Bitcoin’s Price May Stall as Major Buyers Pause Amid Key Support Test

• Major BTC buyers halting activity hampers price rallies.

• Corporate treasuries face significant losses on Bitcoin positions.

• Long-term holders reduce selling, averaging 1,000 BTC daily over 90 days, down from 2,350 BTC.

Discover why Bitcoin buyers are pausing accumulation in 2025, impacting market trends. Explore corporate strains and holder behaviors for key insights—stay informed on crypto dynamics today.

What is Causing Bitcoin Buyers to Pause Accumulation?

Bitcoin buyers pausing accumulation refers to a notable halt in purchases by influential market participants, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and publicly traded companies that have driven recent price surges. This shift occurs as market conditions strain these entities, reducing their ability or willingness to add to holdings. Data from on-chain analytics platforms indicates that this cohort, responsible for much of the recent rally, has significantly curtailed activity, making it challenging for Bitcoin’s price to advance further.

In the current market environment, this pause is particularly evident among entities that previously absorbed large volumes of Bitcoin during upward trends. The reduction in buying pressure comes at a pivotal moment, as external factors like regulatory scrutiny and macroeconomic shifts influence investor behavior. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for assessing Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory.

How Are Corporate Bitcoin Holdings Being Affected?

Public companies with substantial Bitcoin allocations are experiencing visible pressure on their treasuries. The aggregate market capitalization of key Bitcoin-heavy firms has declined sharply from approximately $152 billion in mid-July to $73.5 billion, reflecting broader market corrections and unrealized losses on their crypto assets. Despite these challenges, these corporations are maintaining their Bitcoin positions without immediate liquidation, signaling a long-term commitment amid temporary volatility.

Analytics from platforms like Glassnode highlight that corporate balance sheets are under strain due to Bitcoin’s price fluctuations below acquisition costs for some holdings. For instance, firms such as MicroStrategy and others in the sector have seen their equity values tied to Bitcoin erode, yet they continue to hold steady. This resilience could act as a stabilizing force if buying resumes, but it also underscores the risks of concentrated crypto exposure in corporate strategies. Experts note that such holdings, now underwater by billions, represent a wildcard in the ongoing market cycle.

This cohort includes ETFs and public companies, meaning some of the market’s most influential buyers have paused their activity. When the very group that fueled the rally stops accumulating, it becomes harder for Bitcoin to climb higher.

For now, the strongest buyers are stepping back.

This slowdown comes at a time when corporate treasuries holding Bitcoin are under visible strain.

The combined market cap of major BTC‑heavy firms such as MSTR, Metaplanet, XXI, and others has dropped sharply, falling from around $152 billion in mid‑July to just $73.5 billion.

Source: X

Despite that, these companies are holding their Bitcoin positions steady even as the market tests them. This approach aligns with strategic decisions made during earlier bull phases, where executives viewed Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and fiat devaluation. Current data shows no widespread selling from this group, which could prevent deeper price drops if sentiment improves.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why Are Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Reducing Selling Activity?

Long-term holders of Bitcoin, those with coins aged over five years, have lowered their spending, with the 90-day average of spent unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) falling from 2,350 BTC to about 1,000 BTC daily. This reduction eases selling pressure, as these coins, acquired at around $30,000, typically move for profit-taking. The trend suggests maturing market behavior, with less reactive selling as cycles progress, potentially supporting price stability.

What Happens If Bitcoin Breaks Below Key Support Levels?

If Bitcoin drops below the $86,500 support, it could enter a prolonged sideways phase or test lower at $80,500, according to on-chain analysis. This scenario might create opportunities for long-term accumulation but increases short-term volatility. Traders should monitor volume and holder metrics closely, as natural language queries like this highlight the importance of technical levels in guiding market narratives.

Key Takeaways

• Buyer Pause Impact: The halt in accumulation by major players like ETFs is slowing Bitcoin’s rally and heightening volatility risks.
• Corporate Strain Details: BTC-heavy firms’ market cap halved to $73.5 billion, yet holdings remain intact, acting as a potential stabilizer.
• Selling Pressure Easing: Long-term holders’ reduced activity, down to 1,000 BTC daily, lessens downward force and supports cycle maturation.

Conclusion

In summary, Bitcoin buyers pausing accumulation amid corporate treasury strains and reduced long-term holder selling marks a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency market. As key supports like $86,500 come under test, the behavior of these influential cohorts will shape near-term trends. Investors should watch for renewed buying signals, positioning themselves for potential recovery in this evolving landscape—consult reliable on-chain data for informed decisions.

OG Sellers Step Back

Building on the slowdown in buying, original long-term holders—often referred to as OG sellers—have also curtailed their market activity. These are investors who acquired Bitcoin early in its history, holding coins for over five years at an average price near $30,000. When these assets move, it frequently signals profit realization or redistribution, contributing to selling pressure during peaks.

Recent metrics show a clear pullback: the 90-day daily average of spent UTXOs from these vintage coins has plummeted from approximately 2,350 BTC to around 1,000 BTC. This decline indicates a deliberate reduction in outflows, which historically have amplified corrections. Over multiple cycles, such peaks from long-term holders have diminished, reflecting a more seasoned holder base less prone to knee-jerk reactions. This maturation bodes well for sustained price floors, as fear-driven sales wane.

Source: X

These coins were originally purchased for around $30,000, and when they move, it is typically to sell. With their activity now reduced, one of the market’s largest sources of selling pressure is beginning to ease. Even more importantly, each cycle’s STXO peaks from this group are getting smaller, so LTHs are becoming less reactive as the cycle matures. This shift toward stability among veteran holders could provide a buffer against further downside, encouraging accumulation from sidelined investors.

Broader market implications include a potential rebalancing of supply dynamics. As new entrants pause, the reduced liquidation from olds creates room for organic demand to emerge. Analysts from firms like Ark Invest have long emphasized the role of holder conviction in Bitcoin’s resilience, and current patterns align with this view.

At a Crossroads

With buying paused and selling cooled, Bitcoin now stands at a pivotal crossroads, where technical indicators offer limited reassurance. The asset has already breached the $89,800 support level, a threshold that many traders monitored as a gauge of bullish strength. This breakdown has shifted attention to lower defenses, amplifying uncertainty in trading floors and investor forums alike.

Bitcoin’s price action below this zone suggests weakening momentum, corroborated by on-chain metrics showing stagnant inflows to exchanges. Joao Wedson, an analyst at Alphractal, observes that the loss of $89,800 support elevates the risk of a consolidative phase. He points to aligned failures in holding critical on-chain supports, positioning $86,500 as the immediate battleground.

If BTC breaks below it, Wedson warns the next stop could be $80,500. This move would be a new local low but could also set up a cleaner long for patient traders. Such a dip might flush out leveraged positions, leading to a healthier base for rebound. Conversely, a hold at $86,500 could validate ongoing accumulation narratives, drawing buyers back into the fold.

Market participants are closely tracking volume profiles and derivative open interest to gauge conviction. Data from sources like CryptoQuant reveal declining futures premiums, indicating tempered optimism. In this environment, the pause by strong buyers underscores the need for diversified strategies, as Bitcoin navigates toward its next significant milestone.

Final Thoughts

• Bitcoin is drifting into volatility, and the next move depends on whether $86,500 holds.
• Corporate treasuries sitting on $73.5B in underwater BTC could become the cycle’s wildcard.

The interplay of paused accumulation, corporate resilience, and easing long-term selling paints a nuanced picture for Bitcoin in 2025. While immediate pressures test supports, underlying holder behavior hints at underlying strength. Stakeholders in the crypto ecosystem should prioritize risk management, leveraging tools like on-chain analytics for clarity amid the flux.