ARB Technical Analysis Mar 23

ARB price is currently stuck at the 0.09 USD level and trying to hold above the main support zone at 0.0911. A strong seller block is forming at the nearby resistance of 0.0962, while the overall downtrend structure continues.

Current Price Position and Critical Levels

ARB is trading at 0.09 USD with a 24-hour -2.48% drop, and a clear downtrend dominates the overall market structure. Price is positioned below EMA20 (0.10 USD), giving short-term bearish signals. RSI at 38.46 is approaching oversold, while the Supertrend indicator is bearish and pointing to 0.11 USD resistance. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, a total of 10 strong levels were detected on 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 1D with 1 support/4 resistances, 3D with 1 support/1 resistance, 1W with 2 supports/2 resistances confluences. These levels are supported by order blocks, liquidity pools, and historical tests. Volume remains low at 50.21M USD, which may indicate accumulation before volatility. The current price position presents a critical threshold where buyers must defend the 0.0911 support; in case of a breakdown, the downside target could extend to 0.0504.

Support Levels: Buyer Blocks

Primary Support

0.0911 USD (strength score: 63/100) stands out as ARB’s most critical primary support level. This level has formed as a strong demand zone (buyer block) on the 1D timeframe; it has been tested 4 times in the last 3 months and rejected price upward each time. Volume profile shows high buy volume spikes in this area, indicating institutional buyers (big players) accumulating liquidity. MTF confluence: overlaps with swing low on 3D chart and aligns with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement on 1W. Order block analysis confirms this area as a bullish order block – price has impulsed upward from here. In case of breakdown (invalidation), the next buyer zone shifts to 0.08 USD, but it currently appears likely to hold with high probability as RSI gives an oversold signal.

Secondary Support and Stop Levels

Secondary supports include 0.08 USD and the ultimate downside target of 0.0504 USD (score: 22/100). 0.08 USD represents the previous cycle low on the 1W timeframe and has historically provided strong bounces in 5 tests; this is an ideal spot for liquidity sweeps, where stop-losses may have accumulated. 0.0504 shows confluence with a breaker block formed during the 2025 Q4 drop, resulting from major supply-demand imbalance. Monitor 0.0890 below 0.0911 as a stop level – a break here accelerates the downtrend and achieves a 1:3 R/R ratio (against upside to 0.1416). In volume profile, these secondary supports are low node areas, indicating high potential for quick passes.

Resistance Levels: Seller Blocks

Near-Term Resistances

The nearest resistance at 0.0962 USD (score: 70/100) is the first obstacle before EMA20 (0.10). This level is a supply zone (seller block) rejected 3 times on 1D; the last test showed strong rejection with high sell volume. It overlaps with Supertrend resistance and serves as a liquidity target for short-term short positions. A clean breakout + retest is required for upside; otherwise, fakeout risk is high. Volume analysis shows an imbalance here.

Main Resistance and Targets

Main resistances are at 0.1416 USD (score: 64/100) and 0.1744 USD (score: 65/100). 0.1416 is set as an upside target but strong resistance: bearish order block on 3D timeframe, confluence with EMA50 on 1W. Historical 6 tests show an 80% rejection rate, indicating big sellers positioning here. 0.1744 is a multi-cycle high; it overlaps with Fibonacci extension 1.272 and is supported by volume clusters. Breaking these levels requires a positive catalyst from BTC, as ARB’s beta is high. R/R between targets: 1:2 for 0.1416, 1:4 potential for 0.1744.

Liquidity Map and Big Players

Big players (smart money) are hunting liquidity below the 0.0911 support – ideal pool for stop hunts. Above, equal highs/lows between 0.0962-0.10 form a liquidity trap; a sweep is expected after breakout. On the 1W liquidity map, above 0.1744 is a major imbalance, i.e., the rally target. FVG (fair value gap) analysis: unfilled gap between 0.10-0.11 could pull price like a magnet. Volume delta is negative, seller dominance continues; however, divergences signal a buyer reversal. Order flow shows increasing accumulation signals at 0.0911.

Bitcoin Correlation

BTC at 68,462 USD in downtrend (-1.28%) shows high correlation with ARB (beta ~1.5). BTC’s main supports: 68,119 / 65,604 / 62,910; if no bounce from here, ARB heads to 0.0504. Resistances: 68,874 / 70,589 / 72,148 – if BTC breaks above 70k, ARB tests 0.1416. While BTC Supertrend is bearish, caution in altcoins: rising dominance pressures ARB. Watch: BTC 68k breakdown = liquidity grab in ARB.

Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy

Level-based outlook: Hold above 0.0911 = long bias, 0.0962 breakout targeting 0.10-0.1416 (R/R 1:2.5). Downside breakdown = short, targeting 0.08-0.0504. Check detailed data in ARB Spot Analysis and ARB Futures Analysis. MTF confirmation required: no rejection on 1D close above. Risk: 1-2%, invalidation below 0.0890. This is market opinion and not investment advice – do your own research.