Felix Pinkston
Nov 26, 2025 08:32
Technical indicators suggest TON could reach $2.28 within 30 days, with immediate resistance at $1.95. Current oversold conditions support bullish reversal.
Toncoin has experienced significant downside pressure in recent weeks, but technical indicators are beginning to show signs of a potential reversal. With the current price at $1.58, our comprehensive TON price prediction analysis suggests a recovery phase may be imminent.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.82 (+15%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.05-$2.28 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.95 (EMA 26)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.45
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst predictions show a wide range of expectations for TON, reflecting the current market uncertainty. CoinCodex presents the most bullish TON price prediction with a target of $3.13, representing a potential 43.26% increase over five days. This aggressive forecast contrasts sharply with more conservative estimates.
Cryptopolitan’s Toncoin forecast suggests a broader trading range between $1.80-$3.20 for November, with an average price expectation of $2.10. This range-bound prediction aligns more closely with current technical resistance levels.
Rich by Coin’s analysis focuses on oversold conditions, with their TON price prediction targeting $1.75-$1.82 for the short term and $2.05-$2.28 for the medium term. Their Toncoin technical analysis emphasizes the importance of breaking above the EMA 26 at $1.95 for sustained upward momentum.
The consensus among analysts leans cautiously optimistic, with most predictions centering around the $2.00-$2.30 range for the coming weeks.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce
Current technical indicators support a bullish reversal scenario for Toncoin. The RSI at 32.62 has moved away from oversold territory but remains in neutral range, suggesting accumulation pressure is building. Previous analysis showed RSI levels as low as 24.05, indicating the worst of the selling pressure may have passed.
The MACD histogram at -0.0104 shows bearish momentum is weakening compared to the previous -0.0342 reading. While still negative, this improvement suggests the downtrend is losing steam.
Toncoin’s position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.25 indicates the price is trading in the lower portion of the band but has moved up from extreme oversold levels. The lower band at $1.35 provided strong support, while the middle band at $1.80 represents the first major resistance level.
Trading volume of $15.1 million on Binance shows decent liquidity, though increased volume would be needed to confirm any breakout above key resistance levels.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The primary bullish scenario for our TON price prediction centers on breaking above the EMA 26 at $1.95. This level has acted as dynamic resistance and represents the critical TON price target for bulls to reclaim.
If this resistance breaks, the next targets align with analyst predictions:
– Immediate target: $2.05 (SMA 50 level)
– Medium-term target: $2.28-$2.30 (based on previous support turned resistance)
– Extended target: $2.79 (strong resistance level)
The bullish case strengthens if RSI can push above 40 and MACD turns positive. Volume expansion above 20 million would provide additional confirmation.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish scenario for this Toncoin forecast involves a break below the immediate support at $1.45. This would invalidate the oversold bounce thesis and could lead to a test of stronger support levels.
Downside targets in a bearish scenario:
– First support: $1.35 (Bollinger Band lower bound)
– Critical support: $1.47 (52-week low)
– Extreme downside: $0.55 (strong support level)
Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns, or failure to maintain above the $1.45 support level.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Toncoin technical analysis, a cautious accumulation strategy appears warranted. The question of whether to buy or sell TON depends on risk tolerance and investment timeframe.
Entry Strategy:
– Conservative entry: Wait for a break above $1.95 with volume confirmation
– Aggressive entry: Current levels around $1.58-$1.60 offer good risk-reward
– Dollar-cost averaging: Gradual accumulation between $1.50-$1.70
Risk Management:
– Stop-loss: $1.42 (below immediate support)
– Position size: 2-3% of portfolio maximum
– Take profit: Scale out at $1.95, $2.15, and $2.28
The current setup favors buyers willing to hold for 30-60 days, as the oversold conditions and analyst consensus suggest upward potential.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive TON price prediction indicates a high probability of recovery to the $2.05-$2.28 range within the next 30 days. The confluence of oversold technical indicators, analyst consensus, and key support holding at $1.45 supports this bullish Toncoin forecast.
Confidence Level: MEDIUM-HIGH (70%)
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include RSI breaking above 40, MACD turning positive, and most importantly, a decisive break above $1.95 with increased volume. Failure to hold $1.45 support would invalidate this prediction and suggest further downside risk.
The timeline for this TON price prediction to materialize extends through December 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within the next 7-10 days. Traders should watch for volume expansion and momentum shifts to validate the oversold bounce scenario.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251126-price-prediction-ton-recovery-to-228-expected-by-december
