- Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh leads in betting odds for Chair.
- Warsh odds rise to 60%, surpassing Hassett and Waller.
- Treasury yields react with expectations of a more hawkish Fed.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett signaled his likely continuation in office, reducing competition for Fed Chair. Former Governor Kevin Warsh now leads candidate probabilities at approximately 60%.
The leadership hint influences bond markets, with rising Treasury yields reflecting expectations of Warsh’s hawkish policies, potentially impacting economic and crypto financial conditions.
Kevin Warsh Emerges as Frontrunner Amid Market Adjustments
Kevin Hassett is now less likely to pursue the Federal Reserve Chair position, following President Trump’s remarks and recent public declarations. This change has moved Kevin Warsh into a leading position with a significant increase in betting odds, potentially changing expectations for Federal Reserve policies.
Market implications are becoming more evident, with the bond market responding to the prospect of Warsh’s leadership. The increase in bond yields suggests a shift towards expectations of a more hawkish approach, possibly affecting interest rates over time. Trading outcomes in Treasuries are indicative of investors preparing for this potential change.
Cryptocurrency Markets Monitor Potential Hawkish Fed Policies
Did you know? Kevin Warsh’s rise in betting odds signals a market shift reminiscent of 2018’s monetary policy apprehensions under Powell, where similar market adjustments occurred in response to anticipated rate hikes.
Based on CoinMarketCap data, Ethereum (ETH) trades at $3,209, reflecting a 3.14% 24-hour price decline. Its market cap stands at $387.41 billion, with a dominance of 12.32%. Trading volume has surged over 126% to $25.94 billion, indicating robust market activity, despite the price decrease.
Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 09:08 UTC on January 19, 2026. Source: CoinMarketCapAlthough no direct crypto market responses tie to the Federal Reserve nomination race, Coincu research suggests Warsh’s potential hawkish policies could impact cryptocurrency markets through heightened interest rate speculations. Expectations predict market shifts with possible increased volatility, drawing on historical Fed policy precedents to forecast changes.
| DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
Source: https://coincu.com/markets/federal-reserve-chair-betting-odds/
