Bitcoin and altcoins have shown strength in the last two weeks of March despite the escalating US-Iran war.
Interestingly, despite Bitcoin’s price rising above $70,000, BTC’s market dominance is in decline. Analyst noted that the altcoins sector is on the verge of a breakout, and this could be a best time to accumulate.
Popular analyst Crypto Patel flagged a key technical setup in the altcoins market. He highlighted a long-term falling wedge pattern that has been forming for more than four years.
Altcoins Season chart breakout | Source: Crypto Patel, X
According to the analyst, the pattern is approaching a potential breakout point. It could suggest a major shift in the market structure. Patel noted that similar setups in the past have preceded strong rallies in altcoins.
Additionally, Patel highlighted that the Bitcoin dominance chart is currently at a resistance level. According to Patel, Bitcoin dominance has entered the 58%–64% rejection zone on the monthly chart.
In the previous market cycles, this level represented a major turning point. He noted that strong altcoin rallies followed similar rejections in 2018 and 2021.
Bitcoin dominance rejection | Source: Crypto Patel, X
The analyst said that if Bitcoin’s dominance falls back into this range, it could trigger a broader surge in altcoins. Based on this setup, Patel said that this is the right accumulation time for alts.
A key technical milestone in the crypto market is drawing attention. This happened as analysts pointed to a prolonged downtrend in altcoins relative to Bitcoin.
Market data show that both the altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio and the ETH/BTC pair are retesting long-term downtrends over the past 1,100 days.
A similar setup was observed in 2020, which preceded one of the strongest altcoin rallies on record. Analysts note that a breakout above this resistance level could confirm the start of a broader altcoin cycle.
However, failure to break out above the higher level may lead to continued consolidation before a sustained upside move.
Altcoins vs Bitcoin | Source: Merlijn The Trader, X
Popular analyst Merlijn The Trader also pointed to another major technical indicator. He noted that the altcoin dominance MACD has registered a bullish crossover for only the fourth time on record.
Historical data shows similar crossovers occurred in 2017, 2020, and 2023. A significant altcoin rally followed each of them. The latest crossover in 2026 has now drawn attention as a potential early indicator of another market rotation.
Altcoins dominance MACD indicator | Source: Merlijn The Trader
Market participants note that maintaining altcoin dominance above 7% could signal the start of capital rotation into altcoins. However, a drop below this threshold may delay confirmation.
Data from CryptoQuant shows that altcoin spot trading volumes have declined sharply since October 2025. Altcoin trading volume on Binance has dropped by approximately 80% to 85%. It fell from $40 billion–$50 billion to around $7.7 billion.
Across other exchanges, volumes have also declined significantly, from a peak of $91 billion to about $18.8 billion.
Altcoin trading volumes | Source: CryptoQuant
Analysts from Arctic Digital and other firms said the trend suggests capital is increasingly concentrating in Bitcoin. As a result, they believe a broad-based altcoin rally similar to 2021 is less likely in the near term.
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