $75,000,” Vishwanath stated.

Still, he warned that the crypto market will remain volatile regardless of the outcome. “Short-term market reactions could still be volatile… even positive developments… may trigger temporary sell-offs as traders lock in profits,” he said.

The Uncoin CEO pointed to the “sell the news” behavior often seen in financial markets. Moreover, since the U.S. PPI data is also due today, the crypto market could witness increased volatility.

In another exclusive statement curated by The Coin Republic, Vikas Gupta, Bybit India’s Country Manager, shared his views on the FOMC meeting and its impact on BTC price. He said,

He added, “The broader outlook remains constructive, driven by strong ETF inflows, growing mainstream adoption, and the structural impact of halving cycles. We expect some volatility around the announcement, but long-term investors continue to view such phases as opportunities for disciplined accumulation.”