MSTR Stock Struggles as Bitcoin Fall Sparks Fresh Market Concerns

TLDR

• MSTR stock price has dropped around 61 percent over the last six months.
• Strategy Inc. is now facing a $900 million unrealized loss on its 712,647 Bitcoin holdings.
• The company’s average Bitcoin purchase price is estimated at $76,038 per coin.
• Bitcoin’s fall below $75,000 has pushed the firm’s position into a loss territory.
• Strategy continues to use share sales to fund Bitcoin purchases, which increases stock volatility.

Bitcoin’s latest slide below $75,000 has pushed Strategy Inc.’s Bitcoin position into an unrealized loss of over $900 million, and as a result, MSTR stock price has come under renewed pressure. The company’s shares have fallen 61% over the past six months, and are now trading near $149.71 after a minor 0.27% dip in overnight trading. Although the stock rallied 4.5% on Friday, sentiment remains fragile as traders assess potential risks.

MSTR Stock Price Tracks Bitcoin Losses

Strategy Inc. holds 712,647 BTC, with an average purchase price of around $76,038 per coin, based on Lookonchain data. With Bitcoin trading below that level, the position is currently underwater, creating a $900 million unrealized loss. This loss has triggered concern over MSTR stock price as investors reassess the company’s outlook.

The company continues to use an at-the-market share sale program to fund its Bitcoin acquisitions, according to a January SEC filing. This structure links the stock’s performance directly to Bitcoin’s moves, which amplifies price swings in both directions. When Bitcoin falls, MSTR stock price often declines even faster due to dilution risks and valuation shifts.

“Strategy’s stock is a Bitcoin proxy,” said a market analyst, explaining how closely MSTR mirrors crypto market action. This sensitivity has increased during recent market weakness, leading to heightened volatility. Investors are now focusing on how many bitcoins each share represents.

Technical Chart Points to Further Downside

MSTR stock price remains in a downward trend and is trading below all major daily moving averages. The stock hovers near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting it is testing key support. The RSI stands below the neutral 50 mark, currently at 40, showing weakened momentum.

Strategy Inc, MSTR

Bollinger Bands are narrowing, which often signals reduced volatility and a potential sharp move ahead. Technical analysts are watching the short-term support range of $145 to $150 closely. A daily close below $145 could trigger a new leg down toward the low $130s.

So far, the RSI recovery from oversold conditions hasn’t turned bullish. This implies that rallies may still attract sellers. A move above the mid-band and RSI above 50 could signal trend reversal, but those signals are currently absent.

Bitcoin Stability will Decide the Near-Term MSTR Move

Bitcoin’s ability to stay above current levels will likely determine the next move for MSTR stock price. A deeper BTC slide may increase dilution fears and pull the stock lower. However, stabilization could offer a base for recovery in the near term.

Despite the unrealized loss, Strategy has shown no intention of selling its BTC holdings. Founder Michael Saylor continues to support the long-term Bitcoin strategy. Analysts suggest the company’s current debt profile does not require forced selling.

This structure exposes the stock to heightened sensitivity during volatile Bitcoin phases. Any sustained Bitcoin drop could compound pressure on MSTR stock price. Conversely, a BTC rebound may help reverse some of the recent selling. The latest press-time price of $149.71 keeps the stock near key short-term support levels.

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