The latest retracement has pushed DOGE below key moving averages, a sign of persistent weakness across shorter and longer timeframes. Technical analysts warn that this breakdown confirms a shift in market structure that could prolong the current downtrend.

Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Weakness

On the daily chart, Dogecoin has fallen below the lower boundary of a rising wedge pattern – typically a bearish formation that precedes deeper pullbacks. The structure indicates that the coin’s prior rebound has lost momentum, leaving room for further downside pressure.

If the selling continues, DOGE could retest the $0.1515 area, a crucial support level last reached during the October 10 market sell-off triggered by renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China. A breach of that support might open the door to $0.12 or lower in the near term.

Chart Hints at Bearish Flag Formation

The overall setup remains fragile. Dogecoin’s price action appears to be forming a bearish flag – a continuation pattern that follows an earlier drop. The “flagpole” extends from $0.48 to $0.12, while the subsequent consolidation channel reflects weakening demand.

A sustained break below $0.057 would confirm this pattern and potentially lead to a retest of $0.005, representing an over 90% decline from current levels.

Momentum Indicators Confirm Bearish Sentiment

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 41, suggesting mild selling pressure without reaching oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD remains below the signal line with negative momentum, indicating that buyers are not yet returning to the market.

Together, these signals show that Dogecoin lacks the strength to mount a meaningful recovery for now, especially as overall crypto market volatility remains elevated.

ETF Inflows Cool After Initial Launch Surge

From a fundamental perspective, inflows into the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF (DOJE) have slowed dramatically since its September debut. While the fund initially gathered about $30.7 million in assets, recent sessions have seen no significant new inflows – a sign of fading investor appetite.

By contrast, the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) recently surpassed $100 million in assets under management, underscoring the relative weakness of DOGE’s institutional demand. Analysts partly attribute this to DOJE’s higher expense ratio of 1.5%, which makes it less attractive compared to other crypto ETFs.

Analysts Divided on DOGE’s Long-Term Potential

Despite near-term pressure, some traders remain optimistic that Dogecoin could mirror previous accumulation phases. Market analyst Trader Tardigrade, for instance, noted that the coin’s current structure resembles its early-cycle consolidation from 2019, which eventually led to a massive surge.

Still, most analysts agree that without renewed ETF inflows or broader market support, DOGE is likely to stay under pressure.

Outlook: DOGE Needs Fresh Catalysts to Recover

For now, Dogecoin remains under heavy pressure as technical signals align with weakening fundamentals. Unless demand for the DOGE ETF revives or broader risk appetite returns to the crypto market, the token’s path of least resistance remains tilted to the downside.

The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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