合庫金控今天舉辦線上法人說明會,預估台股明年指數約在1萬7300點至2萬9200點的區間,合庫將佈局營運穩健、有配息的個股,逢低分批建立部位,逢高汰弱留強;債券也是分批分散布建。 合庫去年股票投資部位比較大,今年減少1到兩成,目前操作部位約有300-400億元,股利收益會比去年減少2成。 合庫金指出,台股過去的股價淨值比(PB),大約是介於0.99倍至3.15倍,以10月27日來說,PB大概是3.17倍,已經超過過往常態評價高點,另外,半導體關稅還沒確定,也是不確定因素;不過,對等關稅影響大致已經底定,近期國際股市多頭強,台股受到激勵,近期也創新高。 至於AI泡沫化說,合庫認為太沉重,因為市場需求還是在,未來隨著相關應用擴大,明年將是AI篩選年,投資人會更審慎篩選,應留意估值太高、無法創造現金流的公司。 至於股利政策,合庫金說,今年配發現金股利每股超過0.7元,股票股利0.3元,盈餘發放率將近8成,近三年,股利發放都有達每股1元,現金股利都超過0.5元,未來會持續維持穩定,會考量主管機關對資本規範,以及子公司拓展業務需求,以及子公司盈餘上繳等因素,審慎規劃,提出符合股東期待的股利計畫。 整體來說,合庫金股利政策考量3面向,包括維持過往盈餘發放率、現金股利為主,股票股利為輔,以及保留適當盈餘,作為資本,強化財務結構,強化資本韌性,明年絕對會反映今年經營成果,保持審慎樂觀,給股東穩定成長回饋。 至於不動產授信部分,其中,有關銀行法72-2條(住宅建築及企業建築放款總額,不得超過存款總餘額及金融債券發售額加總的30%),合庫銀約達28.5%左右,已是公股銀行最高,預計未來將以優良建商、利率條件良好,都更危老重建為授信目標。 目前的土建融放款約1215億元,預估整體成長率持平。 房貸餘額截至10月底為8700億元,比去年底成長8%-9%,明年預估成長率5%以下;新青安貸款目前約承做100億元,每個月約成長10億元, 合庫金預估,明年不動產市場,應該偏向量縮價緩跌的趨勢。 合庫金控10月自結稅後盈餘17.74億元,累計前10月合併稅後盈餘180.12億元,每股稅後盈餘(EPS)為1.14元;子公司合庫銀行累計前10月177.37  年增5.81% 截至9月,合庫金稅後淨值報酬率8.11%、稅後資產報酬率0.41%、總資產5兆4,077億元。  核心子公司合庫銀行截至9月稅後淨利160.35億元,年增3.07%,主因是利息淨收益年增14.63%;呆帳費用、承諾及保證責任準備提存較2024年同期減少39.15%。 合庫金資本適足率126.45%,雙重槓桿比率118.46%。  合庫銀行資本適足率15.43%,第一類資本比率13.38%;逾期放款比率為0.16%,呆帳覆蓋率683.78%。   (資料來源:威傳媒新聞-WinNews) 目前沒有可推薦文章 合庫金控今天舉辦線上法人說明會,預估台股明年指數約在1萬7300點至2萬9200點的區間,合庫將佈局營運穩健、有配息的個股,逢低分批建立部位,逢高汰弱留強;債券也是分批分散布建。 合庫去年股票投資部位比較大,今年減少1到兩成,目前操作部位約有300-400億元,股利收益會比去年減少2成。 合庫金指出,台股過去的股價淨值比(PB),大約是介於0.99倍至3.15倍,以10月27日來說,PB大概是3.17倍,已經超過過往常態評價高點,另外,半導體關稅還沒確定,也是不確定因素;不過,對等關稅影響大致已經底定,近期國際股市多頭強,台股受到激勵,近期也創新高。 至於AI泡沫化說,合庫認為太沉重,因為市場需求還是在,未來隨著相關應用擴大,明年將是AI篩選年,投資人會更審慎篩選,應留意估值太高、無法創造現金流的公司。 至於股利政策,合庫金說,今年配發現金股利每股超過0.7元,股票股利0.3元,盈餘發放率將近8成,近三年,股利發放都有達每股1元,現金股利都超過0.5元,未來會持續維持穩定,會考量主管機關對資本規範,以及子公司拓展業務需求,以及子公司盈餘上繳等因素,審慎規劃,提出符合股東期待的股利計畫。 整體來說,合庫金股利政策考量3面向,包括維持過往盈餘發放率、現金股利為主,股票股利為輔,以及保留適當盈餘,作為資本,強化財務結構,強化資本韌性,明年絕對會反映今年經營成果,保持審慎樂觀,給股東穩定成長回饋。 至於不動產授信部分,其中,有關銀行法72-2條(住宅建築及企業建築放款總額,不得超過存款總餘額及金融債券發售額加總的30%),合庫銀約達28.5%左右,已是公股銀行最高,預計未來將以優良建商、利率條件良好,都更危老重建為授信目標。 目前的土建融放款約1215億元,預估整體成長率持平。 房貸餘額截至10月底為8700億元,比去年底成長8%-9%,明年預估成長率5%以下;新青安貸款目前約承做100億元,每個月約成長10億元, 合庫金預估,明年不動產市場,應該偏向量縮價緩跌的趨勢。 合庫金控10月自結稅後盈餘17.74億元,累計前10月合併稅後盈餘180.12億元,每股稅後盈餘(EPS)為1.14元;子公司合庫銀行累計前10月177.37  年增5.81% 截至9月,合庫金稅後淨值報酬率8.11%、稅後資產報酬率0.41%、總資產5兆4,077億元。  核心子公司合庫銀行截至9月稅後淨利160.35億元,年增3.07%,主因是利息淨收益年增14.63%;呆帳費用、承諾及保證責任準備提存較2024年同期減少39.15%。 合庫金資本適足率126.45%,雙重槓桿比率118.46%。  合庫銀行資本適足率15.43%,第一類資本比率13.38%;逾期放款比率為0.16%,呆帳覆蓋率683.78%。   (資料來源:威傳媒新聞-WinNews) 目前沒有可推薦文章

合庫金法說預估台股明年上看29200!房價緩跌 股利考量3面向

2025/11/27 18:02

合庫金控今天舉辦線上法人說明會,預估台股明年指數約在1萬7300點至2萬9200點的區間,合庫將佈局營運穩健、有配息的個股,逢低分批建立部位,逢高汰弱留強;債券也是分批分散布建。

合庫去年股票投資部位比較大,今年減少1到兩成,目前操作部位約有300-400億元,股利收益會比去年減少2成。

合庫金指出,台股過去的股價淨值比(PB),大約是介於0.99倍至3.15倍,以10月27日來說,PB大概是3.17倍,已經超過過往常態評價高點,另外,半導體關稅還沒確定,也是不確定因素;不過,對等關稅影響大致已經底定,近期國際股市多頭強,台股受到激勵,近期也創新高。

至於AI泡沫化說,合庫認為太沉重,因為市場需求還是在,未來隨著相關應用擴大,明年將是AI篩選年,投資人會更審慎篩選,應留意估值太高、無法創造現金流的公司。

至於股利政策,合庫金說,今年配發現金股利每股超過0.7元,股票股利0.3元,盈餘發放率將近8成,近三年,股利發放都有達每股1元,現金股利都超過0.5元,未來會持續維持穩定,會考量主管機關對資本規範,以及子公司拓展業務需求,以及子公司盈餘上繳等因素,審慎規劃,提出符合股東期待的股利計畫。

整體來說,合庫金股利政策考量3面向,包括維持過往盈餘發放率、現金股利為主,股票股利為輔,以及保留適當盈餘,作為資本,強化財務結構,強化資本韌性,明年絕對會反映今年經營成果,保持審慎樂觀,給股東穩定成長回饋。

至於不動產授信部分,其中,有關銀行法72-2條(住宅建築及企業建築放款總額,不得超過存款總餘額及金融債券發售額加總的30%),合庫銀約達28.5%左右,已是公股銀行最高,預計未來將以優良建商、利率條件良好,都更危老重建為授信目標。

目前的土建融放款約1215億元,預估整體成長率持平。

房貸餘額截至10月底為8700億元,比去年底成長8%-9%,明年預估成長率5%以下;新青安貸款目前約承做100億元,每個月約成長10億元,

合庫金預估,明年不動產市場,應該偏向量縮價緩跌的趨勢。

合庫金控10月自結稅後盈餘17.74億元,累計前10月合併稅後盈餘180.12億元,每股稅後盈餘(EPS)為1.14元;子公司合庫銀行累計前10月177.37  年增5.81%

截至9月,合庫金稅後淨值報酬率8.11%、稅後資產報酬率0.41%、總資產5兆4,077億元。 

核心子公司合庫銀行截至9月稅後淨利160.35億元,年增3.07%,主因是利息淨收益年增14.63%;呆帳費用、承諾及保證責任準備提存較2024年同期減少39.15%。

合庫金資本適足率126.45%,雙重槓桿比率118.46%。 

合庫銀行資本適足率15.43%,第一類資本比率13.38%;逾期放款比率為0.16%,呆帳覆蓋率683.78%。

(資料來源:威傳媒新聞-WinNews)

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

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