- BERA rebound shows stabilization, but macro downtrend still caps sustained upside
- Rising open interest near $150M boosts momentum but raises volatility and liquidation risk
- Spot flows stabilize after long outflows, yet weak inflows limit conviction in recovery
Berachain has started February with renewed energy after months of steady decline. The token now trades near $0.91, bouncing from its cycle floor around $0.35. Traders watch closely as leverage builds and volatility expands.
Although the broader structure still reflects a macro downtrend, short-term momentum shows signs of stabilization. Consequently, market participants now assess whether this rebound marks early accumulation or merely another corrective rally inside a larger bearish cycle.
Structure Still Bearish, But Momentum Improves
BERA topped near $3.16 before forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Sellers controlled price action through November and December. Additionally, January delivered an accelerated decline that swept liquidity toward the $0.34–$0.37 region. That zone now serves as a major structural base.
Price reclaimed the $0.78–$0.85 area, shifting short-term structure slightly higher. Hence, bulls must defend this region to sustain recovery momentum. A daily close above $1.01, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci level, would confirm continuation toward $1.42. However, rejection near $1.01 could stall progress and invite renewed selling pressure.
BERA Price Dynamics (Source: Trading View)If buyers lose control below $0.75, downside risk expands significantly. Consequently, the $0.35 cycle low could face another test.
On the upside, $1.42 stands as the first major supply barrier. Beyond that, $1.75 and $2.08 represent stronger resistance tied to broader trend reversal levels.
Open Interest Signals Rising Conviction
Source:CoinglassDerivatives positioning reveals a dramatic shift in sentiment. Open interest peaked above $150 million during August’s expansion phase. However, October triggered a sharp deleveraging wave, cutting exposure toward $60 million. Moreover, positioning compressed near $30 million through late December as speculative appetite faded.
Related: Linea Price Prediction: LINEA Surges 35% After Social Engagement Dominance Shifts Sentiment
February now shows a powerful reversal in that trend. Open interest surged toward $148 million, signaling aggressive re-leveraging. Significantly, such rapid expansion often precedes sharp price swings. Elevated leverage increases both upside acceleration and liquidation risk.
Spot Flows Show Stabilization, Not Accumulation
Spot market activity tells a more cautious story. Persistent net outflows dominated from May through November. Large distribution spikes appeared in early May and late August. Consequently, rallies repeatedly failed to sustain traction.
Source: CoinglassAdditionally, inflow bursts during mid-July and late September lacked follow-through. From October onward, outflows moderated, suggesting selling pressure gradually eased. Recent sessions show more balanced flows, which supports consolidation. However, strong and consistent inflows remain absent.
Technical Outlook for Berachain (BERA) Price
Key levels remain clearly defined as Berachain attempts to stabilize after a prolonged macro decline. Price currently trades near $0.91 after defending the $0.35–$0.37 cycle base. The broader structure still reflects lower highs and lower lows. However, short-term recovery momentum has emerged following the recent rebound from January’s liquidity sweep.
Upside Levels: $1.01 (Fib 0.236) stands as the immediate breakout trigger. A daily close above this level could drive price toward $1.42 (Fib 0.382). Beyond that, $1.75 (Fib 0.5) acts as mid-range resistance. A sustained move above $2.08 (Fib 0.618) would signal a broader trend reversal and shift medium-term momentum.
Downside Levels: $0.78–$0.85 now serves as reclaimed short-term support. Below that, $0.75 becomes the key line of defense. Failure to hold this zone risks renewed pressure toward the $0.35–$0.37 structural floor.
The technical structure suggests BERA is attempting to transition from capitulation into accumulation. However, price remains below major Fibonacci resistance clusters. Consequently, confirmation requires strength above $1.01 with expanding volume.
Will Berachain Recover?
The near-term outlook depends on whether buyers defend $0.78 and flip $1.01 into support. Rising open interest signals renewed speculation, which could amplify volatility. If bullish momentum builds alongside stronger spot inflows, BERA could extend toward $1.42 and possibly $1.75.
However, rejection below $1.01 combined with weakening flows would increase the probability of another retest of $0.75. A breakdown below that level could expose the cycle base once again.
For now, Berachain trades in a pivotal recovery zone. Leverage expansion and spot demand will determine whether this rebound evolves into a sustained trend reversal or remains a temporary relief rally.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
Source: https://coinedition.com/berachain-bera-price-prediction-can-bulls-flip-1-42-after-0-35-base/
