The weak finish has reignited talk of an impending correction, with some analysts now eyeing a potential drop toward the […] The post Bitcoin Falters After Weak Monthly Close, Price Eyes Deeper Crash appeared first on Coindoo.The weak finish has reignited talk of an impending correction, with some analysts now eyeing a potential drop toward the […] The post Bitcoin Falters After Weak Monthly Close, Price Eyes Deeper Crash appeared first on Coindoo.

Bitcoin Falters After Weak Monthly Close, Price Eyes Deeper Crash

2025/11/04 07:53
3 min read

The weak finish has reignited talk of an impending correction, with some analysts now eyeing a potential drop toward the $87,000 range.

Cracks Emerge in the Uptrend

Bitcoin’s inability to hold above $110,000 has traders questioning whether the market’s multi-month rally has run its course. According to a recent analysis by TradingShot on TradingView, BTC’s latest rejection from its 50-day moving average has revived a bearish fractal eerily similar to the one seen between December 2024 and February 2025.

During that earlier phase, Bitcoin lost its higher-lows structure and slid more than 30% from record levels before stabilizing. The same setup — a failed breakout at the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, declining volume, and persistent lower highs — appears to be unfolding again, raising fears of another steep correction.

If history rhymes, the next significant support could form near $87,000, aligning with the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and the weekly 100-day moving average — two levels that have previously acted as a launchpad for rebounds.

Macro Conditions Complicate the Outlook

The technical weakness comes at a time when the broader macro backdrop is turning uncertain. Hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut before year-end have started to fade, denting risk appetite across global markets. Bitcoin, often seen as a high-beta asset, has mirrored that hesitation, showing little reaction even to positive developments like renewed trade progress between Washington and Beijing.

READ MORE:

XRP News: Ripple Makes Major Announcement as Price Faces Strong Sell Pressure

Some traders suggest that the muted price response signals fatigue after a long rally fueled by ETF inflows and institutional accumulation earlier in the year. “Liquidity seems to be drying up just as macro risks are resurfacing,” one trader noted, pointing to declining open interest and shrinking volume on major exchanges.

Investors Eye $87K as Key Support

Despite the cautious mood, long-term holders appear largely unfazed. On-chain data indicates continued accumulation below $100,000, with several wallet cohorts adding to their positions. Analysts say that if the market does follow through with a pullback, it could reset overbought conditions and pave the way for another leg higher heading into 2026.

Still, the short-term tone remains defensive. Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim the psychological $110,000 level has turned that area into a ceiling of resistance, and traders are watching for confirmation of whether $95,000–$90,000 will hold in the weeks ahead.

A Rare “Uptober” Miss

Historically, October has been one of Bitcoin’s most consistent months for gains — making this year’s performance especially notable. The last time Bitcoin finished October in the red was more than a decade ago, in 2014.

Whether this year’s stumble proves to be a temporary pause or the start of a broader reversal will depend largely on macro catalysts and how the market responds around the $87,000 region. For now, traders appear content to wait — and watch whether Bitcoin’s November narrative can turn the tide.


The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The post Bitcoin Falters After Weak Monthly Close, Price Eyes Deeper Crash appeared first on Coindoo.

Market Opportunity
Nowchain Logo
Nowchain Price(NOW)
$0.0039
$0.0039$0.0039
+133.07%
USD
Nowchain (NOW) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

HitPaw API is Integrated by Comfy for Professional Image and Video Enhancement to Global Creators

HitPaw API is Integrated by Comfy for Professional Image and Video Enhancement to Global Creators

SAN FRANCISCO, Feb. 7, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — HitPaw, a leader in AI-powered visual enhancement solutions, announced Comfy, a global content creation platform, is
Share
AI Journal2026/02/08 09:15
Journalist gives brutal review of Melania movie: 'Not a single person in the theater'

Journalist gives brutal review of Melania movie: 'Not a single person in the theater'

A Journalist gave a brutal review of the new Melania documentary, which has been criticized by those who say it won't make back the huge fees spent to make it,
Share
Rawstory2026/02/08 09:08
Facts Vs. Hype: Analyst Examines XRP Supply Shock Theory

Facts Vs. Hype: Analyst Examines XRP Supply Shock Theory

Prominent analyst Cheeky Crypto (203,000 followers on YouTube) set out to verify a fast-spreading claim that XRP’s circulating supply could “vanish overnight,” and his conclusion is more nuanced than the headline suggests: nothing in the ledger disappears, but the amount of XRP that is truly liquid could be far smaller than most dashboards imply—small enough, in his view, to set the stage for an abrupt liquidity squeeze if demand spikes. XRP Supply Shock? The video opens with the host acknowledging his own skepticism—“I woke up to a rumor that XRP supply could vanish overnight. Sounds crazy, right?”—before committing to test the thesis rather than dismiss it. He frames the exercise as an attempt to reconcile a long-standing critique (“XRP’s supply is too large for high prices”) with a rival view taking hold among prominent community voices: that much of the supply counted as “circulating” is effectively unavailable to trade. His first step is a straightforward data check. Pulling public figures, he finds CoinMarketCap showing roughly 59.6 billion XRP as circulating, while XRPScan reports about 64.7 billion. The divergence prompts what becomes the video’s key methodological point: different sources count “circulating” differently. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Major XRP Warning: Last Chance To Get In As Accumulation Balloons As he explains it, the higher on-ledger number likely includes balances that aggregators exclude or treat as restricted, most notably Ripple’s programmatic escrow. He highlights that Ripple still “holds a chunk of XRP in escrow, about 35.3 billion XRP locked up across multiple wallets, with a nominal schedule of up to 1 billion released per month and unused portions commonly re-escrowed. Those coins exist and are accounted for on-ledger, but “they aren’t actually sitting on exchanges” and are not immediately available to buyers. In his words, “for all intents and purposes, that escrow stash is effectively off of the market.” From there, the analysis moves from headline “circulating supply” to the subtler concept of effective float. Beyond escrow, he argues that large strategic holders—banks, fintechs, or other whales—may sit on material balances without supplying order books. When you strip out escrow and these non-selling stashes, he says, “the effective circulating supply… is actually way smaller than the 59 or even 64 billion figure.” He cites community estimates in the “20 or 30 billion” range for what might be truly liquid at any given moment, while emphasizing that nobody has a precise number. That effective-float framing underpins the crux of his thesis: a potential supply shock if demand accelerates faster than fresh sell-side supply appears. “Price is a dance between supply and demand,” he says; if institutional or sovereign-scale users suddenly need XRP and “the market finds that there isn’t enough XRP readily available,” order books could thin out and prices could “shoot on up, sometimes violently.” His phrase “circulating supply could collapse overnight” is presented not as a claim that tokens are destroyed or removed from the ledger, but as a market-structure scenario in which available inventory to sell dries up quickly because holders won’t part with it. How Could The XRP Supply Shock Happen? On the demand side, he anchors the hypothetical to tokenization. He points to the “very early stages of something huge in finance”—on-chain tokenization of debt, stablecoins, CBDCs and even gold—and argues the XRP Ledger aims to be “the settlement layer” for those assets.He references Ripple CTO David Schwartz’s earlier comments about an XRPL pivot toward tokenized assets and notes that an institutional research shop (Bitwise) has framed XRP as a way to play the tokenization theme. In his construction, if “trillions of dollars in value” begin settling across XRPL rails, working inventories of XRP for bridging, liquidity and settlement could rise sharply, tightening effective float. Related Reading: XRP Bearish Signal: Whales Offload $486 Million In Asset To illustrate, he offers two analogies. First, the “concert tickets” model: you think there are 100,000 tickets (100B supply), but 50,000 are held by the promoter (escrow) and 30,000 by corporate buyers (whales), leaving only 20,000 for the public; if a million people want in, prices explode. Second, a comparison to Bitcoin’s halving: while XRP has no programmatic halving, he proposes that a sudden adoption wave could function like a de facto halving of available supply—“XRP’s version of a halving could actually be the adoption event.” He also updates the narrative context that long dogged XRP. Once derided for “too much supply,” he argues the script has “totally flipped.” He cites the current cycle’s optics—“XRP is sitting above $3 with a market cap north of around $180 billion”—as evidence that raw supply counts did not cap price as tightly as critics claimed, and as a backdrop for why a scarcity narrative is gaining traction. Still, he declines to publish targets or timelines, repeatedly stressing uncertainty and risk. “I’m not a financial adviser… cryptocurrencies are highly volatile,” he reminds viewers, adding that tokenization could take off “on some other platform,” unfold more slowly than enthusiasts expect, or fail to get to “sudden shock” scale. The verdict he offers is deliberately bound. The theory that “XRP supply could vanish overnight” is imprecise on its face; the ledger will not erase coins. But after examining dashboard methodologies, escrow mechanics and the behavior of large holders, he concludes that the effective float could be meaningfully smaller than headline supply figures, and that a fast-developing tokenization use case could, under the right conditions, stress that float. “Overnight is a dramatic way to put it,” he concedes. “The change could actually be very sudden when it comes.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.0198. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Share
NewsBTC2025/09/18 11:00